Why MCBS Stock surged +2.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$36.70 +2.34% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.78

MetroCity Bankshares Inc. (MCBS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.03B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MCBS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, MetroCity Bankshares Inc. (NASDAQ: MCBS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $36.70 (+2.34% 1D, market cap $1.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MCBS ranks #338 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MCBS compare to MBWM and BFST in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), MCBS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.6%. By comparison, MBWM (Mercantile Bank Corporation) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $1.03B) and BFST (Business First Bancshares Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $1.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MBWM leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while MCBS leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCBS?
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Per MCBS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747068), MetroCity Bankshares Inc. generated $2.00B in revenue (+32.7% YoY), $68.5M in net income, and $37.0M in free cash flow against $4.77B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.78 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-
Cash (9)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$44 Bull$37 Base$29 Bear
📬 FREE MCBS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MCBS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MCBS SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$34.64+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$34.89+3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$36.00+1.9% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$36.70+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MCBS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, MCBS faces multiple-compression risk if 15.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($35.12) or 200D SMA ($32.82) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.36) toward Bear Floor ($29.14).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MCBS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MCBS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why MCBS Stock surged +2.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

MetroCity Bankshares Inc. (MCBS) surged +2.34% to $36.70, trading at 94% of its 52-week range ($24.53 – $37.46). Solid steady margins (13% return on capital), mixed timing at 15x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 94% of its 52-week range ($24.53 – $37.46) with RSI-14 at 56.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.4% around $36.70 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $37.0M annual free cash flow.
Live MCBS Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MCBS Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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MCBS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.25%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $36.03H $36.70L $35.86C $36.70VOL 62.1K
RES: $36.83SUP: $34.17SMA50: $35.12SMA200: $32.82
$38.10$35.44$32.77$30.11$27.44RES $36.83SUP $34.17$36.702026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MCBS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
7.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MCBS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MCBS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MCBS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MCBS)

Financials Rank #338 of 1096 ⚔️ MBWM vs MCBS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MCBS vs. MBWM, BFST, EGBN, CCNE)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MetroCity Bankshares Inc. (MCBS) ranks #338 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #543 by equity capitalization ($1.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MBWM leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while MCBS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and — gross margin. BFST currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with MCBS at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MCBS ACTIVE
MetroCity Bankshares Inc.
C 62/100 15.1x — 12.6% +2.34% $1.03B Benchmark Subject
MBWM
Mercantile Bank Corporation
D+ 56/100 11.8x — 12.2% +2.32% $1.03B /mbwm-vs-mcbs →
BFST
Business First Bancshares Inc.
B- 70/100 11.8x — 9.8% +2.89% $1.04B /bfst-vs-mcbs →
EGBN
Eagle Bancorp Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — -12.2% +2.67% $1.01B /egbn-vs-mcbs →
CCNE
CNB Financial Corporation
C 65/100 16.0x — 7.6% +3.10% $1.05B /ccne-vs-mcbs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001747068

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MetroCity Bankshares Inc. (MCBS) reported GAAP revenue of $2.00B (+32.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.51B , and +541.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $68.5M, operating cash flow of $37.7M, and free cash flow of $37.0M (-40.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MCBS closed FY2025 with $4.77B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.00B $68.5M $37.7M $37.0M $4.77B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.51B $64.5M $63.5M $62.2M $3.59B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $312.0M $51.6M $82.1M $82.1M — —

3. MCBS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MCBS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, MetroCity Bankshares Inc. (NASDAQ: MCBS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $36.70 (+2.34% 1D, market cap $1.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MCBS ranks #338 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MCBS compare to MBWM and BFST in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), MCBS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.6%. By comparison, MBWM (Mercantile Bank Corporation) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $1.03B) and BFST (Business First Bancshares Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $1.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MBWM leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while MCBS leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCBS?

Per MCBS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747068), MetroCity Bankshares Inc. generated $2.00B in revenue (+32.7% YoY), $68.5M in net income, and $37.0M in free cash flow against $4.77B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MCBS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MCBS last traded at $36.70 (+2.34% on volume of 121,910 shares), positioning the stock +4.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($35.12) and +11.82% above its 200-day simple moving average ($32.82). Across its 52-week range of $24.53 to $37.46, MCBS sits at the 94.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($35.09 to $38.31).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MCBS — MetroCity Bankshares Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:06Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MCBS scores 62 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 9 of 20 (ROIC 12.6%; FCF yield 3.57%), which is the weakest pillar and signals that the cash-generation case is modest relative to the rating's scale. Whale/13F Flow scores 13 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, a middling reading. Insider Conviction is the strongest pillar at 16 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 11 of 20, consistent with a Beta of 1.0 and the sector sensitivity noted in the rating. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 13 of 20, citing an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside case rests mainly on insider and flow signals rather than on the cash engine, which the rating scores lowest. The valuation tradeoff is that a 15.1 trailing P/E and 14 forward P/E sit against a 3.57% FCF yield, so the market is pricing earnings more richly than free cash flow alone supports. The rating's own verdict of "Hold" reflects this balance: no single pillar is decisively negative, but none is strongly positive either. This is educational framing of the rating, not personalized advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector and Major Banks industry, with a market capitalization of $1.0B. How the company makes money is —

Reported net income rose from $51.6M (FY 2023) to $64.5M (FY 2024) and $68.5M (FY 2025), while FCF declined from $82.1M to $62.2M to $37.0M over the same span. Cash grew from $249.9M to $383.7M across FY 2024 to FY 2025. Revenue, operating income, and debt are reported as — or N/A and cannot be assessed. ROIC is 12.6%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Insider conviction scores 16 of 20 and net income rose from $51.6M to $68.5M over FY 2023–FY 2025 while the stock trades at 15.1x trailing earnings. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC 12.6%, FCF yield 3.57%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $24.53 – $37.46 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Free cash flow fell from $82.1M to $37.0M over FY 2023–FY 2025 and the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores only 9 of 20. Investors must weigh 15.1x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector context provided is the Financials sector and Major Banks industry classification.

  • Key Question #1: Why are the gross, operating, and net margins reported as 0%, and what is the true margin profile?
  • Key Question #2: What is the company's debt level, given that debt is reported as N/A in every period?
  • Key Question #3: What do the reported 13F, insider, and Congressional trades specifically consist of, and what is the current analyst consensus?

MCBS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MetroCity Bankshares Inc. (MCBS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MCBS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MCBS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.70?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MCBS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MCBS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $43.03 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction scores 16 of 20 and net income rose from $51.6M to $68.5M over FY 2023–FY 2025 while the stock trades at 15.1x trail

Long MCBS at $35.86 targeting $43.03. Insider conviction scores 16 of 20 and net income rose from $51.6M to $68.5M over FY 2023–FY 2025 while the stock trades at 15.1x trailing earnings.. Institutional whale score is 13/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $24.53 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 62/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $35.86 and keeping dry powder in case we test $33.35.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $26.89 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $35.86

Free cash flow fell from $82.1M to $37.0M over FY 2023–FY 2025 and the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores only 9 of 20.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short MCBS above $35.86. Free cash flow fell from $82.1M to $37.0M over FY 2023–FY 2025 and the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores only 9 of 20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20) and FCF yield (3.57%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $37.46.

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