Stock Ratings / Financials / OBDC / options

BBDC (65) IX (58) TROO (40) EBC (69) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$10.39 -1.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.35

Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.18B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OBDC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (NYSE: OBDC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $10.39 (-1.05% 1D, market cap $5.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OBDC ranks #277 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OBDC compare to BBDC and IX in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Diversified Financial Services), OBDC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, BBDC (Barings BDC Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $912.0M) and IX (ORIX Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $40.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OBDC leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while IX leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OBDC?

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Per OBDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001655888), Blue Owl Capital Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $627.4M in net income, and $1.74B in free cash flow against $17.19B in total assets and $4.41B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.35 (-0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 43.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OBDC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OBDC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 43.5% FCF Margin ($1.74B FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.8) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$10.07-1.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$9.92+2.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$10.16+2.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C$10.39+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OBDC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, OBDC faces multiple-compression risk if 8.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.67) or 200D SMA ($11.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.72) toward Bear Floor ($8.36).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OBDC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OBDC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (OBDC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for OBDC.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating OBDC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on OBDC
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OBDC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.95%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $10.14H $10.50L $10.14C $10.39VOL 4.21M

RES: $11.98SUP: $9.60SMA50: $10.67SMA200: $11.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OBDC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OBDC Butterfly Map → + Track OBDC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OBDC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OBDC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OBDC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OBDC)

Financials Rank #277 of 1096 ⚔️ BBDC vs OBDC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OBDC vs. BBDC, IX, TROO, EBC)

Industry: Diversified Financial Services (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) ranks #277 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #270 by equity capitalization ($5.18B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OBDC leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while IX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. EBC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with OBDC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OBDC ACTIVE Blue Owl Capital Corporation	C	65/100	8.3x	—	6.4%	-1.05%	$5.18B	Benchmark Subject
BBDC Barings BDC Inc.	C	65/100	8.9x	—	8.8%	-0.69%	$912.0M	/bbdc-vs-obdc →
IX ORIX Corporation	D+	58/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-1.39%	$40.70B	/ix-vs-obdc →
TROO TROOPS Inc.	D-	40/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.76%	$282.2M	/troo-vs-obdc →
EBC Eastern Bankshares Inc.	C+	69/100	58.6x	—	0.7%	-1.10%	$5.17B	/ebc-vs-obdc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001655888

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $627.4M, operating cash flow of $1.74B, and free cash flow of $1.74B (+987.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, OBDC closed FY2025 with $17.19B in total assets against $4.41B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$627.4M	$1.74B	$1.74B	$17.19B	$4.41B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$595.0M	$160.2M	$160.2M	$13.87B	$3.56B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$793.3M	$1.14B	$1.14B	$2.85B	$666.4M

3. OBDC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OBDC compare to BBDC and IX in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OBDC?

Where is OBDC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OBDC last traded at $10.39 (-1.05% on volume of 3,691,621 shares), positioning the stock -2.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.67) and -6.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.13). Across its 52-week range of $9.81 to $13.57, OBDC sits at the 15.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($9.87 to $10.91).

OBDC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is OBDC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for OBDC.

Direct Sub-Reports: OBDC RQD Cockpit OBDC 12M Forecast OBDC Earnings & Move OBDC Dividends & DRIP OBDC Insiders & 13F OBDC Whale Options OBDC Profit Sankey OBDC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OBDC — Blue Owl Capital Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:41Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OBDC scores 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 6.4% and FCF yield is 22%. The strong FCF yield is the main upside driver in this pillar, while the modest ROIC indicates the business is not generating high returns on invested capital.
Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. The RQD rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning as the basis, but no underlying 13F holdings data is provided in the source data. This is a below-midpoint score.
Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the strongest pillar and suggests insider-side conviction, though the underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.06 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. The stock carries roughly market-level volatility, and the score signals limited alignment with the current macro regime.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Piotroski reading is a notable strength; the Altman Z sits in a range that warrants monitoring rather than signaling distress.

