Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$10.33 -0.77% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.30

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $16.23B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OWL Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OWL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE: OWL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $10.33 (-0.77% 1D, market cap $16.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OWL ranks #273 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OWL compare to BEN and TPG in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), OWL carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 53.1x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.3%. By comparison, BEN (Franklin Templeton Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 31.3x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $16.43B) and TPG (TPG Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 98.2x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $18.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CG leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while OWL leads on capital efficiency (6.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OWL?
β–Ό

Per OWL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001823945), Blue Owl Capital Inc. generated $2.87B in revenue (+25.0% YoY), $305.5M in net income, and $1.20B in free cash flow against $12.47B in total assets and $2.89B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.30 (-0.33%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 41.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.6% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (12)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$18 Bull$11 Base$8 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE OWL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OWL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY OWL SCORES 65/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 41.7% FCF Margin ($1.20B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.6) create a -10 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$9.29-1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$9.20+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$9.31+11% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$10.33+1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (57) β†’ C (65)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OWL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, OWL faces multiple-compression risk if 53.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 53x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.03) or 200D SMA ($10.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.66) toward Bear Floor ($8.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OWLβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œOWL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
5.17% Total Yield
3.37% Cash ($0.35/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
29.7% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (18.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $56,470

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $2,920/yr
$11.9K
Yr 1
$14.1K
Yr 2
$16.8K
Yr 3
$20.0K
Yr 4
$23.8K
Yr 5
$28.3K
Yr 6
$33.6K
Yr 7
$39.9K
Yr 8
$47.5K
Yr 9
$56.5K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in OWL & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on OWL and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OWL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.08%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $9.67H $10.41L $9.67C $10.33VOL 38.06M
RES: $14.33SUP: $8.55SMA50: $10.03SMA200: $10.26
$15.10$13.26$11.42$9.58$7.74RES $14.33SUP $8.55$10.332026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OWL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
38.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OWL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OWL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OWL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OWL)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OWL vs. BEN, TPG, CG, PS)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) ranks #273 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #130 by equity capitalization ($16.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CG leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while OWL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. OWL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OWL ACTIVE
Blue Owl Capital Inc.
C 65/100 53.1x β€” 6.3% -0.77% $16.23B Benchmark Subject
BEN
Franklin Templeton Inc.
C 65/100 31.3x β€” 3.0% -2.16% $16.43B /ben-vs-owl β†’
TPG
TPG Inc.
C 64/100 98.2x β€” 2.5% -2.63% $18.12B /tpg-vs-owl β†’
CG
The Carlyle Group Inc.
E 33/100 17.9x β€” 5.4% -0.96% $14.46B /cg-vs-owl β†’
PS
Pershing Square Inc.
D+ 57/100 β€” β€” β€” -7.10% $19.66B /ps-vs-owl β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001823945

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.87B (+25.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.30B , and +65.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $305.5M, operating cash flow of $1.26B, and free cash flow of $1.20B (+28.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, OWL closed FY2025 with $12.47B in total assets against $2.89B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.87B $305.5M $1.26B $1.20B $12.47B $2.89B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.30B $420.4M $999.6M $935.4M $10.99B $2.33B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.73B $220.8M $949.1M $871.2M $8.93B $2.09B

3. OWL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OWL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE: OWL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $10.33 (-0.77% 1D, market cap $16.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OWL ranks #273 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OWL compare to BEN and TPG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), OWL carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 53.1x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.3%. By comparison, BEN (Franklin Templeton Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 31.3x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $16.43B) and TPG (TPG Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 98.2x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $18.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CG leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while OWL leads on capital efficiency (6.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OWL?

Per OWL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001823945), Blue Owl Capital Inc. generated $2.87B in revenue (+25.0% YoY), $305.5M in net income, and $1.20B in free cash flow against $12.47B in total assets and $2.89B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OWL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OWL last traded at $10.33 (-0.77% on volume of 29,268,740 shares), positioning the stock +2.99% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.03) and +0.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.26). Across its 52-week range of $7.95 to $17.00, OWL sits at the 26.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.8% ($9.32 to $11.34).

OWL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does OWL pay a dividend and is it safe?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) offers a 3.37% cash dividend yield ($0.35 annualized) and 5.17% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 65/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OWL β€” Blue Owl Capital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OWL scores 65 out of 100, a C grade, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 14 of 20 (ROIC 6.3%; FCF yield 7.38%), suggesting a moderately productive cash-generating model relative to the capital it employs. Whale/13F flow scores 12 of 20, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning that is supportive but not decisive. Insider conviction scores 14 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro regime fit is the weakest pillar at 10 of 20, reflecting a beta of 1.14 and sector sensitivity, meaning the stock is likely to amplify broader market moves. Forensic balance sheet scores 15 of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are the cash generation and balance-sheet strength; the valuation tradeoff is that trailing P/E of 53.1 and EV/EBITDA of 44.4 are elevated against the reported ROIC, and the macro-sensitivity pillar argues for expecting volatility. The rating frames this as a balanced risk-reward setup rather than a clear-cut opportunity. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$10.41$16.23B53.144.644.40.23.37%1.14$7.95 - $176.3%

Business

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and Investment Managers industry, per the company profile. Not available in source data for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix. The profile identifies the market capitalization at $16.2B. Not available in source data for the specific monetization model beyond the reported revenue and operating figures in the financials section.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2870.2M$360.5M$305.5MN/A$1198.3M$194.5M$2886.1M
FY 2024$2295.4M$496.1M$420.4MN/A$935.4M$152.1M$2333.9M
FY 2023$1731.6M$260.5M$220.8MN/A$871.2MN/A$2088.8M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $1731.6M in FY 2023 to $2870.2M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $420.4M in FY 2024 down to $305.5M in FY 2025. Operating margin is reported at 13% and net margin at 10.6%, with ROIC at 6.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5, and reported debt rose from $2088.8M to $2886.1M over the period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news feed, headlines include a Reuters report that Blue Owl's third-quarter profit beat estimates with AUM hitting a record $330 billion (CATALYST, GREEN), a Financial Times report on a planned "big push" into insurance (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), a Seeking Alpha piece titled as speculative but at a bargain price (CATALYST, GREEN), and an Investing.com report that the stock hit a 52-week low at 9.81 USD (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). Additional items cover record fundraising and private-credit positioning tied to AI infrastructure financing. Risk watch items include the 52-week low reference and the elevated valuation multiples. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition of the reported $2886.1M debt, and what are its maturity and interest-rate terms?
  • What drove the decline in net income from $420.4M (FY 2024) to $305.5M (FY 2025) despite revenue growth?
  • Does the reported 13% operating margin reflect a sustainable trend, and how does it compare with peers?
  • What is the basis for the record AUM figure and how much of fundraising is tied to the AI infrastructure theme?
  • What specific insider and institutional flows underlie the insider conviction and whale-flow pillar scores?

OWL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to OWL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OWL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $10.33?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OWL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OWL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $11.24 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OWL (C β€’ RQD 65/100) a Buy at $10.41?

Welcome to the OWL (Blue Owl Capital Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (53.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.91 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $10.41

Pump the brakes on OWL β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OWL, but look at what you are paying: 53.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Blue Owl Capital Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.70 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $10.41

OWL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OWL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.41 (52-wk range $7.95 - $17.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%