Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$80.35 -0.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.07

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.85B
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As of 2026-11-02, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: MSGE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $80.35 (-0.90% 1D, market cap $3.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MSGE ranks #434 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MSGE compare to SPHR and MANU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), MSGE carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 102.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.2%. By comparison, SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 121.6x, ROIC -7.3%, cap $4.06B) and MANU (Manchester United Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MSGE leads on earnings multiple (102.7x) while MSGE leads on capital efficiency (22.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSGE?
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Per MSGE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001952073), Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) generated $942.7M in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $37.4M in net income, and $115.3M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $554.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.07 (-0.35%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 12.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D-
Cash (17)Whales (15)SEC (7)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$95 Bull$80 Base$62 Bear
📬 FREE MSGE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSGE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MSGE SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.2% FCF Margin ($115.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$79.78-2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$77.54-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$76.67+4.8% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$80.35-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MSGE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, MSGE faces multiple-compression risk if 102.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($79.25) or 200D SMA ($70.61) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($79.63) toward Bear Floor ($62.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSGE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MSGE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MSGE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $80.35: 124.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $62.11
$7,730
$-2,270 (-22.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $79.63
$9,910
$-90 (-0.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $94.93
$11,815
+$1,815 (+18.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$8374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$8969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$7158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSGE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MSGE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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MSGE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.74%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $79.05H $81.08L $79.05C $80.35VOL 322.2K
RES: $79.90SUP: $76.70SMA50: $79.25SMA200: $70.61
$93.15$81.78$70.41$59.04$47.67RES $79.90SUP $76.70$80.352026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSGE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSGE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSGE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSGE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSGE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #434 of 1011 ⚔️ SPHR vs MSGE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MSGE vs. SPHR, MANU, BATRA, BATRK)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) ranks #434 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #323 by equity capitalization ($3.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MSGE leads on earnings valuation at 102.7x trailing P/E, while MSGE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.2% ROIC and — gross margin. MANU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with MSGE at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MSGE ACTIVE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A)
D+ 56/100 102.7x — 22.2% -0.90% $3.85B Benchmark Subject
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment Co.
D- 43/100 121.6x — -7.3% -3.50% $4.06B /sphr-vs-msge →
MANU
Manchester United Ltd. (Class A)
D+ 58/100 — — — +0.38% $3.62B /manu-vs-msge →
BATRA
Atlanta Braves Holdings Inc. (Series A)
D- 40/100 — — -1.1% +0.24% $3.50B /batra-vs-msge →
BATRK
Atlanta Braves Holdings Inc. (Series C)
D- 42/100 — — -1.1% +0.54% $3.22B /batrk-vs-msge →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001952073

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) reported GAAP revenue of $942.7M (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $959.3M , and +20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $37.4M, operating cash flow of $115.3M, and free cash flow of $115.3M (+3.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSGE closed FY2025 with $1.82B in total assets against $554.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.07, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $942.7M $37.4M $115.3M $115.3M $1.82B $554.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $959.3M $144.3M $111.3M $111.3M $1.59B $584.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $779.8M $76.0M $135.7M $135.7M — —

3. MSGE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSGE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: MSGE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $80.35 (-0.90% 1D, market cap $3.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MSGE ranks #434 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MSGE compare to SPHR and MANU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), MSGE carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 102.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.2%. By comparison, SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 121.6x, ROIC -7.3%, cap $4.06B) and MANU (Manchester United Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MSGE leads on earnings multiple (102.7x) while MSGE leads on capital efficiency (22.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSGE?

Per MSGE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001952073), Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) generated $942.7M in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $37.4M in net income, and $115.3M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $554.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MSGE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSGE last traded at $80.35 (-0.90% on volume of 340,205 shares), positioning the stock +1.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($79.25) and +13.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($70.61). Across its 52-week range of $43.33 to $90.41, MSGE sits at the 78.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($75.53 to $85.17).

MSGE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MSGE's 12-month stock price target?

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $79.63 (-0.9% from $80.35), with a bull-case target of $94.93 and a bear-case floor of $62.11.

Is MSGE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates MSGE D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 56/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MSGE — Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:45Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MSGE scores 56 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 22.2% and an FCF yield of 3%. This is the strongest pillar and the main source of upside support: the business earns a high return on invested capital, but the free cash flow yield is modest relative to the $3.85B market capitalization.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not include 13F holder detail (see Analyst View section), so the score cannot be traced to specific filings here.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Insider and Congressional trade detail is not provided in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market; the sub-half score indicates weak alignment with the current macro regime per the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects Altman Z of 2.07, Piotroski F of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.5. These metrics point to balance sheet strain relative to the score scale used.

Taken together, the rating suggests an investor evaluating MSGE today is weighing a high-return operating model against elevated valuation (P/E (TTM) of 102.7 and EV/EBITDA of 34.8 per market data), a thin free cash flow yield, and a weak forensic balance sheet. Upside drivers per the data are the ROIC and operating cash generation; valuation tradeoffs are the high multiples; the balance sheet and macro fit pillars are the main drags on the score.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
81.08$3.85B102.795.534.80.790%1.0$43.33 - $90.4122.2%

Business

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue streams beyond this classification. Reported revenue is shown in the SEC financials section below.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$942.7M$122.1M$37.4MN/A$115.3M$157.1M$554.6M
FY 2024$959.3M$111.9M$144.3MN/A$111.3M$54.9M$584.7M
FY 2023$779.8M$105.0M$76.0MN/A$135.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was $942.7M in FY 2025 versus $959.3M in FY 2024, while operating income rose from $111.9M to $122.1M and net income fell from $144.3M to $37.4M. Per the market data, operating margin is 13%, net margin is 4%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 22.2% per the market data. The Altman Z-Score is 2.07 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 8.5 per the RQD rating. Cash rose to $157.1M in FY 2025 from $54.9M in FY 2024 while debt declined to $554.6M from $584.7M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed:

  • Yellow-light items (market wire): A Yahoo Finance item on the fiscal 2027 first quarter conference call; a Seeking Alpha piece titled around expected strong Q1 earnings driving a re-rating; an Investing.com item reporting a Susquehanna price target reduction tied to the venue outlook; a MarketBeat item on a consensus target price; and a Simply Wall St item on undervaluation after LeBron debut buzz.
  • Red-light item (risk watch): A TradingView item reporting a 12-month price target cut to $91.25 with implied 15% upside.

The feed does not provide article body text, so specific claims beyond headlines cannot be verified here. The butterfly supply-chain graph contains no links or proprietary signals (see next section).

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. Investors should note that the graph's absence does not indicate absence of risk; it indicates the source provides no mapping.

Open Questions

  • What specific products, venues, and revenue streams drive the reported $942.7M in FY 2025 revenue?
  • Why did net income fall to $37.4M in FY 2025 from $144.3M in FY 2024 while operating income increased, and what drove the difference?
  • What is the composition of the $554.6M debt and its maturity profile, given Debt/Equity of 8.5 and Altman Z of 2.07?
  • What are the institutional 13F holdings, insider Form 4 transactions, and Congressional PTR activity underlying the Whale and Insider pillar scores?
  • What is the basis for the price target movements (Susquehanna reduction and the $91.25 target) and the consensus target of $91.62?

MSGE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MSGE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MSGE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $80.35?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MSGE 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MSGE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $87.57 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MSGE (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $81.08?

Welcome to the MSGE (Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to capital efficiency (22.2% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (102.7x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $67.30 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $81.08

Pump the brakes on MSGE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MSGE, but look at what you are paying: 102.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $97.30 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $81.08

MSGE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MSGE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $81.08 (52-wk range $43.33 - $90.41), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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