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Stock Ratings / Technology / NANO / financials
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Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$4.12 -0.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.11

Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $535.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NANO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NANO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: NANO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $535.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NANO ranks #392 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NANO compare to VREX and ERII in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NANO carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VREX (Varex Imaging Corporation) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $776.3M) and ERII (Energy Recovery Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 11.9%, cap $363.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ERII leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NANO?
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For Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #392 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.11 (-0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
$13 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE NANO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NANO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NANO SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.4% FCF Margin ($15.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$10.70-20.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$8.55-41.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$5.00-17.6% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$4.12-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NANO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NANO currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.61) and Max Pain ($4.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.56.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NANO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NANO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • Trailing 12 Months

How NANO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$15.0M (0.4% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $2.08B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.92BOp Profit $1.08B (27%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $998.4MNet Profit$865.3M (21.6%)Tax/Other $216.3M
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NANO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NANO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NANO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.28%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $4.22H $4.22L $4.12C $4.12VOL 433.0K
RES: $12.00SUP: $3.43SMA50: $9.61SMA200: $10.43
$12.55$10.11$7.68$5.25$2.81RES $12.00SUP $3.43$4.122026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NANO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NANO Butterfly Map → + Track NANO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NANO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NANO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NANO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NANO)

Technology Rank #392 of 714 ⚔️ VREX vs NANO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NANO vs. VREX, ERII, MPTI, ASYS)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO) ranks #392 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #414 by equity capitalization ($535.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ERII leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ERII currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NANO at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NANO ACTIVE
Forge Nano Holdings Inc.
D 47/100 — — — -0.96% $535.2M Benchmark Subject
VREX
Varex Imaging Corporation
D+ 54/100 — 34.4% -3.0% -0.05% $776.3M /vrex-vs-nano →
ERII
Energy Recovery Inc.
C- 59/100 15.8x 65.1% 11.9% -2.25% $363.4M /erii-vs-nano →
MPTI
M-tron Industries Inc.
D+ 56/100 35.5x — 19.2% -4.10% $300.0M /mpti-vs-nano →
ASYS
Amtech Systems Inc.
D- 41/100 — 34.0% -35.0% -6.80% $239.5M /asys-vs-nano →

2. NANO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO) operates in Industrial Machinery/Components (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $535.2M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. NANO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NANO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: NANO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $535.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NANO ranks #392 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NANO compare to VREX and ERII in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NANO carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VREX (Varex Imaging Corporation) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $776.3M) and ERII (Energy Recovery Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 11.9%, cap $363.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ERII leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NANO?

For Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #392 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NANO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NANO last traded at $4.12 (-0.96% on volume of 204,708 shares), positioning the stock -57.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.61) and -60.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.43). Across its 52-week range of $3.57 to $11.96, NANO sits at the 6.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.60 to $4.64).

NANO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO)?

In Trailing 12 Months, NANO converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 27% operating margin, and $15.0M in free cash flow (0.4% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: NANO RQD Cockpit NANO 12M Forecast NANO Earnings & Move NANO Dividends & DRIP NANO Insiders & 13F NANO Whale Options NANO Profit Sankey NANO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NANO — Forge Nano Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:15:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NANO scores 47 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital and no free cash flow yield supporting the current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, and it is the weakest pillar. The low score indicates the source data does not show supportive institutional buying.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited insider conviction signals in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the broader market, offering no defensive characteristic.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating moderate balance sheet health relative to the other pillars.

Taken together, the investor implication is that the upside drivers in the source data are limited. The valuation tradeoff is difficult to assess because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data, and the zero margins and ROIC leave little earnings base against which to judge the $4.16 price. Analytically, the rating points to distribution risk rather than accumulation.

Open Questions

  • What are NANO's revenue, operating income, and net income for recent reported periods, given the financials section is empty?
  • Why are ROIC and margins reported as 0% while the company has a $535.2M market capitalization?
  • What are the consensus analyst rating and price targets, and how do they compare with the $4.16 price?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) holdings exist, given the holders section is empty?
  • What products and customers drive the business within Industrial Machinery/Components?

NANO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NANO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NANO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.12?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NANO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NANO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $4.49 (+7.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NANO (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $4.16?

Welcome to the NANO (Forge Nano Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.33 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $4.16

Pump the brakes on NANO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NANO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Forge Nano Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.91 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $4.16

NANO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NANO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.16 (52-wk range $3.57 - $11.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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