Taken together, the pillars point to a stock with a strong income and cash-flow profile and a supportive insider signal, offset by weaker institutional flow and macro-regime alignment. Valuation metrics in the market data (P/E TTM 8.3, Forward P/E 7) indicate the stock is priced at a low multiple relative to its earnings, which is the main valuation tradeoff: lower multiples can reflect either undervaluation or market skepticism about durability. The 11.5% dividend yield is high in absolute terms, and sustainability depends on the cash-flow durability the source data does not fully resolve. The RQD verdict of "Hold" reflects this balance rather than a directional call.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
10.5	$5.18B	8.3	7	8.8	1.27	11.5%	1.06	$9.81 - $13.57	6.4%

Business

Per the Profile section, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Diversified Financial Services industry. Not available in source data for product lines, customer segments, or revenue model detail. The market data reports a 52.8% operating margin and 43.3% net margin, but the source data does not describe the underlying business activities that generate them.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$740.3M	$627.4M	N/A	$1741.5M	N/A	$4405.1M
FY 2024	$0.0M	$702.1M	$595.0M	N/A	$160.2M	N/A	$3560.7M
FY 2023	$0.0M	$936.1M	$793.3M	N/A	$1135.6M	N/A	$666.4M

Per the SEC financials, net income declined from $793.3M (FY 2023) to $595.0M (FY 2024) before rising to $627.4M (FY 2025). Reported debt rose from $666.4M to $4405.1M across the same three periods. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Per the market data, ROIC is 6.4%, the gross margin is 0%, the operating margin is 52.8%, and the net margin is 43.3%.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six headlines from the news feed are provided, all tagged to OBDC with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label:

Yahoo Finance: a piece asking whether the stock is undervalued.
Seeking Alpha: a piece titled around a "Dividend Reset" with the stock at "72 Cents On The Dollar."
Zacks Investment Research: an article citing a 25.99% analyst upside figure.
TradingView: an estimates page for OBDC.
24/7 Wall St.: a piece on the private-credit market, referencing a "Biggest Test May Still Be Coming."
Seeking Alpha: a second piece titled "Resisting The Sirens Of Blue Owl Capital."

Per the news feed, the headlines reference a dividend reset and a forthcoming test for private credit; the summaries are generic and do not give the underlying detail. Risk watch items include the dividend reset referenced in the headlines and the private-credit test referenced by 24/7 Wall St. Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply_chain value is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What is the composition of the reported debt increase from $666.4M (FY 2023) to $4405.1M (FY 2025), and how is it structured?
What specifically constitutes the dividend reset referenced in the news headlines, and how does it relate to the 11.5% dividend yield?
Which insider Form 4 transactions and Congressional PTRs make up the cluster flow scored in the insider conviction pillar?
What are the underlying 13F holdings and options positions behind the whale flow score of 9 / 20?
What does the EPS field, reported as N/A across all periods, correspond to, and how does it reconcile with the EPS (TTM) of 1.27?

OBDC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OBDC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 6h ago

Is Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) Stock Undervalued Right Now?

Yahoo Finance report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 9h ago

Blue Owl Capital Corporation: 72 Cents On The Dollar After The Dividend Reset (NYSE:OBDC)

Seeking Alpha report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Zacks Investment Research • 12h ago

Wall Street Analysts See a 25.99% Upside in Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC): Can the Stock Really Move This High?

Zacks Investment Research report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 15h ago

Blue Owl Capital Corporation Estimates – NYSE:OBDC

TradingView report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE 24/7 Wall St. • 18h ago

The $2 Trillion Private-Credit Market Just Got Some Good News - but Its Biggest Test May Still Be Coming

24/7 Wall St. report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 21h ago

Resisting The Sirens Of Blue Owl Capital (NYSE:OBDC)

Seeking Alpha report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Sound Income Strategies LLC Acquires 1,345,081 Shares of Blue Owl Capital Corporation $OBDC

MarketBeat report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 1d ago

Blue Owl Capital Corp (1D6.HA) latest stock news and headlines – Yahoo Finance

Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OBDC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.39?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OBDC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $11.34 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OBDC (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $10.50?

Welcome to the OBDC (Blue Owl Capital Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Diversified Financial Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.51 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $10.50

Pump the brakes on OBDC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OBDC, but look at what you are paying: 8.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Blue Owl Capital Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.34 (+27.0%)

Spot @ $10.50

OBDC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OBDC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Financial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.50 (52-wk range $9.81 - $13.57), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.