Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.59 -10.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.56

Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Netcapital Inc. (NASDAQ: NCPL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $1.59 (-10.67% 1D, market cap $14.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NCPL ranks #360 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCPL compare to BENF and BCG in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), NCPL carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BENF (Beneficient (Class A)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.3M) and BCG (Binah Capital Group Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 8.0x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $18.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCG leads on earnings multiple (8.0x) while BCG leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCPL?
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Per NCPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001414767), Netcapital Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $26.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.56 (-2.11%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C+
Cash (11)Whales (16)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.5% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE NCPL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCPL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NCPL SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$1.54+5.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$1.63-18.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$1.33+19.5% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$1.59+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NCPL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, NCPL faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.11) or 200D SMA ($0.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.63) toward Bear Floor ($1.27).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCPL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NCPL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NCPL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NCPL.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NCPL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NCPL
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NCPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +318.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $1.10H $1.78L $1.10C $1.59VOL 53.95M
RES: $2.79SUP: $0.10SMA50: $1.11SMA200: $0.68
$2.83$2.12$1.41$0.70$-0.01RES $2.79SUP $0.10$1.592026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCPL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCPL)

Financials Rank #360 of 1096 ⚔️ BENF vs NCPL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NCPL vs. BENF, BCG, ICMB, ORIO)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) ranks #360 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #1068 by equity capitalization ($14.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCG leads on earnings valuation at 8.0x trailing P/E, while BCG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and — gross margin. NCPL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NCPL ACTIVE
Netcapital Inc.
C 63/100 — — — -10.67% $14.3M Benchmark Subject
BENF
Beneficient (Class A)
D- 35/100 — — -35.0% -8.88% $15.3M /benf-vs-ncpl →
BCG
Binah Capital Group Inc.
D 51/100 8.0x — 12.6% 0.00% $18.4M /bcg-vs-ncpl →
ICMB
Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -14.9% -4.73% $10.8M /icmb-vs-ncpl →
ORIO
Orion Digital Corp.
D 48/100 — — — +0.15% $20.5M /orio-vs-ncpl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001414767

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $869.5K , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, NCPL closed FY2025 with $26.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $0 $0 — — $26.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-04-30 $869.5K -$28.3M -$5.3M -$5.3M $39.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-30 $5.0M -$5.0M -$4.9M -$4.9M — —

3. NCPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Netcapital Inc. (NASDAQ: NCPL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $1.59 (-10.67% 1D, market cap $14.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NCPL ranks #360 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCPL compare to BENF and BCG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), NCPL carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BENF (Beneficient (Class A)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.3M) and BCG (Binah Capital Group Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 8.0x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $18.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCG leads on earnings multiple (8.0x) while BCG leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCPL?

Per NCPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001414767), Netcapital Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $26.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCPL last traded at $1.59 (-10.67% on volume of 22,444,589 shares), positioning the stock +43.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.11) and +133.82% above its 200-day simple moving average ($0.68). Across its 52-week range of $0.21 to $2.66, NCPL sits at the 56.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.39 to $1.79).

NCPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NCPL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NCPL.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NCPL — Netcapital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:50:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NCPL scores 63 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. The rating reports ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, this pillar signals that the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow that would support valuation on cash-flow grounds.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. The rating describes institutional accumulation and options positioning as a relative strength. This is the highest-scoring pillar and indicates that institutional activity is a meaningful part of the setup, though the source data does not itemize the holdings (see Analyst View).
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow at a low score. This indicates insider signaling is weak relative to the other pillars.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. The rating reports a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. For an investor, this suggests the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, with sector-specific sensitivity not further quantified in the source.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. The rating reports an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These figures sit in a middle range, neither clearly distressed nor clearly strong.

Taken together, the score reflects a mixed profile: a weak cash-generation pillar and insider pillar offset by stronger institutional-flow and balance-sheet pillars. The verdict is a "Hold" with balanced risk and reward. A prospective investor should weigh that the price action (a 61.82% move on the reported date and a 52-week range of $0.21 to $2.66) is large relative to the fundamental metrics shown, which are zero on ROIC, FCF yield, and margins.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/AN/AN/AN/A
FY 2024$0.9M$-8.3M$-28.3MN/A$-5.3MN/AN/A
FY 2023$5.0M$-3.4M$-5.0MN/A$-4.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in each period shown, with net losses of $-5.0M in FY 2023 and $-28.3M in FY 2024. Per the Roarable RQD rating and market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, per the Roarable RQD rating, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash and debt balances are not available in source data for any reported period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news set contains six items, all tagged to NCPL:

  • Market wire coverage (Moomoo, Benzinga, Timothy Sykes): Generic market-action coverage. Benzinga's intraday-session item groups NCPL among financials stocks moving intraday. A Timothy Sykes item characterizes the stock as volatile amid financial weakness and day-trading momentum. Light signal: YELLOW.
  • Legal notices (The National Law Review, PR Newswire): Shareholder-encouragement notices referencing a law firm and a call for shareholders who lost money to contact a firm. These are flagged as risk watch items. Light signal: YELLOW.
  • Catalyst (Benzinga): A report that shares rose 18.85% after hours amid a class action lawsuit. This item is the only one tagged CATALYST, with a GREEN signal.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Financials, the industry is Finance: Consumer Services, the supply chain is listed as NONE, there are no butterfly links, and there are no proprietary signals. Risk watch items are the pending class action and shareholder-notice activity; the source does not state any resolution or merits.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per the analyst data section, there is no consensus rating or price target: NONE. Per the holders section, there are no SEC Form 4 insider, 13F institutional, or Congressional trade records: NONE. Note that the Roarable RQD rating references institutional accumulation and insider cluster flow, but the underlying holder records are not provided in the source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the cash balance and debt amounts for each reported period, given that the financials table lists these as N/A?
  • What is the nature and status of the class action lawsuit referenced in the news wire, and what are its potential financial implications?
  • What does the company sell and to whom, since the source data does not describe its products or revenue model?
  • What drove the revenue decline from $5.0M in FY 2023 to $0.0M in FY 2025, and is there any guidance on future revenue?
  • Which institutional holders and insider transactions underlie the RQD whale-flow and insider-conviction pillar scores?

NCPL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Netcapital Inc. (NCPL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NCPL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NCPL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.59?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NCPL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NCPL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1.92 (+7.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NCPL (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $1.78?

Welcome to the NCPL (Netcapital Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.35 (-24.2%)
Spot @ $1.78

Pump the brakes on NCPL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NCPL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Netcapital Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.17 (+21.9%)
Spot @ $1.78

NCPL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NCPL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.78 (52-wk range $0.21 - $2.66), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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