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Stock Ratings / Industrials / MIDD / insiders
NOVT (59) AAON (36) JBTM (26) ENS (64) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Middleby Corporation (MIDD) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$118.95 +1.16% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $118.97

Middleby Corporation (MIDD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.38B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MIDD Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MIDD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Middleby Corporation (NASDAQ: MIDD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $118.95 (+1.16% 1D, market cap $5.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MIDD ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MIDD compare to NOVT and AAON in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), MIDD carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of 39.1%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, NOVT (Novanta Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 106.2x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $5.51B) and AAON (AAON Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 57.7x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $5.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MIDD leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while ENS leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MIDD?
β–Ό

Per MIDD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0000769520), Middleby Corporation generated $3.20B in revenue (+1.6% YoY), $367.3M in net income, and $559.5M in free cash flow against $6.32B in total assets and $2.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $118.97 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 17.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.6% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$156 Bull$123 Base$96 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MIDD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MIDD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MIDD SCORES 65/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17.5% FCF Margin ($559.5M FCF) & 39.1% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (70) create a -12 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$106.16+4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$111.07+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$114.04+4.3% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$118.95+1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (57) β†’ C (65)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MIDD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, MIDD faces multiple-compression risk if 14.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 36.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($110.23) or 200D SMA ($120.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($122.70) toward Bear Floor ($95.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MIDDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMIDD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

MIDD Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MIDD)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on MIDD. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MIDD Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
MIDD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.76%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $117.6H $119.0L $117.6C $119.0VOL 444.8K
RES: $118.1SUP: $99.58SMA50: $110.2SMA200: $120.2
$151.8$138.3$124.9$111.4$97.97RES $118.1SUP $99.58$119.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MIDD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ MIDD Butterfly Map β†’ + Track MIDD β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MIDD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MIDD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MIDD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MIDD)

Industrials Rank #78 of 485 βš”οΈ NOVT vs MIDD Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MIDD vs. NOVT, AAON, JBTM, ENS)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Middleby Corporation (MIDD) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #139 by equity capitalization ($5.38B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MIDD leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while ENS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.0% ROIC and 63.4% gross margin. MIDD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MIDD ACTIVE
Middleby Corporation
C 65/100 14.5x 39.1% 9.7% +1.16% $5.38B Benchmark Subject
NOVT
Novanta Inc.
C- 59/100 106.2x 44.4% 6.5% -3.58% $5.51B /novt-vs-midd β†’
AAON
AAON Inc.
D- 36/100 57.7x 26.7% 9.5% -10.49% $5.56B /aaon-vs-midd β†’
JBTM
JBT Marel Corporation
E 26/100 β€” 35.1% 2.6% -1.15% $5.66B /jbtm-vs-midd β†’
ENS
EnerSys
C 64/100 21.0x 63.4% 13.0% -6.66% $5.77B /ens-vs-midd β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-01-03 β€’ CIK 0000769520

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Middleby Corporation (MIDD) reported GAAP revenue of $3.20B (+1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.15B , and -1.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $367.3M, operating cash flow of $630.2M, and free cash flow of $559.5M (-13.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, MIDD closed FY2025 with $6.32B in total assets against $2.13B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.08, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-03 $3.20B $367.3M $630.2M $559.5M $6.32B $2.13B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $3.15B $428.4M $686.8M $650.1M $7.28B $2.35B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $3.24B $400.9M $628.8M $482.9M $3.89B $910.4M

3. MIDD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MIDD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Middleby Corporation (NASDAQ: MIDD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $118.95 (+1.16% 1D, market cap $5.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MIDD ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MIDD compare to NOVT and AAON in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), MIDD carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of 39.1%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, NOVT (Novanta Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 106.2x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $5.51B) and AAON (AAON Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 57.7x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $5.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MIDD leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while ENS leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MIDD?

