Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$115.62 -0.75% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.74

Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $1.54B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NRP Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NRP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Natural Resource Partners LP (NYSE: NRP) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $115.62 (-0.75% 1D, market cap $1.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NRP ranks #39 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NRP compare to AMR and BTU in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), NRP carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.1%, cap $2.05B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRP?
β–Ό

Per NRP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001171486), Natural Resource Partners LP generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $165.9M in free cash flow against $748.4M in total assets and $18.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.74 (+0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 4.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$144 Bull$122 Base$95 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NRP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NRP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NRP SCORES 70/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 61% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$111.11+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$113.70+2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$116.62-0.9% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$115.62+6.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (62) β†’ B- (70)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NRP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, NRP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($111.59) or 200D SMA ($111.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($121.86) toward Bear Floor ($94.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NRPβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNRP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±3.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NRP)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NRP.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NRP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NRP
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NRP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.50%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $117.5H $117.5L $115.6C $115.6VOL 12.1K
RES: $118.2SUP: $107.4SMA50: $111.6SMA200: $111.2
$121.5$114.5$107.4$100.4$93.32RES $118.2SUP $107.4$115.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NRP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NRP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NRP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NRP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NRP)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NRP vs. AMR, BTU, CNR, HCC)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) ranks #39 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #128 by equity capitalization ($1.54B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and β€” gross margin. NRP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NRP ACTIVE
Natural Resource Partners LP
B- 70/100 β€” β€” 18.4% -0.75% $1.54B Benchmark Subject
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.
D- 43/100 β€” β€” -4.1% -1.62% $2.05B /amr-vs-nrp β†’
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
E 24/100 β€” β€” -2.1% -0.22% $2.71B /btu-vs-nrp β†’
CNR
Core Natural Resources Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” β€” -4.0% -0.25% $4.33B /cnr-vs-nrp β†’
HCC
Warrior Met Coal Inc.
D+ 56/100 79.3x 22.4% 1.8% +0.41% $4.52B /hcc-vs-nrp β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001171486

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $232.4M , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $165.9M, and free cash flow of $165.9M (-33.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NRP closed FY2025 with $748.4M in total assets against $18.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 $165.9M $165.9M $748.4M $18.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $232.4M $0 $248.5M $248.5M $772.9M $127.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $278.7M $0 $311.0M $311.0M β€” β€”

3. NRP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NRP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Natural Resource Partners LP (NYSE: NRP) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $115.62 (-0.75% 1D, market cap $1.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NRP ranks #39 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NRP compare to AMR and BTU in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), NRP carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.1%, cap $2.05B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRP?

Per NRP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001171486), Natural Resource Partners LP generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $165.9M in free cash flow against $748.4M in total assets and $18.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NRP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NRP last traded at $115.62 (-0.75% on volume of 27,217 shares), positioning the stock +3.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($111.59) and +4.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($111.16). Across its 52-week range of $95.51 to $128.60, NRP sits at the 60.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.9% ($111.11 to $120.13).

NRP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is NRP's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NRP.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 70/100 (B-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NRP β€” Natural Resource Partners LP: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NRP scores 70 out of 100 (letter grade B-, verdict "Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation"). The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 14 of 20, supported by ROIC of 18.4% and an FCF yield of 10.74%; this is the strongest cash-generation signal in the rating and points to returns on invested capital well above typical cost-of-capital thresholds, though it does not establish durability. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 12 of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning, a moderate reading that indicates some institutional interest without a decisive consensus. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 15 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the second-highest pillar, suggesting insider activity that leans constructive. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 16 of 20 with a beta of 1.0, the highest pillar, indicating market-level sensitivity and sector-relative positioning that the rating treats as favorable for the current regime. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 on Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.03; the low leverage is a clear positive, while the middling Piotroski reading signals mixed operating-quality signals. For a prospective investor, the upside drivers cited in the rating are cash yield, insider and institutional flow, and a low-leverage balance sheet; the valuation tradeoff is that the stock's EV/EBITDA of 10.6 and the absence of P/E and EPS data limit a direct earnings-based valuation check. Because the sources do not provide margin, EPS, or analyst coverage detail, these pillar readings should be treated as a structured summary of the data rather than a complete investment case.

Business

Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Energy sector and Coal Mining industry, per the company profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reports no revenue figure for FY 2025 ($0.0M), with prior-period revenue of $232.4M for FY 2024 and $278.7M for FY 2023. Specific customers, products, and revenue-generation mechanics are not described in the source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$144.4M$0.0MN/A$165.9M$30.1M$18.9M
FY 2024$232.4M$199.2M$0.0MN/A$248.5M$30.4M$127.9M
FY 2023$278.7M$292.5M$0.0MN/A$311.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating income declined from $292.5M (FY 2023) to $199.2M (FY 2024) to $144.4M (FY 2025), and FCF moved from $311.0M to $248.5M to $165.9M over the same periods. Net income is reported as $0.0M across all three periods and margin percentages are reported as 0%, so profitability cannot be assessed from the source data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 18.4% and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Per the RQD forensic pillar, Debt/Equity is 0.03, and the reported debt fell from $127.9M (FY 2024) to $18.9M (FY 2025).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed contains five items, all relating to NRP. Per the recent news feed, the headlines cover a one-year share-price gain of 16.9% (framed as a buy question), a third-quarter 2026 earnings conference call scheduling announcement, and several trading-commentary pieces from Stock Traders Daily and TradingView. Three items are tagged GREEN/CATALYST and two are tagged YELLOW/MARKET WIRE. The earnings-call scheduling item is the only one that identifies a specific dated event; the date and content of that call are not available in source data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals for this ticker, so no graph-derived catalysts or risk flags are available. Several news items are generic aggregator summaries and do not contain company-specific operational detail.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. An investor should note that the absence of graph data is not evidence of the absence of such linkages; it means the sources do not document them. Investors may wish to independently examine the company's coal-related exposure and any commodity-price or customer concentration, none of which are addressed in the provided sources.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported net income and EPS figures, given the source data shows $0.0M net income and N/A EPS for all periods?
  • What explains the decline in operating income and FCF from FY 2023 through FY 2025, and is the trend continuing into 2026?
  • What is the composition of the reported debt and cash balances, and what is the nature of the debt reduction from FY 2024 to FY 2025?
  • What coal-related commodity, customer, and royalty-structure exposures drive the company's revenue, and which are concentrated?
  • What were the content and outcome of the scheduled third-quarter 2026 earnings call, and do the source data reflect any post-call results?

NRP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NRP Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NRP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $115.62?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NRP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NRP:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $137.47 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NRP (B- β€’ RQD 70/100) a Buy at $116.50?

Welcome to the NRP (Natural Resource Partners LP) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Coal Mining. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $87.38 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $116.50

Pump the brakes on NRP β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NRP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Natural Resource Partners LP expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $149.12 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $116.50

NRP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NRP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Coal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $116.50 (52-wk range $95.51 - $128.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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