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Stock Ratings / Technology / MKTW / earnings
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MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.3% Move

$20.74 +4.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.86

MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $313.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MKTW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: MKTW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $20.74 (+4.30% 1D, market cap $313.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MKTW ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MKTW compare to LAW and ARQQ in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MKTW carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 56.1x, gross margin of 86.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, LAW (CS Disco Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $340.2M) and ARQQ (Arqit Quantum Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $273.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKTW leads on earnings multiple (56.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKTW?
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Per MKTW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001805651), MarketWise Inc. (Class A) generated $328.1M in revenue (-19.7% YoY), $5.6M in net income, and $45.6M in free cash flow against $218.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (86.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.86 (+0.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 13.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Cash (17)Whales (13)SEC (10)Macro (15)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target
$26 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE MKTW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MKTW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MKTW SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.9% FCF Margin ($45.6M FCF) & 86.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 78% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$19.38-2.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$18.82+4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$19.70+5.3% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$20.74+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MKTW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, MKTW faces multiple-compression risk if 56.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.87) or 200D SMA ($17.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.77) toward Bear Floor ($16.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MKTW• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MKTW Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.3% Swing Band

±$1.72 Expected Swing
$19.02 (-8.3%)Spot $20.74$22.46 (+8.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MKTW Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 69/100

Trailing EPS: $0.36 • YoY Revenue Growth: -19.7%

Model Bullish Setup (69/100)Model Risk Weight (31/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$328.1M$5.6M$45.6M86.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$408.7M$7.1M-$22.3M87.6%
FY 20232023-12-31$448.2M$1.8M$62.4M86.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MKTW & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MKTW
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MKTW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.75%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $19.97H $20.74L $19.89C $20.74VOL 10.1K
RES: $24.36SUP: $17.97SMA50: $18.87SMA200: $17.70
$23.30$21.36$19.43$17.50$15.57RES $24.36SUP $17.97$20.742026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MKTW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MKTW Butterfly Map → + Track MKTW →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
39.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -19.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MKTW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MKTW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MKTW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MKTW)

Technology Rank #97 of 715 ⚔️ LAW vs MKTW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MKTW vs. LAW, ARQQ, CMRC, CRNC)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) ranks #97 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #443 by equity capitalization ($313.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MKTW leads on earnings valuation at 56.1x trailing P/E, while MKTW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 86.5% gross margin. MKTW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MKTW ACTIVE
MarketWise Inc. (Class A)
C+ 69/100 56.1x 86.5% 85.0% +4.30% $313.7M Benchmark Subject
LAW
CS Disco Inc.
D- 35/100 — 74.9% -35.0% -1.72% $340.2M /law-vs-mktw →
ARQQ
Arqit Quantum Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -9.41% $273.7M /arqq-vs-mktw →
CMRC
Commerce.com Inc. Series 1
D- 43/100 — 78.7% -35.0% +3.34% $272.6M /cmrc-vs-mktw →
CRNC
Cerence Inc.
D- 36/100 — 72.7% -0.6% -0.62% $365.9M /crnc-vs-mktw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001805651 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) reported GAAP revenue of $328.1M (-19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $408.7M , and -26.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.6M, operating cash flow of $46.0M, and free cash flow of $45.6M (+304.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MKTW closed FY2025 with $218.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.59, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $328.1M $5.6M $46.0M $45.6M $218.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $408.7M $7.1M -$22.1M -$22.3M $259.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $448.2M $1.8M $62.4M $62.4M — —

3. MKTW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MKTW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: MKTW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $20.74 (+4.30% 1D, market cap $313.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MKTW ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MKTW compare to LAW and ARQQ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MKTW carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 56.1x, gross margin of 86.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, LAW (CS Disco Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $340.2M) and ARQQ (Arqit Quantum Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $273.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKTW leads on earnings multiple (56.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKTW?

Per MKTW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001805651), MarketWise Inc. (Class A) generated $328.1M in revenue (-19.7% YoY), $5.6M in net income, and $45.6M in free cash flow against $218.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (86.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MKTW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MKTW last traded at $20.74 (+4.30% on volume of 18,945 shares), positioning the stock +9.91% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.87) and +17.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.70). Across its 52-week range of $13.49 to $22.83, MKTW sits at the 77.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($19.02 to $22.46).

Direct Sub-Reports: MKTW RQD Cockpit MKTW 12M Forecast MKTW Earnings & Move MKTW Dividends & DRIP MKTW Insiders & 13F MKTW Whale Options MKTW Profit Sankey MKTW News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MKTW — MarketWise Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $20.74 (+4.30% 1D, market capitalization $313.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of 86.5%, operating margin of 19.1%, and free cash flow yield of 14.46%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.59, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry..3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) reported $328.1M in annual revenue (up from $408.7M in FY2024, -19.7% YoY) and $5.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($448.2M revenue, $1.8M net income) through FY2025, MKTW scaled operating cash flow to $46.0M and free cash flow to $45.6M, backed by $218.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Strong cash generator (86.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $13.49 – $22.83 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 56.1x trailing P/E and 3.9x EV/EBITDA against 19.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain: NONE. Butterfly links: none. Investors should watch whether the upcoming Q3 release confirms the revenue trajectory implied by the reported decline.

  • Key Question #1: Can MKTW sustain or expand its 19.1% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $328.1M and free cash flow of $45.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MKTW's 52.2x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MKTW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MKTW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MKTW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.74?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MKTW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MKTW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.06 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

An 85% ROIC and 14.46% FCF yield give the company strong cash generation relative to its $315.0M market cap.

Long MKTW at $19.89 targeting $25.06. An 85% ROIC and 14.46% FCF yield give the company strong cash generation relative to its $315.0M market cap.. Institutional whale score is 13/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $13.49 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 69/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $19.89 and keeping dry powder in case we test $18.50.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.51 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $19.89

An Altman Z of 1.59 and a 1.7% net margin leave the balance sheet and earnings quality with limited margin for error.

Fading this rally in MKTW at $19.89. An Altman Z of 1.59 and a 1.7% net margin leave the balance sheet and earnings quality with limited margin for error.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $19.89 (52-wk range $13.49–$22.83), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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