McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$13.34 -3.89% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.22

McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $2.66B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, McGraw Hill Inc. (NYSE: MH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $13.34 (-3.89% 1D, market cap $2.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MH ranks #541 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MH compare to CMPR and WBTN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), MH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.8x, gross margin of 80.9%, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, CMPR (Cimpress plc (Ireland)) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 99.3x, ROIC 22.7%, cap $1.49B) and WBTN (WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.5%, cap $1.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCO leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while CMPR leads on capital efficiency (22.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MH?
β–Ό

Per MH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001951070), McGraw Hill Inc. generated $2.10B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $78.7M in net income, and $246.3M in free cash flow against $5.64B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.22 (-0.89%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 11.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (11)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$19 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MH SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 49% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$13.58+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$13.87+4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$14.44-7.6% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$13.34-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While MH currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.35) and Max Pain ($14.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.90.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MHβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±8.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MH)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MH.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MH)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.43%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $13.66H $13.88L $13.34C $13.34VOL 297.3K
RES: $15.06SUP: $13.36SMA50: $13.35SMA200: $12.62
$15.30$13.57$11.85$10.13$8.41RES $15.06SUP $13.36$13.342026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MH today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #541 of 1011 βš”οΈ CMPR vs MH Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MH vs. CMPR, WBTN, DLX, ACCO)

Industry: Publishing (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) ranks #541 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #381 by equity capitalization ($2.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCO leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while CMPR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.7% ROIC and 47.5% gross margin. DLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with MH at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MH ACTIVE
McGraw Hill Inc.
D 51/100 33.8x 80.9% 7.6% -3.89% $2.66B Benchmark Subject
CMPR
Cimpress plc (Ireland)
D+ 54/100 99.3x 47.5% 22.7% -5.47% $1.49B /cmpr-vs-mh β†’
WBTN
WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” 23.3% -8.5% -6.92% $1.29B /wbtn-vs-mh β†’
DLX
Deluxe Corporation
C 63/100 12.8x 53.0% β€” -1.44% $1.05B /dlx-vs-mh β†’
ACCO
Acco Brands Corporation
D+ 56/100 9.7x 32.8% 5.0% +26.15% $402.5M /acco-vs-mh β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0001951070

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) reported GAAP revenue of $2.10B (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.10B , and +7.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $78.7M, operating cash flow of $331.2M, and free cash flow of $246.3M (-57.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MH closed FY2025 with $5.64B in total assets against $2.61B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.52, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $2.10B $78.7M $331.2M $246.3M $5.64B $2.61B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $2.10B -$85.8M $646.3M $575.2M β€” β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $1.96B -$193.0M $236.2M $236.2M β€” β€”

3. MH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, McGraw Hill Inc. (NYSE: MH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $13.34 (-3.89% 1D, market cap $2.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MH ranks #541 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MH compare to CMPR and WBTN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), MH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.8x, gross margin of 80.9%, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, CMPR (Cimpress plc (Ireland)) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 99.3x, ROIC 22.7%, cap $1.49B) and WBTN (WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.5%, cap $1.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCO leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while CMPR leads on capital efficiency (22.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MH?

Per MH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001951070), McGraw Hill Inc. generated $2.10B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $78.7M in net income, and $246.3M in free cash flow against $5.64B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MH last traded at $13.34 (-3.89% on volume of 439,418 shares), positioning the stock -0.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.35) and +5.71% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.62). Across its 52-week range of $8.94 to $18.00, MH sits at the 48.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.6% ($12.19 to $14.49).

MH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is MH's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MH.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 51/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MH β€” McGraw Hill Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MH scores 51 out of 100, grade D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 7.6% and an FCF yield of 9.28%. A high FCF yield alongside weak ROIC suggests cash generation is meaningful relative to the market price, but capital is not being deployed at high returns.
  • Whale / 13F flow: 10 / 20. The RQD rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning as the basis for this score. The supporting detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider conviction: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the highest-scoring pillar, though the underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro regime fit: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. Market-level sensitivity is average.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.52, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 3.36. These are the weakest forensic readings in the sources and indicate elevated balance-sheet risk.

Investor implications: the upside case rests on the cash-flow yield and the modest insider-flow signal. The valuation tradeoff is that trailing P/E of 33.8 and EV/EBITDA of 13.6 are high for a stock with a 3.7% net margin and a leveraged balance sheet. The Altman Z reading and leverage are the main downside risks. The RQD verdict is a distribution warning, meaning the composite evidence leans negative.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
13.88$2.66B33.831.413.60.410%1.0$8.94 - $187.6%

Business

McGraw Hill Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Publishing industry. Per the company profile, the company operates in publishing. The source data does not itemize its products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond this classification. Per the market data, gross margin is 80.9%, operating margin 13.2%, and net margin 3.7%.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2102.8M$276.8M$78.7MN/A$246.3M$514.4M$2605.6M
FY 2024$2101.3M$306.8M$-85.8MN/A$575.2MN/AN/A
FY 2023$1960.5M$155.3M$-193.0MN/A$236.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue is essentially flat between FY 2024 and FY 2025 and net income swung from a loss to a profit in FY 2025. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 7.6%, Altman Z is 0.52, and Piotroski F is 6/9. Per the RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 3.36, and FY 2025 reported debt of $2605.6M against cash of $514.4M. The balance sheet posture is highly leveraged.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items were reported, none with a date beyond the 15-hour window in the source:

  • Yahoo! Finance Canada (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): general market action and positioning report; no specific catalyst identified.
  • Seeking Alpha (RED, RISK WATCH): headline frames the business as "Good Business, But The Private Equity Risk Lingers." Flagged as a risk watch item; the source does not detail the private equity exposure.
  • Yahoo Finance (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): headline references AI tools and refinancing as factors in fair valuation.
  • TradingView (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): estimates page; no specific figures provided in the source.
  • MarketBeat (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): reports an upgrade to "Strong-Buy" by Wall Street Zen.
  • Stock Titan (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): reports that Microsoft Copilot will let licensed users turn McGraw Hill course materials into study aids, a potential product-level catalyst.

Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply chain is marked NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition of the private equity risk flagged in the Seeking Alpha item, and what is its effect on the debt load?
  • What drove the swing from FY 2024 and FY 2023 net losses to FY 2025 net income of $78.7M?
  • What are the terms, maturities, and interest costs of the $2605.6M debt, and how does the refinancing referenced in the news affect them?
  • What is the specific composition of the 14/20 insider-conviction pillar in terms of transactions, dates, and sizes?
  • What are the contributing revenue streams and segment margins behind the 80.9% gross margin?

MH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MH Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $13.34?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MH:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $14.99 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MH (D β€’ RQD 51/100) a Buy at $13.88?

Welcome to the MH (McGraw Hill Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 51/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Publishing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (33.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.97 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $13.88

Pump the brakes on MH β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MH, but look at what you are paying: 33.8x trailing P/E with 80.9% gross margins. Unless McGraw Hill Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.21 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $13.88

MH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Publishing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.88 (52-wk range $8.94 - $18.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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