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NextPlat Corp (NXPL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$8.30 +2.34% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.32

NextPlat Corp (NXPL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $22.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NXPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, NextPlat Corp (NASDAQ: NXPL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $8.30 (+2.34% 1D, market cap $22.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NXPL ranks #108 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NXPL compare to UTSI and SNT in the Communication Services sector?
β–Ό

Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NXPL carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UTSI (UTStarcom Holdings Corp.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.0M) and SNT (Senstar Technologies Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $36.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNT leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while SNT leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXPL?
β–Ό

Per NXPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001058307), NextPlat Corp generated $54.3M in revenue (-17.8% YoY), -$10.5K in net income, and -$6.2M in free cash flow against $27.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.32 (+0.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (8)SEC (7)Macro (11)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
$10 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NXPL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXPL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NXPL SCORES 32/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (34% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 75% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$9.00+0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$9.05-4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$8.62-3.7% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$8.30-9.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (40) β†’ E (32)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXPL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While NXPL currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.99) and Max Pain ($8.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.44.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXPLβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNXPL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 32%NO 68%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NXPL)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NXPL.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXPL)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of NXPL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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NXPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +31.12%πŸ“ WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $8.30H $8.30L $8.11C $8.30VOL 25.3K
RES: $9.83SUP: $6.36SMA50: $8.99SMA200: $6.83
$10.27$8.90$7.53$6.16$4.80RES $9.83SUP $6.36$8.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ NXPL Butterfly Map β†’ + Track NXPL β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -17.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXPL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXPL)

Communication Services Rank #108 of 132 βš”οΈ UTSI vs NXPL Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NXPL vs. UTSI, SNT, KSCP, IQST)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NextPlat Corp (NXPL) ranks #108 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #114 by equity capitalization ($22.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SNT leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while SNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 65.5% gross margin. SNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with NXPL at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NXPL ACTIVE
NextPlat Corp
E 32/100 β€” 20.1% -35.0% +2.34% $22.0M Benchmark Subject
UTSI
UTStarcom Holdings Corp.
E 29/100 β€” 11.7% -35.0% -0.45% $21.0M /utsi-vs-nxpl β†’
SNT
Senstar Technologies Corporation
D 50/100 12.0x 65.5% 11.4% 0.00% $36.4M /snt-vs-nxpl β†’
KSCP
Knightscope Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -3.53% $11.0M /kscp-vs-nxpl β†’
IQST
iQSTEL Inc.
D- 43/100 β€” 3.0% -23.7% -7.39% $8.9M /iqst-vs-nxpl β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001058307 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NextPlat Corp (NXPL) reported GAAP revenue of $54.3M (-17.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $66.1M , and -16.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.5K, operating cash flow of -$6.1M, and free cash flow of -$6.2M (-9.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXPL closed FY2025 with $27.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $54.3M -$10.5K -$6.1M -$6.2M $27.5M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $66.1M -$22.5K -$5.5M -$5.7M $37.1M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $65.0M -$12.4K -$3.6M -$3.6M β€” β€”

3. NXPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NextPlat Corp (NASDAQ: NXPL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $8.30 (+2.34% 1D, market cap $22.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NXPL ranks #108 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NXPL compare to UTSI and SNT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NXPL carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UTSI (UTStarcom Holdings Corp.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.0M) and SNT (Senstar Technologies Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $36.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNT leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while SNT leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXPL?

Per NXPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001058307), NextPlat Corp generated $54.3M in revenue (-17.8% YoY), -$10.5K in net income, and -$6.2M in free cash flow against $27.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NXPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXPL last traded at $8.30 (+2.34% on volume of 31,842 shares), positioning the stock -7.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.99) and +21.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.83). Across its 52-week range of $3.40 to $9.94, NXPL sits at the 74.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($7.26 to $9.34).

Direct Sub-Reports: NXPL RQD Cockpit NXPL 12M Forecast NXPL Earnings & Move NXPL Dividends & DRIP NXPL Insiders & 13F NXPL Whale Options NXPL Profit Sankey NXPL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 32/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NXPL β€” NextPlat Corp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NextPlat Corp (NXPL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 32/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $8.30 (+2.34% 1D, market capitalization $22.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 20.1%, operating margin of -16.6%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector and Telecommunications Equipment industry. Per the recent news and catalysts section, the company's recent announcements involve completing the acquisition of a Pensacola-area pharmacy, a Jacksonville pharmacy serving care homes and patients receiving complex treatments, and automated prescription dispensing via VendRx kiosks through its subsidiary PharmCorx. Per the same section, these items describe healthcare and pharmacy activity.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), NextPlat Corp (NXPL) reported $54.3M in annual revenue (up from $66.1M in FY2024, -17.8% YoY) and -$10.5K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($65.0M revenue, -$12.4K net income) through FY2025, NXPL scaled operating cash flow to -$6.1M and free cash flow to -$6.2M, backed by $27.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 32/100): Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.40 – $9.94 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -16.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context available is the classification of Communication Services / Telecommunications Equipment and a beta of 1.0. The pharmacy and kiosk announcements in the news section imply healthcare-related exposure that is not mapped in the supply-chain graph, so any ripple effects from that exposure cannot be traced from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can NXPL sustain or expand its -16.6% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Telecommunications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $54.3M and free cash flow of -$6.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NXPL's equity valuation to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NXPL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NextPlat Corp (NXPL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NXPL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NXPL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $8.30?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NXPL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NXPL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.98 (+23.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Recent announcements of an acquired profitable pharmacy and new VendRx kiosk dispensing could support a healthcare-driven growth narrat

The street is overcomplicating NextPlat Corp (NXPL). Recent announcements of an acquired profitable pharmacy and new VendRx kiosk dispensing could support a healthcare-driven growth narrative.. With an RQD score of 32/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $8.76.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 32/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $8.11 and keeping dry powder in case we test $7.54.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.08 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $8.11

A 32/100 RQD score with ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of 0%, and an Altman Z of 0.2 signals weak cash generation and elevated forensic distre

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short NXPL above $8.11. A 32/100 RQD score with ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of 0%, and an Altman Z of 0.2 signals weak cash generation and elevated forensic distress risk.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (1/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $9.94.

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