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Magnite Inc. (MGNI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$21.49 -4.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.29

Magnite Inc. (MGNI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.22B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MGNI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MGNI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Magnite Inc. (NASDAQ: MGNI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $21.49 (-4.19% 1D, market cap $3.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MGNI ranks #236 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MGNI compare to WIX and RUM in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), MGNI carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.2x, gross margin of 62.7%, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, WIX (Wix.com Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 64.5x, ROIC 0.8%, cap $3.27B) and RUM (RUM Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGNI leads on earnings multiple (22.2x) while MGNI leads on capital efficiency (10.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGNI?
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Per MGNI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001595974), Magnite Inc. generated $714.0M in revenue (+6.9% YoY), $144.6M in net income, and $165.6M in free cash flow against $3.16B in total assets and $347.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.29 (-0.94%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 23.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (9)Whales (10)SEC (12)Macro (14)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$28 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE MGNI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MGNI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MGNI SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 67% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.7% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$25.08-6.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$23.55-8.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$21.62-0.6% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$21.49+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MGNI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, MGNI faces multiple-compression risk if 22.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 60.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.96) or 200D SMA ($17.64) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.68) toward Bear Floor ($16.91).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MGNI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MGNI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MGNI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $21.49: 465.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $16.91
$7,869
$-2,131 (-21.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $21.68
$10,088
+$88 (+0.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $28.18
$13,113
+$3,113 (+31.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$2669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$1958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MGNI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
MGNI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +58.25%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $21.77H $22.43L $21.49C $21.49VOL 1.98M
RES: $28.43SUP: $26.00SMA50: $23.96SMA200: $17.64
$27.85$23.65$19.45$15.25$11.05RES $28.43SUP $26.00$21.492026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGNI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MGNI Butterfly Map → + Track MGNI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGNI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGNI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGNI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MGNI)

Technology Rank #236 of 714 ⚔️ WIX vs MGNI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MGNI vs. WIX, RUM, SRAD, PPLI)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Magnite Inc. (MGNI) ranks #236 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #249 by equity capitalization ($3.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGNI leads on earnings valuation at 22.2x trailing P/E, while MGNI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.8% ROIC and 62.7% gross margin. MGNI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MGNI ACTIVE
Magnite Inc.
C- 60/100 22.2x 62.7% 10.8% -4.19% $3.22B Benchmark Subject
WIX
Wix.com Ltd.
D+ 52/100 64.5x 68.1% 0.8% -1.27% $3.27B /wix-vs-mgni →
RUM
RUM Group Inc. (Class A)
E 27/100 — -6.7% -35.0% -5.00% $2.78B /rum-vs-mgni →
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG (Class A)
D 48/100 — — — -1.63% $3.81B /srad-vs-mgni →
PPLI
People Incorporated
E 32/100 — 66.2% -1.5% -0.72% $2.67B /ppli-vs-mgni →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001595974

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Magnite Inc. (MGNI) reported GAAP revenue of $714.0M (+6.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $668.2M , and +15.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $144.6M, operating cash flow of $236.2M, and free cash flow of $165.6M (-18.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGNI closed FY2025 with $3.16B in total assets against $347.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.97, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $714.0M $144.6M $236.2M $165.6M $3.16B $347.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $668.2M $22.8M $235.2M $202.4M $2.85B $550.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $619.7M -$159.2M $214.4M $214.4M — —

3. MGNI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MGNI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Magnite Inc. (NASDAQ: MGNI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $21.49 (-4.19% 1D, market cap $3.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MGNI ranks #236 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MGNI compare to WIX and RUM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), MGNI carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.2x, gross margin of 62.7%, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, WIX (Wix.com Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 64.5x, ROIC 0.8%, cap $3.27B) and RUM (RUM Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGNI leads on earnings multiple (22.2x) while MGNI leads on capital efficiency (10.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGNI?

