OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$9.64 +0.63% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.63

OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $159.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ONEW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ONEW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $9.64 (+0.63% 1D, market cap $159.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ONEW ranks #876 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ONEW compare to PRTS and HZO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto & Home Supply Stores), ONEW carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.8%, and ROIC of -11.2%. By comparison, PRTS (CarParts.com Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $69.5M) and HZO (MarineMax Inc. (FL)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $1.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AZO leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while AZO leads on capital efficiency (55.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONEW?
β–Ό

Per ONEW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001772921), OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) generated $1.87B in revenue (+5.6% YoY), -$114.6M in net income, and $79.7M in free cash flow against $1.44B in total assets and $325.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.63 (-0.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 4.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (4)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target
$17 Bull$8 Base$7 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ONEW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ONEW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ONEW SCORES 31/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.3% FCF Margin ($79.7M FCF) & 22.8% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.30 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
23
Grade E$9.47-1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$9.35+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$9.49+1.6% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$9.64-9.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (23) β†’ E (31)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ONEW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ONEW currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.20) and Max Pain ($10.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.51.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ONEWβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œONEW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ONEW Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ONEW)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ONEW. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ONEW)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ONEW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ONEW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.58%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $9.44H $9.64L $9.44C $9.64VOL 167.7K
RES: $11.19SUP: $8.37SMA50: $10.20SMA200: $11.06
$14.62$13.01$11.39$9.78$8.17RES $11.19SUP $8.37$9.642026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ONEW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONEW today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONEW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ONEW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ONEW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #876 of 1011 βš”οΈ PRTS vs ONEW Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ONEW vs. PRTS, HZO, AAP, AZO)

Industry: Auto & Home Supply Stores (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) ranks #876 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #721 by equity capitalization ($159.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AZO leads on earnings valuation at 20.2x trailing P/E, while AZO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.8% ROIC and 52.6% gross margin. AZO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ONEW at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ONEW ACTIVE
OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 β€” 22.8% -11.2% +0.63% $159.7M Benchmark Subject
PRTS
CarParts.com Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 32.8% -35.0% -19.95% $69.5M /prts-vs-onew β†’
HZO
MarineMax Inc. (FL)
D 51/100 β€” 32.5% 2.4% +0.32% $1.16B /hzo-vs-onew β†’
AAP
Advance Auto Parts Inc.
E 28/100 62.8x 43.4% -1.4% -1.36% $2.76B /aap-vs-onew β†’
AZO
AutoZone Inc.
C+ 67/100 20.2x 52.6% 55.8% +1.05% $50.49B /azo-vs-onew β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-09-30 β€’ CIK 0001772921

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.87B (+5.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.77B , and -3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$114.6M, operating cash flow of $91.8M, and free cash flow of $79.7M (+793.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ONEW closed FY2025 with $1.44B in total assets against $325.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.30, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.87B -$114.6M $91.8M $79.7M $1.44B $325.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.77B -$5.7M $34.8M $8.9M $1.61B $412.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.94B -$38.6M -$129.8M -$129.8M β€” β€”

3. ONEW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ONEW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ONEW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $9.64 (+0.63% 1D, market cap $159.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ONEW ranks #876 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ONEW compare to PRTS and HZO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto & Home Supply Stores), ONEW carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.8%, and ROIC of -11.2%. By comparison, PRTS (CarParts.com Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $69.5M) and HZO (MarineMax Inc. (FL)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $1.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AZO leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while AZO leads on capital efficiency (55.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONEW?

Per ONEW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001772921), OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) generated $1.87B in revenue (+5.6% YoY), -$114.6M in net income, and $79.7M in free cash flow against $1.44B in total assets and $325.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ONEW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ONEW last traded at $9.64 (+0.63% on volume of 125,606 shares), positioning the stock -5.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.20) and -12.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.06). Across its 52-week range of $8.12 to $15.72, ONEW sits at the 20.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.4% ($8.44 to $10.84).

ONEW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are ONEW insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ONEW leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 31/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ONEW β€” OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:42:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ONEW carries an RQD Score of 31 and a letter grade of E, with the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC -11.2%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 4/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 1.3; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 1.17).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars cluster around cash generation and institutional or insider conviction. A 0% FCF yield and -11.2% ROIC indicate that, on the sourced figures, the business is not currently earning a return on invested capital, which limits the valuation support a buyer can rely on. The Altman Z-Score of 1.3 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 sit in the zone the rating flags as forensic risk. The only sourced upside lever in the rating is a Beta of 1.0, which means the stock tracks the market rather than amplifying it; this is a neutral characteristic, not a return driver. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data. The overall implication is that the rating frames ONEW as a name where downside risk is the dominant consideration on current evidence.

Business

OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto & Home Supply Stores industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. Market capitalization is shown as $0.2B in the profile and $159.7M in market data. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1872.3M$-85.5M$-114.6MN/A$79.7MN/A$325.8M
FY 2024$1772.6M$64.8M$-5.7MN/A$8.9MN/A$412.6M
FY 2023$1936.3M$18.1M$-38.6MN/A$-129.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income was negative in all three reported periods, and operating income turned negative in FY 2025. Market data shows a gross margin of 22.8%, operating margin of -4.6%, and net margin of -6.1%, with ROIC of -11.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.3 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity of 1.17. Debt reported in the SEC financials declined from $412.6M in FY 2024 to $325.8M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Truist reduced its price target on OneWater Marine to $12 from $13 while keeping a Buy rating (RED light, RISK WATCH; Yahoo Finance).
  • A MarketBeat report noted the stock fell 3.1% (RED light, RISK WATCH).
  • A Stock Traders Daily item referenced price-sensitive allocations (YELLOW light, MARKET WIRE).
  • An ad-hoc-news.de item described Truist trimming its target amid 2026 headwinds (YELLOW light, MARKET WIRE).
  • A MarketBeat item covered the Q4 2026 earnings date and estimates (YELLOW light, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Simply Wall St analysis item was tagged YELLOW, MARKET WIRE; its headline references a different issuer and its content is not summarized here.
  • Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded for ONEW. Supply-chain dependencies are therefore not available in source data. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this dataset cannot identify second-order bottlenecks; any such analysis would require sources not included here.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's current EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, given that all valuation multiples are unavailable?
  • What is the cash balance in each reported period, since the cash field is N/A across all filings?
  • What drove the swing from positive FY 2024 operating income to negative FY 2025 operating income?
  • What is the composition and maturity schedule of the debt reported at $325.8M?
  • What analyst consensus, holder positioning, and insider activity exist, given that analyst and holder data are unavailable?

ONEW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ONEW Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ONEW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $9.64?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ONEW 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ONEW:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.43 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ONEW (E β€’ RQD 31/100) a Buy at $9.58?

Welcome to the ONEW (OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Auto & Home Supply Stores. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.28 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $9.58

Pump the brakes on ONEW β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ONEW, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 22.8% gross margins. Unless OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.17 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $9.58

ONEW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ONEW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto & Home Supply Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.58 (52-wk range $8.12 - $15.72), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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