Stock Ratings / Materials / PAAS / forecast

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Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$37.98 -6.80% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.44

Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $15.75B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PAAS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PAAS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Pan American Silver Corp. (NYSE: PAAS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $37.98 (-6.80% 1D, market cap $15.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, PAAS ranks #69 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PAAS compare to CDE and RGLD in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), PAAS carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CDE (Coeur Mining Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $13.47B) and RGLD (Royal Gold Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 43.0x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $19.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDE leads on earnings multiple (24.6x) while CDE leads on capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PAAS?

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For Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #69 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.44 (-1.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PAAS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PAAS SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 8.7% FCF Margin ($348.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$42.33+3.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$43.65-3.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$41.95-9.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$37.98-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PAAS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PAAS currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.43) and Max Pain ($39.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $73.49.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PAAS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PAAS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PAAS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $37.98: 263.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $28.96

$7,625

$-2,375 (-23.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $37.13

$9,776

$-224 (-2.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $73.49

$19,350

+$9,350 (+93.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$39	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$69	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$33	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PAAS)

✓Walkthrough of PAAS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PAAS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.69%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $40.75H $40.75L $37.98C $37.98VOL 5.88M

RES: $57.89SUP: $36.81SMA50: $46.43SMA200: $51.54

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PAAS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PAAS Butterfly Map → + Track PAAS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PAAS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PAAS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PAAS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PAAS)

Materials Rank #69 of 270 ⚔️ CDE vs PAAS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (PAAS vs. CDE, RGLD, AGI, EQX)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) ranks #69 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #33 by equity capitalization ($15.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDE leads on earnings valuation at 24.6x trailing P/E, while CDE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CDE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with PAAS at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PAAS ACTIVE Pan American Silver Corp.	D+	53/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-6.80%	$15.75B	Benchmark Subject
CDE Coeur Mining Inc.	C+	66/100	24.6x	—	15.1%	-6.69%	$13.47B	/cde-vs-paas →
RGLD Royal Gold Inc.	C-	60/100	43.0x	69.3%	6.4%	-3.40%	$19.38B	/rgld-vs-paas →
AGI Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-4.79%	$11.49B	/agi-vs-paas →
EQX Equinox Gold Corp.	D+	54/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-4.71%	$11.32B	/eqx-vs-paas →

2. PAAS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $15.75B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. PAAS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PAAS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PAAS compare to CDE and RGLD in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PAAS?

Where is PAAS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PAAS last traded at $37.98 (-6.80% on volume of 5,877,933 shares), positioning the stock -18.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.43) and -26.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($51.54). Across its 52-week range of $33.08 to $69.99, PAAS sits at the 13.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($35.17 to $40.79).

PAAS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PAAS's 12-month stock price target?

Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $37.13 (-2.2% from $37.98), with a bull-case target of $73.49 and a bear-case floor of $28.96.

Is PAAS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates PAAS D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 53/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: PAAS RQD Cockpit PAAS 12M Forecast PAAS Earnings & Move PAAS Dividends & DRIP PAAS Insiders & 13F PAAS Whale Options PAAS Profit Sankey PAAS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PAAS — Pan American Silver Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD Score is 54, graded D+, with a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Per the Roarable RQD rating, the five pillars score as follows:

Fundamental Cash Engine (12 / 20): Reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. For a prospective investor, the cash-generation case is modest rather than strong: the FCF yield is low relative to the stock's valuation multiples, so much of the return thesis would depend on future cash flow growth rather than current cash returns.
Whale 13F Flow (5 / 20): The lowest pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. A low score here means the source data does not show strong institutional conviction, which removes one common support for the stock.
Insider Conviction (12 / 20): Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is mid-range, indicating neither strong insider buying nor strong selling conviction in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit (9 / 20): Reflects beta of 0.95 and sector sensitivity. A beta near 1.0 means the stock has tended to move roughly in line with the broader market, with limited defensive cushioning, so its outlook is tied to precious-metals and broader market conditions.
Forensic Balance Sheet (16 / 20): The strongest pillar, reflecting Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39. Per the Roarable RQD rating, these metrics point to a financially sound balance sheet, which is the main positive offset to the weaker cash, flow, and macro scores.

Investor implications: The upside case rests mainly on the balance-sheet strength and the possibility that cash generation improves. The valuation tradeoff is significant: per the market data, the trailing P/E is 32.8 and EV/EBITDA is 21, which leaves limited margin for error if earnings or metals sentiment disappoint. The overall verdict is that the fundamental profile, as scored, does not offer a compelling risk/reward at current levels.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$40.75	$16.9B	32.8	27.6	21	1.24	0%	0.95	$33.08 - $69.99	9.9%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The recent news feed contains six items, all referencing PAAS, with a mix of "CATALYST" and "MARKET WIRE" impact labels:

Market wire items (yellow light): A Yahoo Finance UK report on market action and institutional positioning, a Yahoo Finance report on the stock lagging the broader market, and a GuruFocus report noting the stock rose 3.4% while stating GF Value considers it overvalued with a GF Score of 72/100.
Catalyst items (green light): A ChartMill report on "high growth leadership marks" with momentum needing confirmation, and a Trefis piece questioning whether the stock could rise 50%. A TradingView piece examines whether Timmins operations could drive growth.

Risk watch items: the GuruFocus valuation flag ("overvalued") and the market-wire report on lagging the broader market are the most direct cautionary signals. The Timmins operations mention is the only specific operational reference in the feed; its outcome is not resolved in source data.

Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Open Questions

What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, cash, and debt figures across recent periods? The financials section is empty in the source data.
What is the consensus analyst rating and price target range?
Which institutional holders and insiders have transacted recently, and in what direction?
What specific operations (including Timmins) drive production, and what is the company's cost profile?
Why does the source data show a gross margin of 0% while reporting positive operating and net margins?

PAAS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PAAS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 17h ago

Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS.TO) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance UK report covering Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 20h ago

Pan American Silver (NYSE:PAAS) Earns High Growth Leadership Marks, But Momentum Needs Confirmation

ChartMill report covering Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Trefis • 23h ago

Can Pan American Silver Stock Jump 50%?

Trefis report covering Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Pan American Silver (PAAS) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Why

Yahoo Finance report covering Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) Stock Up 3.4% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 72/100

GuruFocus report covering Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 1d ago

Can Pan American Silver's Timmins Operations Drive Growth?

TradingView report covering Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Pan American Silver: Built To Survive $58 Silver, Priced For $80 (NYSE:PAAS)

Seeking Alpha report covering Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool • 1d ago

4 Best Silver Stocks for 2026 and How to Invest

The Motley Fool report covering Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PAAS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $37.98?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PAAS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $44.01 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PAAS (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $40.75?

Welcome to the PAAS (Pan American Silver Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.01 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $40.75

Pump the brakes on PAAS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PAAS, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Pan American Silver Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $49.72 (+22.0%)

Spot @ $40.75

PAAS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PAAS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $40.75 (52-wk range $33.08 - $69.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.