Per MGNI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001595974), Magnite Inc. generated $714.0M in revenue (+6.9% YoY), $144.6M in net income, and $165.6M in free cash flow against $3.16B in total assets and $347.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MGNI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MGNI last traded at $21.49 (-4.19% on volume of 2,495,210 shares), positioning the stock -10.31% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.96) and +21.83% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.64). Across its 52-week range of $10.82 to $26.84, MGNI sits at the 66.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($19.73 to $23.25).

MGNI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MGNI's 12-month stock price target?

Magnite Inc. (MGNI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $21.68 (+0.9% from $21.49), with a bull-case target of $28.18 and a bear-case floor of $16.91.

Is MGNI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates MGNI C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 60/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: MGNI RQD Cockpit MGNI 12M Forecast MGNI Earnings & Move MGNI Dividends & DRIP MGNI Insiders & 13F MGNI Whale Options MGNI Profit Sankey MGNI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MGNI — Magnite Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MGNI scores 60 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 10.8% and an FCF yield of 5.15%. It is the weakest pillar in relative terms, indicating that cash generation is present but not strong enough to drive a high score.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is mid-to-low, suggesting institutional interest is not decisively directional based on the provided data.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the strongest pillar, indicating comparatively more favorable insider-flow signals.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-matching volatility rather than amplified or dampened exposure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z of 0.97, a Piotroski F of 9/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.38. The Piotroski reading is strong, while the Altman Z reading is low and warrants caution.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a balanced, cautious profile rather than a clear buy or sell signal. The upside case rests on the insider-flow and balance-sheet-quality pillars and on the stock's reported 229% run referenced in the news wire. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: per the market data section, the P/E (TTM) is 22.2 and EV/EBITDA is 19.1, which the news wire headline characterizes as possibly still overvalued. The rating is an analytical summary of the provided data, not a personalized recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
22.43$3.22B22.220.619.11.010%1.0$10.82 - $26.8410.8%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$714.0M$97.6M$144.6MN/A$165.6M$553.4M$347.7M
FY 2024$668.2M$51.1M$22.8MN/A$202.4M$483.2M$550.1M
FY 2023$619.7M$-155.0M$-159.2MN/A$214.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $619.7M in FY 2023 to $714.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from a loss to $97.6M over the same period. Per the market data, the operating margin is 13.7% and the net margin is 20.3%, with ROIC at 10.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.97 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, while the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.38. Reported debt declined from $550.1M in FY 2024 to $347.7M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $553.4M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines are listed, each marked YELLOW with the impact label MARKET WIRE:

  • A Yahoo Finance report describes MGNI as looking cheap even after a 229% run.
  • A GuruFocus report describes the stock as down 5.7% but still overvalued.
  • A ChartMill report provides a general MGNI news page.
  • A Motley Fool report compares Magnite with AppLovin as a digital advertising stock.
  • A Yahoo Finance report describes a deal involving HP TV+ and questions whether the upside is already priced in.
  • A MarketBeat report notes a sale of MGNI stock by Kopion Asset Management LLC.

Risk watch items from these headlines are valuation concerns and the question of whether recent gains are already reflected in the price. The news wire does not provide deal terms or financial impact for the HP TV+ item. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Open Questions

  • What products and customers generate Magnite's revenue, and how does the company monetize them?
  • What were the reported EPS figures, since the financials list EPS as N/A for each period?
  • What are the cash and debt figures for FY 2023, which are listed as N/A?
  • What are the terms and financial impact of the HP TV+ deal referenced in the news wire?
  • What is the basis and composition of the 13F, options, and insider flows that feed the RQD pillar scores?

MGNI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Magnite Inc. (MGNI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MGNI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MGNI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.49?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MGNI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MGNI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $24.22 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MGNI (C- • RQD 60/100) a Buy at $22.43?

Welcome to the MGNI (Magnite Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.72 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $22.43

Pump the brakes on MGNI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MGNI, but look at what you are paying: 22.2x trailing P/E with 62.7% gross margins. Unless Magnite Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.57 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $22.43

MGNI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MGNI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $22.43 (52-wk range $10.82 - $26.84), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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