Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A) (MPU) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.50 -11.76% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.47

Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A) (MPU) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $5.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: MPU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.50 (-11.76% 1D, market cap $5.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, MPU ranks #125 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MPU compare to NXAT and TOON in the Communication Services sector?
β–Ό

Within the Communication Services sector (Movies/Entertainment), MPU carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NXAT (Nexus Advanced Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $998.5K) and TOON (Kartoon Studios Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $31.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MPU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GAIA leads on capital efficiency (-5.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MPU?
β–Ό

Per MPU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001953021), Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A) generated $26.1M in revenue (-27.9% YoY), -$34.3M in net income, and -$9.9M in free cash flow against $22.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.47 (-2.31%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.7% Base Target
$29 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MPU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MPU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MPU SCORES 25/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 55.1% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 30.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$2.70-21.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$2.13-26.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$1.56-3.8% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$1.50-10.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (33) β†’ E (25)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MPU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While MPU currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.89) and Max Pain ($1.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.40.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MPUβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMPU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MPU)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MPU.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MPU)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MPU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MPU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -87.07%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $1.70H $1.70L $1.50C $1.50VOL 7.4K
RES: $1.46SUP: $1.07SMA50: $2.89SMA200: $8.82
$28.12$20.87$13.61$6.35$-0.90RES $1.46SUP $1.07$1.502026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MPU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -27.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MPU today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MPU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MPU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MPU)

Communication Services Rank #125 of 132 βš”οΈ NXAT vs MPU Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (MPU vs. NXAT, TOON, GAIA, RDI)

Industry: Movies/Entertainment (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A) (MPU) ranks #125 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #126 by equity capitalization ($5.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MPU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GAIA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -5.0% ROIC and 87.1% gross margin. NXAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with MPU at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MPU ACTIVE
Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A)
E 25/100 β€” 55.1% -35.0% -11.76% $5.1M Benchmark Subject
NXAT
Nexus Advanced Technologies Inc.
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” -6.02% $998.5K /nxat-vs-mpu β†’
TOON
Kartoon Studios Inc.
E 31/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -1.88% $31.9M /toon-vs-mpu β†’
GAIA
Gaia Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 β€” 87.1% -5.0% +0.69% $36.9M /gaia-vs-mpu β†’
RDI
Reading International Inc (Class A)
E 27/100 β€” β€” -35.0% 0.00% $37.3M /rdi-vs-mpu β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001953021

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A) (MPU) reported GAAP revenue of $26.1M (-27.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $36.2M ) , GAAP net income of -$34.3M, operating cash flow of -$9.9M, and free cash flow of -$9.9M (-340.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MPU closed FY2025 with $22.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $26.1M -$34.3M -$9.9M -$9.9M $22.4M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $36.2M -$8.9M $4.1M $4.1M $19.5M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$4.1M -$3.0M -$3.0M β€” β€”

3. MPU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MPU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: MPU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.50 (-11.76% 1D, market cap $5.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, MPU ranks #125 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MPU compare to NXAT and TOON in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Movies/Entertainment), MPU carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NXAT (Nexus Advanced Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $998.5K) and TOON (Kartoon Studios Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $31.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MPU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GAIA leads on capital efficiency (-5.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MPU?

Per MPU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001953021), Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A) generated $26.1M in revenue (-27.9% YoY), -$34.3M in net income, and -$9.9M in free cash flow against $22.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MPU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MPU last traded at $1.50 (-11.76% on volume of 7,430 shares), positioning the stock -48.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.89) and -82.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.82). Across its 52-week range of $1.35 to $28.00, MPU sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.31 to $1.69).

MPU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is MPU's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MPU.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 25/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MPU β€” Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:52:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MPU scores 25 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Taken together, the cash engine and ownership-flow pillars are the weakest: the company is not generating free cash flow relative to its market value, and the rating's flow inputs show little supportive positioning. The balance sheet pillar is also weak on the Piotroski reading, though the Altman Z of 2.5 and Debt/Equity of 0.5 are not the lowest-scoring elements. For a prospective investor, the rating frames the stock as a high-risk, forensic-flagged name where the upside case would depend on a turnaround in operating cash generation that the current data does not show. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Business

Per the company profile, Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector, operating in the Movies/Entertainment industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The profile reports a market capitalization of $0.0B, which conflicts with the $5.8M figure in market data. The gross margin of 55.1% and reported revenue indicate ongoing operations, but the specific mechanics are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$26.1M$-28.9M$-34.3MN/A$-9.9M$7.3MN/A
FY 2024$36.2M$-11.6M$-8.9MN/A$4.1M$8.9MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-5.3M$-4.1MN/A$-3.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue fell from $36.2M in FY 2024 to $26.1M in FY 2025 while the operating loss widened from $-11.6M to $-28.9M. The source-reported operating margin of -60% and net margin of -60% reflect this deterioration, and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, per the forensic balance sheet inputs in the RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.5, but reported debt is not available in source data for any period, so the leverage picture is incomplete.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to MPU and all labeled with a YELLOW light and "MARKET WIRE" impact. The headlines are largely general market and stock-forecast pieces from aggregators such as Moomoo, Yahoo Finance, TradingView, and Simply Wall St, with no company-specific operational announcements described in the summaries. One headline reports MPU sliding to $2.48 as shares test a lower support zone and references a break of structure. Per that item, the price has moved lower over the period, though the current price in market data is $1.7. No proprietary signals are present in the Butterfly graph. Key risk watch items are the continued price decline indicated by the 52-week range of $1.35 to $28 and the negative operating trend in the financials.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Sector is Communication Services and industry is Movies/Entertainment, but no upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations are mapped in the source data. Second-order effects therefore cannot be assessed from the provided sources. An investor should note that the absence of mapped linkages means the ripple analysis is incomplete rather than benign.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue drivers that produced $26.1M in FY 2025 revenue?
  • What caused the operating loss to widen from $-11.6M to $-28.9M between FY 2024 and FY 2025?
  • What is the reported debt level, given that debt is shown as N/A in every period?
  • Why does the company profile list market capitalization as $0.0B while market data shows $5.8M?
  • What explains the EPS being N/A across all periods, and what is the share count?

MPU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A) (MPU) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MPU Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MPU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.50?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MPU 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MPU:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.50 (-11.8%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MPU (E β€’ RQD 25/100) a Buy at $1.70?

Welcome to the MPU (Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 25/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Movies/Entertainment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.41 (-17.1%)
Spot @ $1.70

Pump the brakes on MPU β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MPU, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 55.1% gross margins. Unless Mega Matrix Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.13 (+25.3%)
Spot @ $1.70

MPU cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MPU, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Movies/Entertainment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.70 (52-wk range $1.35 - $28.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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