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Stock Ratings / Technology / MITK / earnings
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Mitek Systems Inc. (MITK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.8% Move

$18.07 -2.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.04

Mitek Systems Inc. (MITK) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 23% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $833.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MITK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MITK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Mitek Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: MITK) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $18.07 (-2.11% 1D, market cap $833.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MITK ranks #68 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MITK compare to EVLV and SSYS in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer peripheral equipment), MITK carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 94.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.7%. By comparison, EVLV (Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $878.5M) and SSYS (Stratasys Ltd. (Israel)) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.7%, cap $619.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMMR leads on earnings multiple (53.6x) while MITK leads on capital efficiency (22.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MITK?
▼

Per MITK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000807863), Mitek Systems Inc. generated $179.7M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $8.8M in net income, and $54.2M in free cash flow against $446.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 95x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.04 (-0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 30.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Cash (18)Whales (14)SEC (14)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$23 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE MITK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MITK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MITK SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 30.2% FCF Margin ($54.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (19% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 7 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$16.71+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$16.71+12% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$18.72-3.5% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$18.07+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MITK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, MITK faces multiple-compression risk if 94.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 95x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.69) or 200D SMA ($15.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.21) toward Bear Floor ($14.82).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MITK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MITK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.8% Swing Band

±$1.77 Expected Swing
$16.30 (-9.8%)Spot $18.07$19.84 (+9.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MITK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $0.19 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.4%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-30$179.7M$8.8M$54.2M52%
FY 20242024-09-30$172.1M$3.3M$30.3M52%
FY 20232023-09-30$172.6M$8.0M$31.6M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MITK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MITK
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
MITK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.41%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $18.66H $18.66L $18.07C $18.07VOL 350.7K
RES: $19.19SUP: $15.31SMA50: $17.69SMA200: $15.87
$21.75$18.84$15.92$13.00$10.08RES $19.19SUP $15.31$18.072026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MITK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MITK Butterfly Map → + Track MITK →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MITK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MITK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MITK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MITK)

Technology Rank #68 of 714 ⚔️ EVLV vs MITK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MITK vs. EVLV, SSYS, CRSR, IMMR)

Industry: Computer peripheral equipment (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mitek Systems Inc. (MITK) ranks #68 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #367 by equity capitalization ($833.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IMMR leads on earnings valuation at 53.6x trailing P/E, while MITK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.7% ROIC and — gross margin. MITK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MITK ACTIVE
Mitek Systems Inc.
B 72/100 94.7x — 22.7% -2.11% $833.0M Benchmark Subject
EVLV
Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — 51.6% -35.0% -3.30% $878.5M /evlv-vs-mitk →
SSYS
Stratasys Ltd. (Israel)
E 17/100 — 41.2% -7.7% -4.41% $619.2M /ssys-vs-mitk →
CRSR
Corsair Gaming Inc.
D+ 56/100 92.8x 28.9% 0.2% -8.23% $1.49B /crsr-vs-mitk →
IMMR
Immersion Corporation
C- 61/100 53.6x — 12.4% -1.37% $242.4M /immr-vs-mitk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000807863

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Mitek Systems Inc. (MITK) reported GAAP revenue of $179.7M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $172.1M , and +4.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.8M, operating cash flow of $55.3M, and free cash flow of $54.2M (+79.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MITK closed FY2025 with $446.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $179.7M $8.8M $55.3M $54.2M $446.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $172.1M $3.3M $31.7M $30.3M $396.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $172.6M $8.0M $31.6M $31.6M — —

3. MITK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MITK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Mitek Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: MITK) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $18.07 (-2.11% 1D, market cap $833.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MITK ranks #68 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MITK compare to EVLV and SSYS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer peripheral equipment), MITK carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 94.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.7%. By comparison, EVLV (Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $878.5M) and SSYS (Stratasys Ltd. (Israel)) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.7%, cap $619.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMMR leads on earnings multiple (53.6x) while MITK leads on capital efficiency (22.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MITK?

Per MITK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000807863), Mitek Systems Inc. generated $179.7M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $8.8M in net income, and $54.2M in free cash flow against $446.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 95x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MITK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MITK last traded at $18.07 (-2.11% on volume of 469,124 shares), positioning the stock +2.15% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.69) and +13.86% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.87). Across its 52-week range of $8.53 to $21.05, MITK sits at the 76.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($16.30 to $19.84).

MITK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MITK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Mitek Systems Inc. (MITK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is MITK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.8% event move for MITK, spanning a range between $16.3 and $19.84.

Direct Sub-Reports: MITK RQD Cockpit MITK 12M Forecast MITK Earnings & Move MITK Dividends & DRIP MITK Insiders & 13F MITK Whale Options MITK Profit Sankey MITK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MITK — Mitek Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:30Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MITK scores 72 out of 100 (letter grade B, verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward"). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 22.7% and an FCF yield of 6.51%. This is the strongest pillar and the main upside driver in the rating.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects Altman Z 2.87, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to cash generation and balance-sheet strength as the main supports. Valuation is the main tradeoff: per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 94.7 and an EV/EBITDA of 37, which is high relative to its reported EPS of 0.19. The 52-week range of $8.53–$21.05 against a current price of 18.46 shows a wide trading band. Institutional and insider pillars are mid-range, indicating neither strong conviction nor clear weakness in the source data. These are analytical observations, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$18.46$833.0M94.788.1370.190%1.0$8.53 - $21.0522.7%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$179.7M$16.8M$8.8MN/A$54.2M$175.1MN/A
FY 2024$172.1M$2.2M$3.3MN/A$30.2M$90.6MN/A
FY 2023$172.6M$15.6M$8.0MN/A$31.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat across the three periods, while operating income rose to $16.8M in FY 2025 from $2.2M in FY 2024. Per the market data, operating margin is 9.3% and net margin is 4.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 22.7%, Altman Z-Score is 2.87, and Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5. Per the SEC financials, cash rose to $175.1M in FY 2025 from $90.6M in FY 2024.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers? The source data does not describe them.
  • Why did FY 2024 operating income fall to $2.2M while revenue held near $172M, and what drove the rebound to $16.8M in FY 2025?
  • What are the EPS and debt figures for each reported period, which the financials table lists as N/A?
  • What do the institutional, options, and insider flows in the RQD pillars look like at the individual-transaction level?
  • What supply-chain relationships, if any, link MITK to upstream suppliers or downstream customers?

MITK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mitek Systems Inc. (MITK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MITK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MITK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $18.07?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MITK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MITK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.78 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MITK (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $18.46?

Welcome to the MITK (Mitek Systems Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Computer peripheral equipment. Bulls point to capital efficiency (22.7% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (94.7x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.21 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $18.46

Pump the brakes on MITK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MITK, but look at what you are paying: 94.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Mitek Systems Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $22.34 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $18.46

MITK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MITK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer peripheral equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $18.46 (52-wk range $8.53 - $21.05), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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