Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NEGG / earnings

FLWS (26) HITI (56) LOVE (58) PLBY (25) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$9.84 +0.61% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.83

Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 13/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (13/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $205.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NEGG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NEGG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Newegg Commerce Inc. (NASDAQ: NEGG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 13/100 at a spot price of $9.84 (+0.61% 1D, market cap $205.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NEGG ranks #1011 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEGG compare to FLWS and HITI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), NEGG carries a Roarable E (13/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.7%, and ROIC of -14.3%. By comparison, FLWS (1-800-FLOWERS.COM Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HITI (High Tide Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $237.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOVE leads on earnings multiple (58.3x) while LOVE leads on capital efficiency (3.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEGG?

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Per NEGG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001474627), Newegg Commerce Inc. generated $345.8M in revenue (+16.1% YoY), -$4.9M in net income, and -$29.7M in free cash flow against $468.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.83 (-0.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (13/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-13.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-20.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEGG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (13/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NEGG SCORES 13/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 48.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$11.35-6.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$10.62-10.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$9.47+3.9% Next Q

Current

Grade E$9.84-13.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (21) → E (13)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEGG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NEGG currently carries a cautious 13/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.11) and Max Pain ($10.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $101.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEGG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NEGG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.23 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NEGG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 15/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (15/100)Model Risk Weight (85/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$345.8M	-$4.9M	-$29.7M	48.7%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$297.8M	-$43.3M	-$4.4M	44.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$59.0M	-$3.8M	48.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEGG)

✓Walkthrough of NEGG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NEGG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -67.82%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $10.31H $10.31L $9.78C $9.84VOL 20.1K

RES: $18.14SUP: $9.06SMA50: $13.11SMA200: $26.32

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEGG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NEGG Butterfly Map → + Track NEGG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEGG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEGG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEGG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEGG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #1011 of 1011 ⚔️ FLWS vs NEGG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NEGG vs. FLWS, HITI, LOVE, PLBY)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) ranks #1011 by composite RQD confidence (13/100, grade E) and #691 by equity capitalization ($205.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOVE leads on earnings valuation at 58.3x trailing P/E, while LOVE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.6% ROIC and 56.4% gross margin. LOVE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with NEGG at 13/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NEGG ACTIVE Newegg Commerce Inc.	E	13/100	—	48.7%	-14.3%	+0.61%	$205.1M	Benchmark Subject
FLWS 1-800-FLOWERS.COM Inc.	E	26/100	—	38.0%	-35.0%	0.00%	$184.9M	/flws-vs-negg →
HITI High Tide Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.01%	$237.1M	/hiti-vs-negg →
LOVE The Lovesac Company	D+	58/100	58.3x	56.4%	3.6%	-1.45%	$239.0M	/love-vs-negg →
PLBY Playboy Inc.	E	25/100	—	71.0%	-4.1%	+0.86%	$140.2M	/plby-vs-negg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001474627

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) reported GAAP revenue of $345.8M (+16.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $297.8M ) , GAAP net income of -$4.9M, operating cash flow of -$27.0M, and free cash flow of -$29.7M (-568.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NEGG closed FY2025 with $468.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.80, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$345.8M	-$4.9M	-$27.0M	-$29.7M	$468.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$297.8M	-$43.3M	-$821.0K	-$4.4M	$407.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$59.0M	-$3.8M	-$3.8M	—	—

3. NEGG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEGG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NEGG compare to FLWS and HITI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEGG?

Where is NEGG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEGG last traded at $9.84 (+0.61% on volume of 33,267 shares), positioning the stock -24.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.11) and -62.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.32). Across its 52-week range of $9.29 to $96.29, NEGG sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.61 to $11.07).

NEGG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NEGG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NEGG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for NEGG, spanning a range between $8.61 and $11.07.

Direct Sub-Reports: NEGG RQD Cockpit NEGG 12M Forecast NEGG Earnings & Move NEGG Dividends & DRIP NEGG Insiders & 13F NEGG Whale Options NEGG Profit Sankey NEGG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 13/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NEGG — Newegg Commerce Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:41:05Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NEGG scores 13 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 1 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -14.3% and FCF yield of -14.46%. For a prospective investor, this is the weakest pillar: the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or positive free cash flow, so any valuation has to rest on a future turnaround rather than present cash generation.
Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is low, indicating limited evidence of supportive institutional demand in the source data.
Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The recent news wire records insider sales (see Recent Catalysts), which the rating treats as a negative conviction signal.
Macro Regime Fit: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. The stock tracks the broader market without a defensive offset, so it does not gain a structural advantage in a particular macro regime.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 2 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects Altman Z of 0.8, Piotroski F of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The Altman Z-Score sits in a distress-range reading and the Piotroski score indicates weak financial health, which together drive the "Forensic Risk" label.

