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Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. (MLP) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$14.27 -0.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.22

Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. (MLP) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $286.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MLP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MLP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. (NYSE: MLP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $14.27 (-0.90% 1D, market cap $286.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MLP ranks #965 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MLP compare to OPI and ARL in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), MLP carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.9%. By comparison, OPI (Office Properties Income Trust of) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.9%, cap $295.9M) and ARL (American Realty Investors Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC -0.8%, cap $298.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARL leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while FRPH leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MLP?
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Per MLP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000063330), Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. generated $19.5M in revenue (+68.2% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and $2.1M in free cash flow against $48.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.22 (-0.35%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 10.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510036
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (11)Macro (5)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
$21 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE MLP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MLP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MLP SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.7% FCF Margin ($2.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$14.77-0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$14.63-3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$14.15+0.8% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$14.27-8.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MLP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MLP currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.45) and Max Pain ($14.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MLP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MLP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MLP Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $14.27: 700.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.03
$7,029
$-2,971 (-29.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $12.86
$9,012
$-988 (-9.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $20.92
$14,660
+$4,660 (+46.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MLP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MLP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MLP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.56%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $14.39H $14.40L $14.27C $14.27VOL 12.5K
RES: $14.86SUP: $13.84SMA50: $15.45SMA200: $16.30
$20.34$18.61$16.88$15.14$13.41RES $14.86SUP $13.84$14.272026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MLP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MLP Butterfly Map → + Track MLP →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +68.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MLP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MLP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MLP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MLP)

Financials Rank #965 of 1096 ⚔️ OPI vs MLP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MLP vs. OPI, ARL, FRPH, BOC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. (MLP) ranks #965 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #818 by equity capitalization ($286.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARL leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while FRPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.3% ROIC and — gross margin. ARL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 38/100 (D-) compared with MLP at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MLP ACTIVE
Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc.
D- 36/100 — — -12.9% -0.90% $286.0M Benchmark Subject
OPI
Office Properties Income Trust of
E 22/100 — — -30.9% -4.23% $295.9M /opi-vs-mlp →
ARL
American Realty Investors Inc.
D- 38/100 18.4x — -0.8% +3.52% $298.0M /arl-vs-mlp →
FRPH
FRP Holdings Inc.
E 28/100 114.6x — 1.3% +0.59% $360.0M /frph-vs-mlp →
BOC
Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -0.6% +4.02% $389.8M /boc-vs-mlp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000063330 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. (MLP) reported GAAP revenue of $19.5M (+68.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.6M , and +109.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.6M, operating cash flow of $2.1M, and free cash flow of $2.1M (+460.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MLP closed FY2025 with $48.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $19.5M -$10.6M $2.1M $2.1M $48.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.6M -$7.4M $370.0K $370.0K $50.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $9.3M -$3.1M -$1.4M -$1.4M — —

3. MLP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MLP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. (NYSE: MLP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $14.27 (-0.90% 1D, market cap $286.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MLP ranks #965 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MLP compare to OPI and ARL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), MLP carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.9%. By comparison, OPI (Office Properties Income Trust of) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.9%, cap $295.9M) and ARL (American Realty Investors Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC -0.8%, cap $298.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARL leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while FRPH leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MLP?

Per MLP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000063330), Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. generated $19.5M in revenue (+68.2% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and $2.1M in free cash flow against $48.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MLP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MLP last traded at $14.27 (-0.90% on volume of 12,593 shares), positioning the stock -7.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.45) and -12.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.30). Across its 52-week range of $13.84 to $19.92, MLP sits at the 7.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($13.27 to $15.27).

Direct Sub-Reports: MLP RQD Cockpit MLP 12M Forecast MLP Earnings & Move MLP Dividends & DRIP MLP Insiders & 13F MLP Whale Options MLP Profit Sankey MLP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MLP — Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. (MLP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.27 (-0.90% 1D, market capitalization $286.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -12.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -23.4%, and free cash flow yield of 0.73%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. Is listed on the NYSE and classified under the Financials sector and Real Estate industry. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $0.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. (MLP) reported $19.5M in annual revenue (up from $11.6M in FY2024, +68.2% YoY) and -$10.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($9.3M revenue, -$3.1M net income) through FY2025, MLP scaled operating cash flow to $2.1M and free cash flow to $2.1M, backed by $48.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 36/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.73% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $13.84 – $19.92 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -23.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context provided is the Financials / Real Estate classification. The federal water-billing suit referenced in the news feed is the one identified external pressure point, but the source does not describe which parties, assets, or costs it affects.

  • Key Question #1: Can MLP sustain or expand its -23.4% operating margin and -12.9% ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $19.5M and free cash flow of $2.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MLP's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MLP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc. (MLP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MLP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MLP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.27?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MLP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MLP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.57 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $9.3M in FY 2023 to $19.5M in FY 2025, with FY 2025 free cash flow of $2.1M, indicating the top line is expanding.

Picked up a starter position in MLP in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $14.40. Revenue grew from $9.3M in FY 2023 to $19.5M in FY 2025, with FY 2025 free cash flow of $2.1M, indicating the top line is expanding.. Trading inside a $13.84–$19.92 52-week range with 0.73% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Real Estate multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — MLP's 11/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.81 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $14.40

ROIC of -12.9%, a 0.73% FCF yield, and net losses in every reported period show the business is not currently earning returns on its ca

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on MLP: ROIC of -12.9%, a 0.73% FCF yield, and net losses in every reported period show the business is not currently earning returns on its capital.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Real Estate triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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