Should I buy, hold, or sell NMRK stock right now?

Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 16x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NMRK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NMRK's 12-month base price target is $11.47 (range $8.95 to $19.16), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Financials / NMRK

GTY (59) OPEN (37) UE (55) BXDC (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$11.52 +1.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.52

Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.09B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NMRK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NMRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: NMRK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $11.52 (+1.23% 1D, market cap $2.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, NMRK ranks #479 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NMRK compare to GTY and OPEN in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), NMRK carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.88B) and OPEN (Opendoor Technologies Inc) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NMRK leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while NMRK leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NMRK?

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Per NMRK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001690680), Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.77B in revenue (+21.9% YoY), $126.2M in net income, and $142.6M in free cash flow against $5.02B in total assets and $671.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.52 (+0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 5.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NMRK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NMRK SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.1% FCF Margin ($142.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$11.71-0.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$11.64-1.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$11.48+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$11.52-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NMRK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, NMRK faces multiple-compression risk if 16.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.11) or 200D SMA ($14.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.47) toward Bear Floor ($8.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NMRK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NMRK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

41.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE5% OF RANGE

L: $11$11.52H: $18

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on NMRK

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

9.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 6.92% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (45)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NMRK

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NMRK)

✓Walkthrough of NMRK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NMRK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.34%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $11.38H $11.52L $11.38C $11.52VOL 3.70M

RES: $15.94SUP: $11.06SMA50: $13.11SMA200: $14.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NMRK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NMRK Butterfly Map → + Track NMRK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

9.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +21.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NMRK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NMRK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NMRK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NMRK)

Financials Rank #479 of 1097 ⚔️ GTY vs NMRK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NMRK vs. GTY, OPEN, UE, BXDC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) ranks #479 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #422 by equity capitalization ($2.09B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NMRK leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while NMRK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NMRK at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NMRK ACTIVE Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	16.3x	—	9.7%	+1.23%	$2.09B	Benchmark Subject
GTY Getty Realty Corporation	C-	59/100	23.8x	—	9.4%	-0.25%	$1.88B	/gty-vs-nmrk →
OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc	D-	37/100	—	—	-35.0%	-5.26%	$1.75B	/open-vs-nmrk →
UE Urban Edge Properties of	D+	55/100	26.6x	—	6.8%	+1.27%	$2.52B	/ue-vs-nmrk →
BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-2.90%	$1.59B	/bxdc-vs-nmrk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001690680 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) reported GAAP revenue of $2.77B (+21.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.27B , and +33.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $126.2M, operating cash flow of $172.0M, and free cash flow of $142.6M (+444.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NMRK closed FY2025 with $5.02B in total assets against $671.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.77B	$126.2M	$172.0M	$142.6M	$5.02B	$671.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.27B	$85.5M	-$9.9M	-$41.4M	$4.71B	$670.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.07B	$62.4M	-$266.0M	-$266.0M	—	—

3. NMRK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NMRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NMRK compare to GTY and OPEN in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NMRK?

Where is NMRK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NMRK last traded at $11.52 (+1.23% on volume of 3,701,906 shares), positioning the stock -12.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.11) and -22.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.79). Across its 52-week range of $11.13 to $18.25, NMRK sits at the 5.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($10.51 to $12.53).

Direct Sub-Reports: NMRK RQD Cockpit NMRK 12M Forecast NMRK Earnings & Move NMRK Dividends & DRIP NMRK Insiders & 13F NMRK Whale Options NMRK Profit Sankey NMRK News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NMRK — Newmark Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $11.52 (+1.23% 1D, market capitalization $2.09B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 8.4%, and free cash flow yield of 6.92%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and Real Estate industry,. — for specific products, customer segments, or revenue-generation mechanics beyond the sector and industry classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) reported $2.77B in annual revenue (up from $2.27B in FY2024, +21.9% YoY) and $126.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.07B revenue, $62.4M net income) through FY2025, NMRK scaled operating cash flow to $172.0M and free cash flow to $142.6M, backed by $5.02B in total assets against $671.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.13 – $18.25 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 16.3x trailing P/E and 9.7x EV/EBITDA against 8.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals for NMRK. Investors should note that the absence of recorded links means this brief cannot identify supplier, customer, or sector-level bottlenecks from the provided data.

Key Question #1: Can NMRK sustain or expand its 8.4% operating margin and 9.7% ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.77B and free cash flow of $142.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $671.7M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is NMRK's 13.7x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NMRK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NMRK Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Newmark (NMRK) Stock Price Slides As Q3 Results Tighten Outlook

Yahoo Finance report covering Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago

Newmark Group . Class A Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy NMRK?

StockInvest.us report covering Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 1d ago

Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Newmark (NMRK) Stock Price Sinks Despite Strong Q3 Earnings

Simply Wall St report covering Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Fannie Mae financing supports long-term affordability at 11 Florida housing properties

Stock Titan report covering Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Newmark’s (NASDAQ:NMRK) Q3 2026: beats on revenue but stock drops on weak guidance

Yahoo Finance report covering Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Newmark (NMRK) reports Q3: everything you need to know ahead of earnings

Yahoo Finance report covering Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Newmark Group (NMRK) Lags Q3 Earnings Estimates

Yahoo Finance report covering Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NMRK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.52?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NMRK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.59 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $2.07B in FY 2023 to $2.77B in FY 2025 while FCF turned positive at $142.6M, and the insider-flow pillar scored 1

Here is why I am bullish on NMRK here at $11.52: Revenue grew from $2.07B in FY 2023 to $2.77B in FY 2025 while FCF turned positive at $142.6M, and the insider-flow pillar scored 17/20.. Compare NMRK's 8.4% operating margin and 9.7% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $10.94 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 57/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $11.52 and keeping dry powder in case we test $10.71.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.22 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $11.52

The RQD rating is 57 (D+, Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim), with institutional flow scoring only 4/20 and Q3 guidance reported

The RQD rating is 57 (D+, Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim), with institutional flow scoring only 4/20 and Q3 guidance reported as weak.. Look at the math on NMRK: paying 16.3x trailing P/E for 9.7% ROIC and 8.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Real Estate demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $10.14 before getting long.