Per MIDD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0000769520), Middleby Corporation generated $3.20B in revenue (+1.6% YoY), $367.3M in net income, and $559.5M in free cash flow against $6.32B in total assets and $2.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MIDD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MIDD last traded at $118.95 (+1.16% on volume of 444,764 shares), positioning the stock +7.91% above its 50-day simple moving average ($110.23) and -1.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($120.20). Across its 52-week range of $89.16 to $148.55, MIDD sits at the 50.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.0 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.1% ($112.88 to $125.02).

Direct Sub-Reports: MIDD RQD Cockpit MIDD 12M Forecast MIDD Earnings & Move MIDD Dividends & DRIP MIDD Insiders & 13F MIDD Whale Options MIDD Profit Sankey MIDD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 65/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MIDD β€” Middleby Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MIDD scores 65 out of 100, earning a letter grade of C and the verdict label "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 14 of 20 (ROIC 9.7%; FCF yield 10.52%), suggesting solid but not exceptional capital efficiency and cash generation relative to the company's own pricing. Whale 13F Flow scores 12 of 20, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning that are present but not a dominant signal. Insider Conviction is the strongest pillar at 17 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 8 of 20 with a Beta of 0.94 and sector sensitivity, the weakest pillar, implying limited defensive or macro-tailwind characteristics. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 14 of 20 (Altman Z 3.08; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.77), a generally healthy profile. For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are the cash generation, insider activity, and balance sheet strength; the tradeoffs are a modest macro-regime fit and a valuation that the rating frames as balanced rather than discounted. This is an educational reading of the rating, not personalized advice.

Business

Middleby Corporation (MIDD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, classified under Industrial Machinery/Components.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines are predominantly YELLOW-flagged market wire items (Yahoo! Finance Canada, Yahoo Finance, MarketBeat, Stock Titan, Stock Traders Daily). A MarketBeat item references a consensus price target of $159.25. A Stock Titan item reports a 9,181-unit stock grant for the technology and operations chief vesting in thirds across 2027–2029. One item from Stock Traders Daily is flagged RED under RISK WATCH; its headline concerns price dynamics and execution-aware positioning, and its body text is not provided. A MarketBeat item reports a 16,949-share position purchase by Pullen Investment Management LLC. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals recorded (supply_chain: NONE).

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

β€” The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations beyond the Industrials classification, and no proprietary signals, so upstream/downstream dependencies and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided sources.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: β€” Holders data: β€” The only reference to a price target appears in a news headline (consensus $159.25 per a MarketBeat headline), which is not a structured analyst dataset.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix behind the reported figures?
  • Why is the FY 2025 EPS reported as N/A, and what is the reconciled per-share earnings history?
  • What drove the decline in cash from $638.8M to $222.2M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and FY 2023 cash is listed as N/A?
  • What does the RED-flagged "Price Dynamics and Execution-Aware Positioning" item specifically warn about?
  • What are the identities, sizes, and dates of the insider and Congressional transactions behind the Insider Conviction pillar?

MIDD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Middleby Corporation (MIDD) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MIDD Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MIDD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $118.95?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MIDD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MIDD:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $149.88 (+26.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Insider Conviction scores 17 of 20 and the Forensic Balance Sheet is healthy (Altman Z 3.08, Piotroski F 7/9), supported by a 10.52% FC

Long MIDD at $118.95 targeting $149.88. Insider Conviction scores 17 of 20 and the Forensic Balance Sheet is healthy (Altman Z 3.08, Piotroski F 7/9), supported by a 10.52% FCF yield.. Institutional whale score is 12/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $89.16 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” MIDD's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $101.11 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $118.95

Macro Regime Fit scores only 8 of 20 with the sector-sensitive profile, and reported cash fell from $638.8M to $222.2M while debt remai

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short MIDD above $118.95. Macro Regime Fit scores only 8 of 20 with the sector-sensitive profile, and reported cash fell from $638.8M to $222.2M while debt remains $2128.6M.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20) and FCF yield (10.52%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $148.55.

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