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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NPT
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Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.66 -7.78% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.63

Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $39.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NPT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Texxon Holding Limited (NASDAQ: NPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $1.66 (-7.78% 1D, market cap $39.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NPT ranks #794 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NPT compare to HWKN and ASH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Specialty Chemicals), NPT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 0.6%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HWKN (Hawkins Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 39.2x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $3.17B) and ASH (Ashland Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.7%, cap $3.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLX leads on earnings multiple (13.0x) while CLX leads on capital efficiency (37.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NPT?
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Per NPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002014337), Texxon Holding Limited generated $797.1M in revenue (+18.5% YoY), -$932.6K in net income, and -$42.8M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.63 (-1.59%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510035
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.2% Base Target
$24 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE NPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NPT SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (34% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$2.27-23.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$1.73+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$1.76-5.7% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$1.66-8.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NPT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NPT currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.55) and Max Pain ($1.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
38.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.66H: $22
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (1% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NPT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 0.6% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (25)

8/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NPT
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NPT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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NPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.61%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $1.85H $1.85L $1.66C $1.66VOL 12.6K
RES: $2.40SUP: $1.24SMA50: $2.55SMA200: $4.35
$13.02$9.80$6.58$3.36$0.14RES $2.40SUP $1.24$1.662026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NPT Butterfly Map → + Track NPT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NPT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #794 of 1011 ⚔️ HWKN vs NPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NPT vs. HWKN, ASH, CLX, YHGJ)

Industry: Specialty Chemicals (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) ranks #794 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #833 by equity capitalization ($39.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLX leads on earnings valuation at 13.0x trailing P/E, while CLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.2% ROIC and 45.2% gross margin. HWKN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with NPT at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NPT ACTIVE
Texxon Holding Limited
D- 35/100 — 0.6% — -7.78% $39.9M Benchmark Subject
HWKN
Hawkins Inc.
B- 70/100 39.2x 22.6% 12.4% -0.28% $3.17B /hwkn-vs-npt →
ASH
Ashland Inc.
D+ 52/100 — 30.1% -20.7% -0.66% $3.42B /ash-vs-npt →
CLX
Clorox Company
C 65/100 13.0x 45.2% 37.2% +2.16% $10.64B /clx-vs-npt →
YHGJ
Yunhong Green CTI Ltd.
E 33/100 — 18.2% -19.1% +12.18% $8.8M /yhgj-vs-npt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0002014337

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) reported GAAP revenue of $797.1M (+18.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $672.7M , and +44.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$932.6K, operating cash flow of $2.3M, and free cash flow of -$42.8M (+33.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NPT closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $797.1M -$932.6K $2.3M -$42.8M — —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $672.7M $953.6K -$30.8M -$64.1M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $552.5M $2.0M -$14.2M -$14.2M — —

3. NPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Texxon Holding Limited (NASDAQ: NPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $1.66 (-7.78% 1D, market cap $39.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NPT ranks #794 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NPT compare to HWKN and ASH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Specialty Chemicals), NPT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 0.6%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HWKN (Hawkins Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 39.2x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $3.17B) and ASH (Ashland Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.7%, cap $3.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLX leads on earnings multiple (13.0x) while CLX leads on capital efficiency (37.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NPT?

Per NPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002014337), Texxon Holding Limited generated $797.1M in revenue (+18.5% YoY), -$932.6K in net income, and -$42.8M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NPT last traded at $1.66 (-7.78% on volume of 4,536 shares), positioning the stock -34.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.55) and -61.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.35). Across its 52-week range of $1.14 to $22.38, NPT sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.45 to $1.87).

Direct Sub-Reports: NPT RQD Cockpit NPT 12M Forecast NPT Earnings & Move NPT Dividends & DRIP NPT Insiders & 13F NPT Whale Options NPT Profit Sankey NPT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 35/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NPT — Texxon Holding Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 35/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.66 (-7.78% 1D, market capitalization $39.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of 0.6%, operating margin of -0.1%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Specialty Chemicals industry. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) reported $797.1M in annual revenue (up from $672.7M in FY2024, +18.5% YoY) and -$932.6K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($552.5M revenue, $2.0M net income) through FY2025, NPT scaled operating cash flow to $2.3M and free cash flow to -$42.8M, backed by $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 35/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.14 – $22.38 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -0.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector-level context is the Consumer Discretionary sector and Specialty Chemicals industry classification.

  • Key Question #1: Can NPT sustain or expand its -0.1% operating margin and — ROIC against Specialty Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $797.1M and free cash flow of -$42.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NPT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.66?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NPT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NPT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.21 (+22.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $552.5M in FY 2023 to $797.1M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion despite weak profitability.

The street is overcomplicating Texxon Holding Limited (NPT). Revenue grew from $552.5M in FY 2023 to $797.1M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion despite weak profitability.. With an RQD score of 35/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.94.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Specialty Chemicals. If gross margin (0.6%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.55 (-13.9%)
Spot @ $1.80

Free cash flow was negative in every reported year (FY 2025: -$42.8M) and ROIC is 0%, while institutional and insider pillars score jus

Careful chasing NPT at $1.80. Free cash flow was negative in every reported year (FY 2025: -$42.8M) and ROIC is 0%, while institutional and insider pillars score just 3/20 and 5/20.. Gross margin is 0.6%, but operating margin is -0.1%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.55 on multiple compression.

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