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Onfolio Holdings Inc. (ONFO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.47 +1.91% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.47

Onfolio Holdings Inc. (ONFO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ONFO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Onfolio Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ONFO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $0.47 (+1.91% 1D, market cap $1.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ONFO ranks #692 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ONFO compare to SVRE and CHGA in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), ONFO carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SVRE (SaverOne 2014 Ltd.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.6M) and CHGA (Change Agents Corporation) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGMH leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while AGMH leads on capital efficiency (-9.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONFO?
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Per ONFO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001825452), Onfolio Holdings Inc. generated $10.7M in revenue (+36.5% YoY), -$2.6M in net income, and -$938.2K in free cash flow against $11.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.47 (+0.15%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (5)SEC (3)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17% Base Target
$130 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE ONFO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ONFO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ONFO SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 27.1 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 59.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$0.64-14.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$0.55-12.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$0.48-2.1% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$0.47-11.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → E (22)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ONFO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ONFO currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.85) and Max Pain ($0.49) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $130.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ONFO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ONFO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ONFO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ONFO.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ONFO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ONFO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ONFO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -99.18%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $0.50H $0.50L $0.47C $0.47VOL 81.6K
RES: $-3.05SUP: $0.27SMA50: $0.85SMA200: $21.05
$67.38$49.23$31.08$12.94$-5.21RES $-3.05SUP $0.27$0.472026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ONFO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +36.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONFO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONFO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ONFO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ONFO)

Technology Rank #692 of 715 ⚔️ SVRE vs ONFO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ONFO vs. SVRE, CHGA, HTCR, AGMH)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Onfolio Holdings Inc. (ONFO) ranks #692 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #710 by equity capitalization ($1.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGMH leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while AGMH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -9.5% ROIC and 10.3% gross margin. SVRE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with ONFO at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ONFO ACTIVE
Onfolio Holdings Inc.
E 22/100 — 59.9% -35.0% +1.91% $1.2M Benchmark Subject
SVRE
SaverOne 2014 Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -5.15% $1.6M /svre-vs-onfo →
CHGA
Change Agents Corporation
D- 35/100 — — -35.0% -33.93% $1.7M /chga-vs-onfo →
HTCR
Heartcore Enterprises Inc.
E 30/100 — — -33.7% -2.03% $2.2M /htcr-vs-onfo →
AGMH
AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 33/100 4.8x 10.3% -9.5% -0.79% $2.6M /agmh-vs-onfo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001825452 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Onfolio Holdings Inc. (ONFO) reported GAAP revenue of $10.7M (+36.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.9M , and +104.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.6M, operating cash flow of -$938.2K, and free cash flow of -$938.2K (+19.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ONFO closed FY2025 with $11.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $10.7M -$2.6M -$938.2K -$938.2K $11.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.9M -$1.8M -$1.2M -$1.2M $9.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.2M -$9.2M -$2.8M -$2.8M — —

3. ONFO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ONFO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Onfolio Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ONFO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $0.47 (+1.91% 1D, market cap $1.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ONFO ranks #692 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ONFO compare to SVRE and CHGA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), ONFO carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SVRE (SaverOne 2014 Ltd.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.6M) and CHGA (Change Agents Corporation) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGMH leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while AGMH leads on capital efficiency (-9.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONFO?

Per ONFO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001825452), Onfolio Holdings Inc. generated $10.7M in revenue (+36.5% YoY), -$2.6M in net income, and -$938.2K in free cash flow against $11.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ONFO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ONFO last traded at $0.47 (+1.91% on volume of 32,027 shares), positioning the stock -44.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.85) and -97.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($21.05). Across its 52-week range of $0.42 to $123.90, ONFO sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.53).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 22/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ONFO — Onfolio Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Onfolio Holdings Inc. (ONFO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 22/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.47 (+1.91% 1D, market capitalization $1.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 59.9%, operating margin of -25.7%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Onfolio Holdings Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the EDP Services industry. Reported revenue appears in the SEC financials, growing from $5.2M in FY 2023 to $10.7M in FY 2025. The filings reviewed do not break revenue down by product line or customer type.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Onfolio Holdings Inc. (ONFO) reported $10.7M in annual revenue (up from $7.9M in FY2024, +36.5% YoY) and -$2.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.2M revenue, -$9.2M net income) through FY2025, ONFO scaled operating cash flow to -$938.2K and free cash flow to -$938.2K, backed by $11.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 22/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.42 – $123.90 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -25.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in EDP Services (Technology), ONFO carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 59.9%.

  • Key Question #1: Can ONFO sustain or expand its -25.7% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $10.7M and free cash flow of -$938.2K, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ONFO's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ONFO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Onfolio Holdings Inc. (ONFO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ONFO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ONFO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.47?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ONFO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ONFO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.56 (+19.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional whale 13F accumulation earns the rating's highest pillar score (15 of 20), and revenue grew from $5.2M in FY 2023 to $10.

Don't sleep on ONFO's setup in Technology. Institutional whale 13F accumulation earns the rating's highest pillar score (15 of 20), and revenue grew from $5.2M in FY 2023 to $10.7M in FY 2025.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (22/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 22/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $0.47 and keeping dry powder in case we test $0.44.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.39 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $0.47

ROIC of -35%, Altman Z of 0.2, Piotroski F of 3/9, and a pending forbearance agreement on an $850,000 note point to forensic and listin

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ONFO: ROIC of -35%, Altman Z of 0.2, Piotroski F of 3/9, and a pending forbearance agreement on an $850,000 note point to forensic and listing-compliance risk.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in EDP Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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