New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$4.86 -8.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.77

New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $989.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NEWP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, New Pacific Metals Corp. (NYSE: NEWP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.86 (-8.99% 1D, market cap $989.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NEWP ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEWP compare to VMET and MUX in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NEWP carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VMET (Versamet Royalties Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $951.2M) and MUX (McEwen Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $923.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEWP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MUX leads on capital efficiency (0.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEWP?
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For New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #85 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.77 (-1.81%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$8 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE NEWP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEWP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NEWP SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.7% FCF Margin ($27.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$6.37+5.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$6.70-17.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$5.54-12.3% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$4.86-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEWP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NEWP currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.24) and Max Pain ($5.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.93.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEWP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NEWP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NEWP)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NEWP.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEWP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NEWP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NEWP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.62%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $5.64H $5.64L $4.86C $4.86VOL 367.3K
RES: $6.66SUP: $6.18SMA50: $6.24SMA200: $5.08
$7.85$6.59$5.33$4.07$2.81RES $6.66SUP $6.18$4.862026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEWP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEWP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEWP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEWP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEWP)

Materials Rank #85 of 270 ⚔️ VMET vs NEWP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NEWP vs. VMET, MUX, ASA, ELE)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) ranks #85 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #136 by equity capitalization ($989.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEWP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MUX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.3% ROIC and 24.1% gross margin. NEWP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NEWP ACTIVE
New Pacific Metals Corp.
D+ 53/100 — — — -8.99% $989.0M Benchmark Subject
VMET
Versamet Royalties Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -5.26% $951.2M /vmet-vs-newp →
MUX
McEwen Inc.
E 29/100 — 24.1% 0.3% -6.78% $923.4M /mux-vs-newp →
ASA
ASA Gold and Precious Metals Limited
D 44/100 — — — -3.78% $923.1M /asa-vs-newp →
ELE
Elemental Royalty Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -4.42% $1.10B /ele-vs-newp →

2. NEWP Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $989.0M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. NEWP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEWP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, New Pacific Metals Corp. (NYSE: NEWP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.86 (-8.99% 1D, market cap $989.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NEWP ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NEWP compare to VMET and MUX in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NEWP carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VMET (Versamet Royalties Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $951.2M) and MUX (McEwen Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $923.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEWP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MUX leads on capital efficiency (0.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEWP?

For New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #85 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NEWP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEWP last traded at $4.86 (-8.99% on volume of 592,962 shares), positioning the stock -22.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.24) and -4.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.08). Across its 52-week range of $2.02 to $7.55, NEWP sits at the 51.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.2% ($4.27 to $5.45).

NEWP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NEWP's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NEWP.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NEWP — New Pacific Metals Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:22Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NEWP carries an RQD Score of 53, letter grade D+, labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 12 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale/13F Flow scores 7 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction scores 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit scores 12 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the rating points to weak current cash generation: both ROIC and FCF yield are reported at 0%, which the rating treats as the weakest-scoring area relative to its 20-point weight. Institutional and insider signals are also scored below midpoint. The balance-sheet pillar is the strongest relative to its weight, reflecting the Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9 readings, but the sources do not establish whether these readings translate into earnings capacity. Upside drivers would need to come from catalysts not yet reflected in reported cash flows; valuation cannot be assessed from profitability metrics here because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. The Beta of 1.0 places the stock's market sensitivity at parity with the broader market per the source.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are listed, all tagged to NEWP:

  • A Seeking Alpha item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) titled about the stock remaining a buy after a recent rerating.
  • A Yahoo Finance item (GREEN, CATALYST) referencing a Bolivia contract and possible overvaluation.
  • A Kitco item (YELLOW) reporting a 2028 permitting target at Carangas as Bolivia revises mining rules.
  • A Benzinga item (YELLOW) on an analyst site visit covering Silver Sands and Carangas development potential.
  • A Yahoo! Finance Canada seasonal returns chart (YELLOW).
  • An Investing News Network item (YELLOW) listing top Canadian silver stocks of 2026.

Risk watch items per the wire include the Bolivia regulatory rework and the 2028 permitting timeline. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, sector is Materials, industry Precious Metals, supply chain is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue and earnings history, given that the financials section is empty and margins are reported at 0%?
  • What are the current P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS values, which are absent from the source data?
  • What are the terms and status of the Bolivia contract referenced in the news wire?
  • What institutional, insider, and Congressional holdings support the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What analyst consensus or price targets exist for NEWP?

NEWP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NEWP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEWP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.86?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEWP 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NEWP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $5.77 (+8.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NEWP (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $5.34?

Welcome to the NEWP (New Pacific Metals Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.33 (-18.9%)
Spot @ $5.34

Pump the brakes on NEWP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NEWP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless New Pacific Metals Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.51 (+21.9%)
Spot @ $5.34

NEWP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NEWP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $5.34 (52-wk range $2.02 - $7.55), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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