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Stock Ratings / Materials / NG / dividends
SA (46) FSM (47) TGB (54) EXK (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$5.81 -5.83% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.74

Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.71B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Novagold Resources Inc. (NYSE: NG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $5.81 (-5.83% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NG ranks #255 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NG compare to SA and FSM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NG carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.6%. By comparison, SA (Seabridge Gold Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NG leads on capital efficiency (-27.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NG?
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Per NG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001173420), Novagold Resources Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$94.7M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $335.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.74 (-1.24%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (4)SEC (7)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.3% Base Target
$15 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE NG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NG SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.21 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$6.73-3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$6.52-8.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$5.98-2.8% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$5.81-10.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (32) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NG currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.16) and Max Pain ($6.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 24%NO 76%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
NG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.92%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $6.26H $6.26L $5.81C $5.81VOL 4.32M
RES: $10.13SUP: $6.34SMA50: $7.16SMA200: $8.22
$10.23$8.83$7.44$6.04$4.65RES $10.13SUP $6.34$5.812026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NG Butterfly Map → + Track NG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NG)

Materials Rank #255 of 270 ⚔️ SA vs NG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NG vs. SA, FSM, TGB, EXK)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) ranks #255 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #99 by equity capitalization ($2.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -27.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TGB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with NG at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NG ACTIVE
Novagold Resources Inc.
E 24/100 — — -27.6% -5.83% $2.71B Benchmark Subject
SA
Seabridge Gold Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -6.24% $2.78B /sa-vs-ng →
FSM
Fortuna Mining Corp.
D 47/100 — — — -5.23% $2.85B /fsm-vs-ng →
TGB
Trekor Metals Limited
D+ 54/100 — — — -6.36% $2.88B /tgb-vs-ng →
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)
D 46/100 — — — -7.09% $2.30B /exk-vs-ng →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0001173420

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$94.7M, operating cash flow of -$14.0M, and free cash flow of -$14.0M (-11.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NG closed FY2025 with $335.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.21, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-11-30 $0 -$94.7M -$14.0M -$14.0M $335.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-11-30 $0 -$45.6M -$12.6M -$12.6M $109.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-11-30 $0 -$46.8M -$7.8M -$7.8M — —

3. NG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Novagold Resources Inc. (NYSE: NG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $5.81 (-5.83% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NG ranks #255 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NG compare to SA and FSM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NG carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.6%. By comparison, SA (Seabridge Gold Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NG leads on capital efficiency (-27.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NG?

Per NG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001173420), Novagold Resources Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$94.7M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $335.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NG last traded at $5.81 (-5.83% on volume of 4,597,527 shares), positioning the stock -18.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.16) and -29.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.22). Across its 52-week range of $5.08 to $14.40, NG sits at the 7.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($5.22 to $6.40).

NG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does NG pay a dividend and is it safe?

Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: NG RQD Cockpit NG 12M Forecast NG Earnings & Move NG Dividends & DRIP NG Insiders & 13F NG Whale Options NG Profit Sankey NG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 24/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NG — Novagold Resources Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:08Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NG scores 24 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC -27.6%; FCF yield -0.52%), Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 5/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20 (Altman Z 0.21; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Every pillar is scored in the bottom half of its range, so no single factor offsets the others. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to negative cash generation, a weak forensic profile, and limited observable insider or institutional conviction. Any upside case would depend on catalysts outside the cash engine, since the current fundamentals do not supply one. The rating is an analytical classification from the source data and is not a recommendation.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-47.3M$-94.7MN/A$-14.0M$110.1MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-37.9M$-45.6MN/A$-12.6M$42.2MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-40.3M$-46.8MN/A$-7.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating and net losses appear in all three periods, with FY 2025 net loss of $-94.7M being the largest shown. Per the market data, ROIC is -27.6% and FCF yield is -0.52%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.21, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash rose to $110.1M in FY 2025 from $42.2M in FY 2024, while reported debt is N/A in every period shown.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are listed, all tagged YELLOW with the impact label MARKET WIRE. Headlines reference a Donlin Gold consolidation and reorganization, a Q3 2026 earnings call, a "permitted gold giant priced for the worst financing," and a claim that "the gold is there - financing isn't." Taken together, these headlines point to a financing-dependence theme as a key watch item. Per the Butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the terms, size, and timing of the financing referenced in the news headlines, and how would it affect share count and dilution?
  • What revenue or production does the company generate, given that reported revenue is $0.0M in every period?
  • What caused the increase in reported cash to $110.1M in FY 2025, and what is the debt structure given that debt is N/A?
  • Which analysts cover the stock and what are their ratings and price targets?
  • What institutional or insider holdings exist, given that holder data is absent?

NG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.81?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.43 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NG (E • RQD 24/100) a Buy at $6.17?

Welcome to the NG (Novagold Resources Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 24/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.69 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $6.17

Pump the brakes on NG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Novagold Resources Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.22 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $6.17

NG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $6.17 (52-wk range $5.08 - $14.40), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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