Stock Ratings / Financials / NOAH / financials

HQL (51) FTHY (46) ETO (43) TYG (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

Q: How profitable is Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), NOAH converted $373.3M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 29.8% operating margin, and $120.5M in free cash flow (32.3% FCF margin).

$6.73 -2.32% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.69

Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $451.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NOAH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NOAH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE: NOAH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $6.73 (-2.32% 1D, market cap $451.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NOAH ranks #510 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NOAH compare to HQL and FTHY in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), NOAH carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.2%. By comparison, HQL (abrdn Life Sciences Investors) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $473.5M) and FTHY (First Trust High Yield Opportunities 2027 Term Fund) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $479.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOAH leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while NOAH leads on capital efficiency (11.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOAH?

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Per NOAH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001499543), Noah Holdings Limited generated $373.3M in revenue (+4.8% YoY), $79.9M in net income, and $120.5M in free cash flow against $1.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.69 (-0.61%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 32.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NOAH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NOAH SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 32.3% FCF Margin ($120.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$7.48-5.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$7.09-3.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$6.87-2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$6.73-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NOAH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, NOAH faces multiple-compression risk if 5.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.75) or 200D SMA ($9.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.67) toward Bear Floor ($5.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NOAH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NOAH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How NOAH Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$120.5M (32.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $464.0M

FY24

Rev $356.3M

FY25

Rev $373.3M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$373.3M	52%	29.8%	$79.9M	$120.5M	11.2%
FY 2024	$356.3M	52%	24.4%	$65.1M	$41.8M	8.2%
FY 2023	$464.0M	52%	33.3%	$142.2M	$185.7M	11.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NOAH)

✓Walkthrough of NOAH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NOAH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.04%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $6.89H $6.89L $6.73C $6.73VOL 281.2K

RES: $7.34SUP: $6.52SMA50: $7.75SMA200: $9.71

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NOAH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NOAH Butterfly Map → + Track NOAH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-11.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NOAH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NOAH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NOAH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NOAH)

Financials Rank #510 of 1096 ⚔️ HQL vs NOAH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NOAH vs. HQL, FTHY, ETO, TYG)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) ranks #510 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #725 by equity capitalization ($451.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NOAH leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while NOAH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.2% ROIC and — gross margin. NOAH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NOAH ACTIVE Noah Holdings Limited	D+	56/100	5.8x	—	11.2%	-2.32%	$451.3M	Benchmark Subject
HQL abrdn Life Sciences Investors	D	51/100	—	—	—	-1.60%	$473.5M	/hql-vs-noah →
FTHY First Trust High Yield Opportunities 2027 Term Fund	D	46/100	—	—	—	-0.53%	$479.2M	/fthy-vs-noah →
ETO Eaton Vance Tax-Advantage Global Dividend Opp	D-	43/100	—	—	—	-1.63%	$484.8M	/eto-vs-noah →
TYG Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corporation	D	47/100	—	—	—	+1.94%	$488.3M	/tyg-vs-noah →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001499543

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) reported GAAP revenue of $373.3M (+4.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $356.3M , and -19.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $79.9M, operating cash flow of $139.7M, and free cash flow of $120.5M (+188.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NOAH closed FY2025 with $1.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$373.3M	$79.9M	$139.7M	$120.5M	$1.68B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$356.3M	$65.1M	$53.1M	$41.8M	$1.61B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$464.0M	$142.2M	$185.7M	$185.7M	—	—

3. NOAH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NOAH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NOAH compare to HQL and FTHY in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOAH?

Where is NOAH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NOAH last traded at $6.73 (-2.32% on volume of 281,235 shares), positioning the stock -13.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.75) and -30.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.71). Across its 52-week range of $6.57 to $12.45, NOAH sits at the 2.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($6.39 to $7.07).

NOAH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), NOAH converted $373.3M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 29.8% operating margin, and $120.5M in free cash flow (32.3% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: NOAH RQD Cockpit NOAH 12M Forecast NOAH Earnings & Move NOAH Dividends & DRIP NOAH Insiders & 13F NOAH Whale Options NOAH Profit Sankey NOAH News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NOAH — Noah Holdings Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:12Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NOAH scores 56 out of 100, a D+ grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 11.2% while FCF yield is 0%. The ROIC figure supports the pillar score; the zero FCF yield conflicts with the reported FY 2025 free cash flow of $120.5M per the SEC financials, which implies the 0% may reflect a different basis or a data issue an investor should verify.
Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score low. Holder-level detail is not available in source data, so the drivers of this score cannot be traced.
Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores moderately. The underlying trades are not itemized in source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity drive this score. This is the second-weakest pillar, suggesting limited regime tailwind.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5 indicate a comparatively sound balance sheet, the strongest signal in the rating after the cash engine.