Taken together, the score implies that the upside case depends on operational turnaround, while the downside is supported by weak cash generation, weak forensic indicators, and insider selling. Valuation multiples such as P/E are not available in source data, so the tradeoff between price and earnings power cannot be quantified from this dataset. The rating is an analytical classification of current data and is not a personalized recommendation.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$345.8M	$-9.5M	$-4.9M	N/A	$-29.7M	$107.8M	N/A
FY 2024	$297.8M	$-51.6M	$-43.3M	N/A	$-4.4M	$96.3M	N/A
FY 2023	$0.0M	$-71.1M	$-59.0M	N/A	$-3.8M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $297.8M in FY 2024 to $345.8M in FY 2025, while net loss narrowed from $-43.3M to $-4.9M. Per the market data, gross margin is 48.7%, operating margin -2.8%, and net margin -1.4%, with ROIC at -14.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.8 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, while Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash is reported at $107.8M for FY 2025, though FCF was $-29.7M in that year.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed:

Credit facility (CATALYST, GREEN): A headline reports Newegg securing a $100 Million credit facility to support growth and supply-chain flexibility. This is the most constructive item in the feed and bears on liquidity.
Insider selling (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Multiple reports describe insider sales, including a director's sale of $39,867.66 and two 3,582-share sales linked to director Fred Faching Chang. These sales are the main insider-activity signal in the feed.
Market action (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A general quote-and-news item covers market action and institutional positioning without specific figures.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply chain is mapped (supply_chain: NONE), no butterfly links are recorded, and no proprietary signals are present. Risk watch items are therefore limited to the insider sales and the unresolved status of the credit facility's terms, which the source does not detail.

Open Questions

What are the terms, covenants, and drawdown conditions of the $100 Million credit facility, and how much liquidity does it add relative to FY 2025 negative free cash flow of $-29.7M?
What drove the improvement in net loss from $-43.3M in FY 2024 to $-4.9M in FY 2025, and is the operating margin of -2.8% on a trajectory toward breakeven?
What explains the 52-week price decline from $96.29 to $9.29, and what is the current valuation basis given that P/E and EPS are not available?
What is the company's debt position, since the debt field is not reported in any period?
What is the nature of the reported insider sales relative to the director's holdings, and are they part of a pre-planned selling program?

NEGG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NEGG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 5h ago

Newegg Commerce, Inc. (NEGG) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST The Globe and Mail • 8h ago

Newegg Secures $100 Million Credit Facility to Support Growth and Supply-Chain Flexibility

The Globe and Mail report covering Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 11h ago

Newegg Commerce (NASDAQ:NEGG) Stock: Insider Fred Faching Chang Sells 3,582 Shares

MarketBeat report covering Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 14h ago

Two 3,582-share sales of Newegg Commerce (NEGG) came via director Fred Faching Chang’s Tekhill.

Stock Titan report covering Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 17h ago

Newegg Commerce (NASDAQ:NEGG) Director Sells $39,867.66 in Stock

MarketBeat report covering Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 20h ago

Two 3,582-share sales at Newegg Commerce (NEGG) average $9.78 and $9.91 per share.

Stock Titan report covering Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 23h ago

Newegg Commerce (NASDAQ:NEGG) Director Sells $38,112.48 in Stock

MarketBeat report covering Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A director's LLC sells two lots of 3,582 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) shares.

Stock Titan report covering Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEGG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.84?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEGG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.61 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NEGG (E • RQD 13/100) a Buy at $9.78?

Welcome to the NEGG (Newegg Commerce Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 13/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Other Specialty Stores. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.34 (-24.9%)

Spot @ $9.78

Pump the brakes on NEGG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NEGG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 48.7% gross margins. Unless Newegg Commerce Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.03 (+23.0%)

Spot @ $9.78

NEGG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NEGG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Specialty Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.78 (52-wk range $9.29 - $96.29), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.