OPENLANE Inc. (OPLN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$39.01 +0.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.98

OPENLANE Inc. (OPLN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.73B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OPLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, OPENLANE Inc. (NYSE: OPLN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $39.01 (+0.65% 1D, market cap $4.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OPLN ranks #274 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OPLN compare to RUSHA and AN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), OPLN carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.5%. By comparison, RUSHA (Rush Enterprises Inc. Cl A) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $5.08B) and AN (AutoNation Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 8.6x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $5.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABG leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while AN leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPLN?
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Per OPLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001395942), OPENLANE Inc. generated $1.93B in revenue (+8.2% YoY), $177.7M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.72B in total assets and $530.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.98 (-0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (16)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$47 Bull$40 Base$31 Bear
📬 FREE OPLN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OPLN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OPLN SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.8% FCF Margin ($132.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$36.34+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$36.99+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$37.44+4.2% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$39.01+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OPLN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, OPLN faces multiple-compression risk if 26.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($35.79) or 200D SMA ($34.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.89) toward Bear Floor ($31.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OPLN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OPLN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your OPLN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $39.01: 256.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $31.11
$7,975
$-2,025 (-20.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $39.89
$10,226
+$226 (+2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $47.07
$12,066
+$2,066 (+20.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$4469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OPLN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OPLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.68%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $37.74H $39.01L $37.74C $39.01VOL 977.7K
RES: $42.21SUP: $34.52SMA50: $35.79SMA200: $34.19
$43.93$39.67$35.41$31.16$26.90RES $42.21SUP $34.52$39.012026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OPLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OPLN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OPLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OPLN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OPLN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #274 of 1011 ⚔️ RUSHA vs OPLN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OPLN vs. RUSHA, AN, ABG, LAD)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OPENLANE Inc. (OPLN) ranks #274 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #281 by equity capitalization ($4.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABG leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while AN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 17.9% gross margin. OPLN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OPLN ACTIVE
OPENLANE Inc.
C 63/100 26.6x — 9.5% +0.65% $4.73B Benchmark Subject
RUSHA
Rush Enterprises Inc. Cl A
C 63/100 19.1x 20.7% 13.7% -1.29% $5.08B /rusha-vs-opln →
AN
AutoNation Inc.
D- 40/100 8.6x 17.9% 18.9% +6.08% $5.60B /an-vs-opln →
ABG
Asbury Automotive Group Inc
D 49/100 7.3x 17.1% 14.0% -0.62% $3.58B /abg-vs-opln →
LAD
Lithia Motors Inc.
D 45/100 7.8x 15.2% 11.1% +0.90% $6.42B /lad-vs-opln →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001395942

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OPENLANE Inc. (OPLN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.93B (+8.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.79B , and +14.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $177.7M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, OPLN closed FY2025 with $4.72B in total assets against $530.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.93B $177.7M — — $4.72B $530.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.79B $109.9M — — $4.62B $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.70B -$154.1M — — — —

3. OPLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OPLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, OPENLANE Inc. (NYSE: OPLN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $39.01 (+0.65% 1D, market cap $4.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OPLN ranks #274 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OPLN compare to RUSHA and AN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), OPLN carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.5%. By comparison, RUSHA (Rush Enterprises Inc. Cl A) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $5.08B) and AN (AutoNation Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 8.6x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $5.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABG leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while AN leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPLN?

Per OPLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001395942), OPENLANE Inc. generated $1.93B in revenue (+8.2% YoY), $177.7M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.72B in total assets and $530.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OPLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OPLN last traded at $39.01 (+0.65% on volume of 697,636 shares), positioning the stock +9.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($35.79) and +14.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($34.19). Across its 52-week range of $24.32 to $42.90, OPLN sits at the 79.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($36.98 to $41.04).

OPLN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is OPLN's 12-month stock price target?

OPENLANE Inc. (OPLN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $39.89 (+2.3% from $39.01), with a bull-case target of $47.07 and a bear-case floor of $31.11.

Is OPLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates OPLN C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 63/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OPLN — OPENLANE Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:21:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OPLN scores 63 out of 100 with a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13 / 20): The rating cites ROIC of 9.5% and FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, the return on invested capital is positive but modest, and the absence of free-cash-flow yield signals that the cash-generation case is not yet visible in the rating inputs.
  • Whale 13F Flow (16 / 20): The rating notes institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar, suggesting institutional interest is a supportive factor, though the underlying holder detail is not provided in this dossier.
  • Insider Conviction (9 / 20): The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow at a lower score, indicating insider and congressional signals are weaker than institutional ones.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12 / 20): Beta is 1.0 and the rating reflects sector sensitivity, meaning the stock is expected to move roughly in line with the market rather than amplifying or dampening it.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): The rating cites Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.43, a mid-range forensic profile.

Taken together, the pillar mix points to a balanced setup: institutional support and a reasonable balance sheet offset a thin cash-yield case and muted insider signals. Valuation is a meaningful tradeoff. At a P/E (TTM) of 26.6 and EV/EBITDA of 26, the price already embeds substantial expectations, so upside depends on earnings and cash-flow growth catching up to the multiple. The 52-week range of $24.32 - $42.9 places the current price of 38.76 in the upper portion of that band.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
38.76$4.73B26.624.7261.460%1.0$24.32 - $42.99.5%

Business

OPENLANE Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations industry, per the company profile. Source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond this classification. Revenue figures are reported in the Financial Trend section.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1934.5M$196.6M$177.7MN/AN/A$141.5M$530.1M
FY 2024$1788.5M$182.2M$109.9MN/AN/A$143.0M$0.0M
FY 2023$1695.7M$-135.8M$-154.1MN/AN/AN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1695.7M in FY 2023 to $1934.5M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $-154.1M to $177.7M over the same span. Market data reports an operating margin of 10.2%, a net margin of 9.2%, and ROIC of 9.5%. The gross margin is listed as 0%, and FCF yield as 0%, which the source does not explain. The Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 are cited in the RQD rating. Debt rose from $0.0M in FY 2024 to $530.1M in FY 2025, while Debt/Equity is listed at 0.43.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Recent headlines from Yahoo Finance, Simply Wall St, MarketBeat, and Stock Titan are all tagged to OPLN. Items include a headline on a possible undervaluation following a November results date update (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE), a note that Wall Street expects earnings growth in a report due next week (GREEN, CATALYST), a Q3 earnings-date report questioning fair value (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE), a brokerage-views piece (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE), a report on Vanguard holding sole voting power over 870,789 shares (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE), and a stock forecast and analyst predictions piece (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE). The feed contains headlines only; no article body content, earnings figures, or price-target values are provided. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drove the swing from a FY 2023 operating loss of $-135.8M to FY 2025 operating income of $196.6M, and is that improvement repeatable?
  • Why is FCF yield 0% and FCF reported as N/A for each period despite positive net income?
  • What explains the jump in debt from $0.0M in FY 2024 to $530.1M in FY 2025, and how is it being serviced?
  • What does the Vanguard 13F stake and the broader institutional accumulation cited in the rating represent in share count and percentage terms?
  • Which specific catalysts and earnings expectations do the November results-date headlines reference?

OPLN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OPENLANE Inc. (OPLN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OPLN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OPLN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $39.01?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OPLN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OPLN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $41.86 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OPLN (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $38.76?

Welcome to the OPLN (OPENLANE Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $30.62 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $38.76

Pump the brakes on OPLN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OPLN, but look at what you are paying: 26.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless OPENLANE Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $48.06 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $38.76

OPLN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OPLN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $38.76 (52-wk range $24.32 - $42.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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