For a prospective investor, the rating suggests that balance-sheet quality and profitability (operating margin 29.8%, net margin 21.4% per the market data) are offset by weak institutional demand and poor macro fit. The very low P/E (5.8 TTM, 5.4 forward) per the market data may reflect the market's skepticism, and the rating itself frames the verdict as a trim signal rather than an accumulation signal. Upside would require evidence of institutional re-rating or improved macro alignment; the source data does not provide that evidence.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$373.3M	$111.1M	$79.9M	N/A	$120.5M	$623.6M	N/A
FY 2024	$356.3M	$86.8M	$65.1M	N/A	$41.8M	$523.7M	N/A
FY 2023	$464.0M	$154.6M	$142.2M	N/A	$185.7M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $356.3M in FY 2024 to $373.3M in FY 2025 after falling from $464.0M in FY 2023, while net income recovered to $79.9M. Per the market data, operating margin is 29.8% and net margin is 21.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 11.2%, Altman Z is 2.5, and Piotroski F is 8/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5; the debt figures themselves are N/A in the SEC financials.

Open Questions

Why does the Roarable RQD rating show a 0% FCF yield when the SEC financials report FY 2025 free cash flow of $120.5M?
What explains the revenue decline from $464.0M in FY 2023 to $356.3M in FY 2024, and what drove the recovery in FY 2025?
What are the company's debt levels, given that debt is N/A in every reported period despite a Debt/Equity of 0.5?
What is behind the weak institutional flow score of 3 / 20, and who are the holders driving it?
What catalysts could shift the macro regime fit score, given that no news or catalysts are in the source data?

NOAH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NOAH Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 6d ago

Robinhood Stock And the Rate Trade Behind Short Term Bond ETF Demand

Cash now pays attention. With the Fed keeping rates at 3.75%–4% for October and investors eyeing a possible December hike, short-term bond and cash-equivalent ETFs have moved from afterthought to front row. This is where

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Bitget Wallet adds USD, EUR accounts that convert deposits into stablecoins

Investing.com -- Bitget Wallet will give users personal U.S. dollar and euro account numbers inside its self-custodial crypto wallet, with incoming funds automatically converted into stablecoins, Investing.com has learne

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 17d ago

What Bears Saw Before Noah Slid

Noah Holdings just used its H2 2026 CIO report to argue that the biggest AI opportunities may sit in power, grids, storage, and data centers rather than headline AI stocks. Investors who held Noah over the past year are

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 21d ago

Noah (NOAH) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?

Noah (NOAH) might move higher on growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which is reflected by its upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 21d ago

Noah (NOAH) Loses 7% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner

Noah (NOAH) is technically in oversold territory now, so the heavy selling pressure might have exhausted. This along with strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in raising earnings estimates could lead to a trend re

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 26d ago

Asian Equities Traded in the US as American Depositary Receipts Tumble in Wednesday Trading

Asian equities traded in the US as American depositary receipts were falling sharply Wednesday morni

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🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 32d ago

Noah Holdings (NOAH) Stock Fair Value Moves Lower After JPMorgan Target Cut

The latest update on Noah Holdings centers on a reset in expectations, with the modeled fair value moving from US$12.31 to US$10.64 and JPMorgan trimming its price target from US$10.50 to US$9.70. That US$9.70 target, pa

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 42d ago

Noah Holdings Hosts 2026 Global Investor Summit "The Year of Realization: A New Chapter in Global Allocation"

Noah Holdings Limited ("Noah" or the "Company") (NYSE: NOAH; HKEX: 6686), a wealth management institution serving global Chinese families, together with its global asset allocation platform Olive Asset Management ("Olive

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NOAH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.73?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NOAH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $7.44 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NOAH (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $6.89?

Welcome to the NOAH (Noah Holdings Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.65 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $6.89

Pump the brakes on NOAH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NOAH, but look at what you are paying: 5.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Noah Holdings Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.34 (+21.0%)

Spot @ $6.89

NOAH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NOAH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $6.89 (52-wk range $6.57 - $12.45), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.