Yahoo Finance report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MED Stock slipped -0.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MEDIFAST INC (MED) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, MEDIFAST INC (NYSE: MED) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $12.15 (-0.90% 1D, market cap $137.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, MED ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MED compare to BYND and BGS in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), MED carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 71.3%, and ROIC of -10.2%. By comparison, BYND (Beyond Meat Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $126.9M) and BGS (B&G Foods Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.3%, cap $183.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MED leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BGS leads on capital efficiency (3.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MED?
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Per MED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000910329), MEDIFAST INC generated $385.8M in revenue (-36.0% YoY), -$19.0M in net income, and $1.2M in free cash flow against $248.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.3% FCF Margin ($1.2M FCF) & 71.3% Gross Margin
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7% realized swing band)
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MED Turnaround Squeeze
While MED currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.00) and Max Pain ($12.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.12.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why MED Stock slipped -0.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MEDIFAST INC (MED) slipped -0.90% to $12.15, trading at 69% of its 52-week range ($9.22 – $13.45). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 69% of its 52-week range ($9.22 – $13.45) with RSI-14 at 56.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7% around $12.15 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 71.3% gross margin and $1.2M annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Wellness company Medifast (NYSE:MED) reported Q3 2026 results topping the market’s revenue expectations, but sales fell by 19.4% year on year to $72.05 million. Guidance for next quarter’s revenue was better than expecte
Medifast’s third quarter results were marked by a positive market response, as the company’s revenue slightly exceeded Wall Street’s expectations despite a substantial year-over-year decline. Management attributed the pe
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MED)
- ✓Walkthrough of MED's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
MED Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -36.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MED today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MED. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MED)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (MED vs. BYND, BGS, OTLY, AFRI)
Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MEDIFAST INC (MED) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #99 by equity capitalization ($137.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MED leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BGS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.3% ROIC and 21.8% gross margin. MED currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MED
ACTIVE
MEDIFAST INC | D | 50/100 | — | 71.3% | -10.2% | -0.90% | $137.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| BYND Beyond Meat Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -6.37% | $126.9M | /bynd-vs-med → |
| BGS B&G Foods Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 21.8% | 3.3% | +2.66% | $183.7M | /bgs-vs-med → |
| OTLY Oatly Group AB | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -3.12% | $255.3M | /otly-vs-med → |
| AFRI Forafric Global PLC | E | 24/100 | — | 10.4% | -16.5% | -0.95% | $340.6M | /afri-vs-med → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000910329In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MEDIFAST INC (MED) reported GAAP revenue of $385.8M (-36.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $602.5M , and -64.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$19.0M, operating cash flow of $6.9M, and free cash flow of $1.2M (-92.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MED closed FY2025 with $248.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.71, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $385.8M | -$19.0M | $6.9M | $1.2M | $248.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $602.5M | $2.0M | $24.5M | $17.0M | $284.2M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.07B | $99.0M | $147.7M | $147.7M | — | — |
3. MED Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, MEDIFAST INC (NYSE: MED) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $12.15 (-0.90% 1D, market cap $137.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, MED ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MED compare to BYND and BGS in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), MED carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 71.3%, and ROIC of -10.2%. By comparison, BYND (Beyond Meat Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $126.9M) and BGS (B&G Foods Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.3%, cap $183.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MED leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BGS leads on capital efficiency (3.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MED?
Per MED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000910329), MEDIFAST INC generated $385.8M in revenue (-36.0% YoY), -$19.0M in net income, and $1.2M in free cash flow against $248.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MED trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MED last traded at $12.15 (-0.90% on volume of 231,919 shares), positioning the stock +1.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.00) and +7.33% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.32). Across its 52-week range of $9.22 to $13.45, MED sits at the 69.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($11.30 to $13.00).
MED Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MED stock moving today?
Why MED Stock slipped -0.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
MED — MEDIFAST INC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, MED scores 50 out of 100 for a letter grade of D, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -10.2% and an FCF yield of 0.91%. Negative return on invested capital means the business is currently not earning back its capital base, and a sub-1% FCF yield indicates limited free cash generation relative to the market value.
- Whale / 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. No holder-level detail is included in the source data, so the drivers of this score cannot be independently traced here.
- Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the weakest pillar and reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score signals weak insider-side conviction; the underlying trade-level records are not included in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the pillar cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves, without a defensive or aggressive tilt.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the pillar reflects Altman Z 4.71, Piotroski F 5/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5. These metrics point to a balance sheet that is more stable than the earnings trajectory alone would suggest.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the composite picture is one of weak profitability and cash generation offset in part by a relatively sound balance-sheet profile. The upside drivers the data supports are the forensic balance sheet and the institutional-flow pillar; the headwinds are negative ROIC, a thin FCF yield, and weak insider conviction. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed precisely because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. The rating is a descriptive summary of the data provided and is not a recommendation.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $385.8M | $-14.2M | $-19.0M | N/A | $1.2M | $89.3M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $602.5M | $2.9M | $2.0M | N/A | $17.0M | $90.9M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $1072.1M | $126.4M | $99.0M | N/A | $147.7M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $1072.1M in FY 2023 to $385.8M in FY 2025, and the company moved from positive operating income in FY 2023 and FY 2024 to an operating loss of $-14.2M in FY 2025. Per the market data, operating margin is -3.7%, net margin is -4.9%, and ROIC is -10.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.71 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash was $89.3M at FY 2025. Debt is not available in source data for any period.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items relate to MED:
- An item labeled "Why Medifast (MED) stock is trading up today" from Yahoo Finance (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
- An item on whether Medifast's client retention can support revenue stabilization from TradingView (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
- A Seeking Alpha item expressing concerns about the company's playbook (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
- A Yahoo Finance item reporting a Q3 loss while topping revenue estimates (RED, RISK WATCH).
- A MarketBeat item noting an expected quarterly earnings release on Monday (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
- A Stock Titan item reporting the number of actively earning coaches fell 47.7% to 10,200 (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
The only item flagged RISK WATCH is the Q3 loss report. The butterfly supply-chain graph contains no links and no proprietary signals.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector context available is the classification as Consumer Staples / Packaged Foods. An investor should watch for the coach-count decline and client-retention commentary in the news feed as potential indicators of demand conditions, but the source data does not establish any linkage to other companies.
Open Questions
- What are the company's P/E (TTM), forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA, and how do they compare with peers?
- What drove the revenue decline from $1072.1M in FY 2023 to $385.8M in FY 2025, and is the trend continuing into the current period?
- What is the company's debt position by period, given that debt is listed as N/A throughout the financials?
- What are the specific insider and institutional trades behind the Insider Conviction and Whale/13F Flow pillar scores?
- What did the Q3 loss report disclose about operating drivers, and what does the FY 2025 cash balance imply about funding runway?
MED Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MEDIFAST INC (MED) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering MEDIFAST INC (MED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MED Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.15?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MED (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $12.26?
Welcome to the MED (MEDIFAST INC) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Packaged Foods. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on MED — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MED, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 71.3% gross margins. Unless MEDIFAST INC expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
MED cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MED, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Packaged Foods and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.26 (52-wk range $9.22 - $13.45), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.