OIO Group (OIO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.90 +0.53% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.90

OIO Group (OIO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $657.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, OIO Group (NASDAQ: OIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (+0.53% 1D, market cap $657.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, OIO ranks #64 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OIO compare to CWST and QRHC in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), OIO carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CWST (Casella Waste Systems Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.75B) and QRHC (Quest Resource Holding Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.3%, cap $23.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWX leads on earnings multiple (30.7x) while GFL leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OIO?
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For OIO Group (OIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #64 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.90 (-0.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.7% Base Target
$13 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE OIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OIO SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.5% FCF Margin ($18.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$1.82-1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$1.80+2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$1.85+2.7% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$1.90-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OIO currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.81) and Max Pain ($1.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

OIO Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (OIO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on OIO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OIO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.70%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $1.95H $1.95L $1.89C $1.90VOL 104.5K
RES: $3.17SUP: $1.23SMA50: $1.81SMA200: $4.55
$10.75$8.21$5.66$3.12$0.57RES $3.17SUP $1.23$1.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OIO)

Utilities Rank #64 of 117 ⚔️ CWST vs OIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (OIO vs. CWST, QRHC, GFL, AWX)

Industry: Environmental Services (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OIO Group (OIO) ranks #64 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #83 by equity capitalization ($657.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AWX leads on earnings valuation at 30.7x trailing P/E, while GFL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. GFL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with OIO at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OIO ACTIVE
OIO Group
D 50/100 — — — +0.53% $657.8M Benchmark Subject
CWST
Casella Waste Systems Inc.
D+ 57/100 — 33.8% 2.4% +3.34% $5.75B /cwst-vs-oio →
QRHC
Quest Resource Holding Corporation
E 30/100 — 17.0% -12.3% -1.80% $23.4M /qrhc-vs-oio →
GFL
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value
B 72/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.38% $19.64B /gfl-vs-oio →
AWX
Avalon Holdings Corporation
D+ 54/100 30.7x 19.5% 2.6% +2.36% $9.9M /awx-vs-oio →

2. OIO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

OIO Group (OIO) operates in Environmental Services (Utilities) with an equity capitalization of $657.8M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. OIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, OIO Group (NASDAQ: OIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (+0.53% 1D, market cap $657.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, OIO ranks #64 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OIO compare to CWST and QRHC in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), OIO carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CWST (Casella Waste Systems Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.75B) and QRHC (Quest Resource Holding Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.3%, cap $23.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWX leads on earnings multiple (30.7x) while GFL leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OIO?

For OIO Group (OIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #64 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OIO last traded at $1.90 (+0.53% on volume of 103,915 shares), positioning the stock +4.97% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.81) and -58.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.55). Across its 52-week range of $1.36 to $12.00, OIO sits at the 5.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.66 to $2.14).

OIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are OIO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies OIO leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OIO — OIO Group: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:15:18Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OIO scores 50 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital and no free cash flow yield supporting the current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning as weak. No holder-level detail is available in the source data, so the cause of this score cannot be traced.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. The rating reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying trade records are not included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is modeled to move in line with the broad market, which provides no defensive cushion.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These are the strongest pillar, but they do not offset the weak cash generation.

Taken together, the score suggests the balance sheet is the most stable element, while cash generation, institutional flow, and insider signals are the weakest. Upside drivers would need to come from a turnaround in cash generation, which the source data does not evidence. The valuation tradeoff is that the price of $1.89 sits well above the 52-week low of $1.36 but far below the high of $12, so the stock has already experienced a large drawdown.

Business

Per the profile, OIO Group (OIO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, Environmental Services industry. Not available in source data for product detail, customer base, or revenue model.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference OIO:

  • A Simply Wall St report covering market action and fundamental catalysts (YELLOW).
  • A Moomoo quote and news page (YELLOW).
  • A Yahoo! Finance seasonal returns chart (YELLOW).
  • A market wire item reporting the stock climbing 7.06% to $1.82, pressing toward $1.91 resistance (YELLOW).
  • A Yahoo! Finance page for a different company, Hongli Group Inc. (HLP), tagged as related to OIO (YELLOW). This item is a data-association concern and should be treated with caution.
  • A market wire item reporting shares rallying 6.67% to $1.76 (GREEN, labeled CATALYST).

The most recent price-action items show short-term rebounds from the $1.76 to $1.82 range. The only item tagged as a CATALYST is the 6.67% rally. Several items are generic quote pages with no company-specific news. Risk watch: one item is mis-associated with another ticker, and the source does not identify a fundamental news event.

Per the Butterfly supply-chain graph, the sector is Utilities, the industry is Environmental Services, and the supply chain is listed as NONE. No butterfly links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain dependencies are recorded (supply chain: NONE, butterfly links: none, proprietary signals: none). Upstream and downstream relationships, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. A prospective investor should watch for disclosures on customers, suppliers, and sector peers, none of which are present here.

Open Questions

  • What are OIO's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow for recent periods? The financials section is empty.
  • What drives the zero reported margins and zero ROIC, and is there a path to positive cash generation?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders are driving the whale and insider pillar scores, and what are the trade dates and sizes?
  • Is the Hongli Group (HLP) news item a true OIO catalyst, or a data-association error in the news feed?
  • What is the company's customer and supplier structure within Environmental Services, given that no supply-chain links are recorded?

OIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OIO Group (OIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.90?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OIO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OIO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $2.04 (+7.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OIO (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $1.89?

Welcome to the OIO (OIO Group) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Environmental Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.57 (-16.9%)
Spot @ $1.89

Pump the brakes on OIO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OIO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless OIO Group expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.27 (+20.1%)
Spot @ $1.89

OIO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OIO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Environmental Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.89 (52-wk range $1.36 - $12.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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