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NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.3% Move

$37.62 -1.95% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.42

NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.79B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NTCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, NetScout Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: NTCT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $37.62 (-1.95% 1D, market cap $2.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, NTCT ranks #126 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NTCT compare to FIVN and CARG in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), NTCT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.0x, gross margin of 79.4%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, FIVN (Five9 Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.72B) and CARG (CarGurus Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTCT?
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Per NTCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001078075), NetScout Systems Inc. generated $859.5M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), $95.5M in net income, and $285.4M in free cash flow against $2.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (79.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.42 (-0.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 33.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (15)Whales (8)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$48 Bull$39 Base$30 Bear
📬 FREE NTCT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NTCT SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.28 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.2% FCF Margin ($285.4M FCF) & 79.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$40.15-3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$38.70+4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$40.50-7.1% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$37.62+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NTCT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, NTCT faces multiple-compression risk if 30.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 76.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.99) or 200D SMA ($36.48) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.97) toward Bear Floor ($30.40).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTCT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NTCT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.3% Swing Band

±$2.37 Expected Swing
$35.25 (-6.3%)Spot $37.62$39.99 (+6.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NTCT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 66/100

Trailing EPS: $1.31 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.5%

Model Bullish Setup (66/100)Model Risk Weight (34/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-03-31$859.5M$95.5M$285.4M79.4%
FY 20242025-03-31$822.7M-$366.9M$212.3M78.3%
FY 20232024-03-31$829.5M-$147.7M$58.8M79.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NTCT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NTCT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NTCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.15%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $39.35H $39.35L $37.62C $37.62VOL 523.9K
RES: $43.27SUP: $33.60SMA50: $38.99SMA200: $36.48
$46.53$41.36$36.20$31.03$25.87RES $43.27SUP $33.60$37.622026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NTCT Butterfly Map → + Track NTCT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
23.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTCT)

Technology Rank #126 of 715 ⚔️ FIVN vs NTCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NTCT vs. FIVN, CARG, KD, LFTO)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) ranks #126 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #258 by equity capitalization ($2.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with NTCT at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NTCT ACTIVE
NetScout Systems Inc.
C+ 66/100 30.0x 79.4% 7.9% -1.95% $2.79B Benchmark Subject
FIVN
Five9 Inc.
C- 60/100 70.9x 55.1% 4.1% -1.57% $2.72B /fivn-vs-ntct →
CARG
CarGurus Inc. (Class A)
B+ 77/100 18.6x 92.8% 85.0% +5.00% $2.87B /carg-vs-ntct →
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 — 21.8% — -1.88% $3.01B /kd-vs-ntct →
LFTO
Liftoff Mobile Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -5.07% $2.50B /lfto-vs-ntct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001078075 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) reported GAAP revenue of $859.5M (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $822.7M , and +3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $95.5M, operating cash flow of $294.5M, and free cash flow of $285.4M (+34.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTCT closed FY2025 with $2.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.28, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $859.5M $95.5M $294.5M $285.4M $2.32B —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $822.7M -$366.9M $217.7M $212.3M $2.17B $75.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $829.5M -$147.7M $58.8M $58.8M — —

3. NTCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NetScout Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: NTCT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $37.62 (-1.95% 1D, market cap $2.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, NTCT ranks #126 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTCT compare to FIVN and CARG in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), NTCT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.0x, gross margin of 79.4%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, FIVN (Five9 Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.72B) and CARG (CarGurus Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTCT?

Per NTCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001078075), NetScout Systems Inc. generated $859.5M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), $95.5M in net income, and $285.4M in free cash flow against $2.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (79.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTCT last traded at $37.62 (-1.95% on volume of 471,109 shares), positioning the stock -3.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($38.99) and +3.13% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.48). Across its 52-week range of $25.29 to $45.28, NTCT sits at the 61.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($35.25 to $39.99).

Direct Sub-Reports: NTCT RQD Cockpit NTCT 12M Forecast NTCT Earnings & Move NTCT Dividends & DRIP NTCT Insiders & 13F NTCT Whale Options NTCT Profit Sankey NTCT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NTCT — NetScout Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $37.62 (-1.95% 1D, market capitalization $2.79B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.9%, gross margin of 79.4%, operating margin of 12.8%, and free cash flow yield of 9.98%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.28, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

NetScout Systems Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and the EDP Services industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) reported $859.5M in annual revenue (up from $822.7M in FY2024, +4.5% YoY) and $95.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($829.5M revenue, -$147.7M net income) through FY2025, NTCT scaled operating cash flow to $294.5M and free cash flow to $285.4M, backed by $2.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Strong cash generator (79.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $25.29 – $45.28 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 30.0x trailing P/E and 19.7x EV/EBITDA against 12.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlation links, and no bottleneck mapping. Investors should not infer supply-chain exposure from this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can NTCT sustain or expand its 12.8% operating margin and 7.9% ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $859.5M and free cash flow of $285.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NTCT's 27.9x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NTCT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NTCT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NTCT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $37.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NTCT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NTCT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $45.66 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 3.28 and Piotroski F 8/9, and FY 2025 FCF reached $2

Don't sleep on NTCT's setup in Technology. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 3.28 and Piotroski F 8/9, and FY 2025 FCF reached $285.4M.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (66/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 30.0x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in EDP Services. If gross margin (79.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $32.61 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $38.37

Per the market data, trailing P/E is 30 and forward P/E is 27.9, leaving valuation dependent on earnings growth while the COO resigned

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on NTCT: Per the market data, trailing P/E is 30 and forward P/E is 27.9, leaving valuation dependent on earnings growth while the COO resigned suddenly.. At 30.0x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in EDP Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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