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Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.41 -5.37% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.39

Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $4.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.41 (-5.37% 1D, market cap $4.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCT ranks #707 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCT compare to BTBD and GTIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), NCT carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 15.7%. By comparison, BTBD (BT Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.5%, cap $11.4M) and GTIM (Good Times Restaurants Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 0.7%, cap $13.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while NCT leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCT?
β–Ό

Per NCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002018529), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) generated $25.1M in revenue (-1.5% YoY), $3.1M in net income, and $6.3M in free cash flow against $63.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.39 (-1.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 25.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D-
025507510042
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (13)Whales (3)SEC (7)Macro (9)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.1% Base Target
$748 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NCT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NCT SCORES 42/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 25.3% FCF Margin ($6.3M FCF) & 31.2% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$1.42-3.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$1.37+12.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$1.54-8.4% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$1.41-7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D- (42)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While NCT currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.01) and Max Pain ($1.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $748.13.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNCT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of NCT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -98.15%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.55H $1.55L $1.41C $1.41VOL 16.3K
RES: $157.9SUP: $-19.39SMA50: $20.01SMA200: $68.56
$608.6$444.0$279.4$114.8$-49.87RES $157.9SUP $-19.39$1.412026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #707 of 1009 βš”οΈ BTBD vs NCT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NCT vs. BTBD, GTIM, REBN, CCHH)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) ranks #707 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #968 by equity capitalization ($4.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTIM leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while NCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and 31.2% gross margin. BTBD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with NCT at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NCT ACTIVE
Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A)
D- 42/100 β€” 31.2% 15.7% -5.37% $4.6M Benchmark Subject
BTBD
BT Brands Inc.
D 49/100 β€” β€” -3.5% -1.63% $11.4M /btbd-vs-nct β†’
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants Inc.
D- 39/100 13.3x β€” 0.7% +3.10% $13.6M /gtim-vs-nct β†’
REBN
Reborn Coffee Inc.
E 34/100 β€” 92.0% -35.0% -4.40% $13.7M /rebn-vs-nct β†’
CCHH
CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)
E 21/100 β€” 19.3% -21.4% -3.79% $17.6M /cchh-vs-nct β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0002018529 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) reported GAAP revenue of $25.1M (-1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.5M , and -22.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.1M, operating cash flow of $7.4M, and free cash flow of $6.3M (+9.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCT closed FY2025 with $63.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.64, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $25.1M $3.1M $7.4M $6.3M $63.2M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $25.5M $3.1M $6.5M $5.8M $63.3M $2.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $32.4M $10.9M $13.6M $13.6M β€” β€”

3. NCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.41 (-5.37% 1D, market cap $4.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCT ranks #707 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCT compare to BTBD and GTIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), NCT carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 15.7%. By comparison, BTBD (BT Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.5%, cap $11.4M) and GTIM (Good Times Restaurants Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 0.7%, cap $13.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while NCT leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCT?

Per NCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002018529), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) generated $25.1M in revenue (-1.5% YoY), $3.1M in net income, and $6.3M in free cash flow against $63.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCT last traded at $1.41 (-5.37% on volume of 26,779 shares), positioning the stock -92.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.01) and -97.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($68.56). Across its 52-week range of $1.22 to $712.50, NCT sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.23 to $1.59).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 42/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NCT β€” Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.41 (-5.37% 1D, market capitalization $4.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.7%, gross margin of 31.2%, operating margin of 19.5%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.64, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) is listed on NASDAQ under ticker NCT and is classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Restaurants industry.. The company reports annual revenue in the $25M–$32M range across the three most recent periods shown.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) reported $25.1M in annual revenue (up from $25.5M in FY2024, -1.5% YoY) and $3.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($32.4M revenue, $10.9M net income) through FY2025, NCT scaled operating cash flow to $7.4M and free cash flow to $6.3M, backed by $63.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.22 – $712.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against 19.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links are recorded and no proprietary signals are present. Upstream dependencies, downstream customers, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are therefore β€” A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means the graph cannot be used to identify ripple risks.

  • Key Question #1: Can NCT sustain or expand its 19.5% operating margin and 15.7% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $25.1M and free cash flow of $6.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NCT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NCT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NCT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NCT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.41?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NCT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NCT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.80 (+20.8%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

ROIC of 15.7% and a FY 2025 FCF of $6.3M indicate the operating business generates meaningful returns relative to its $4.8M market cap.

ROIC of 15.7% and a FY 2025 FCF of $6.3M indicate the operating business generates meaningful returns relative to its $4.8M market cap.. When you look under the hood at NCT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 31.2% gross margins and 15.7% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $712.50. My 12M target is $1.80.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” NCT's 7/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.15 (-22.8%)
Spot @ $1.49

An Altman Z of 0.64, a 0% FCF yield, and a whale-flow pillar score of 3/20 signal balance-sheet fragility and weak institutional suppor

Careful chasing NCT at $1.49. An Altman Z of 0.64, a 0% FCF yield, and a whale-flow pillar score of 3/20 signal balance-sheet fragility and weak institutional support.. Gross margin is 31.2%, but operating margin is 19.5%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.15 on multiple compression.

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