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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MAX / options
PHR (56) QNST (70) CASS (64) PRTH (65) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A) (MAX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$14.75 +4.39% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.84

MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A) (MAX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $836.4M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MAX Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MAX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: MAX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $14.75 (+4.39% 1D, market cap $836.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MAX ranks #174 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MAX compare to PHR and QNST in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), MAX carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.6x, gross margin of 15.0%, and ROIC of 19.7%. By comparison, PHR (Phreesia Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.0%, cap $777.7M) and QNST (QuinStreet Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.6%, cap $980.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRTH leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while MAX leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAX?
β–Ό

Per MAX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001818383), MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A) generated $1.11B in revenue (+28.8% YoY), $25.6M in net income, and $65.3M in free cash flow against $383.8M in total assets and $131.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (15% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.84 (+0.60%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) β€’ 5.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 57.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (17)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$18 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MAX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MAX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MAX SCORES 69/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (68.9) create a -11 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$10.06+12.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$11.30+5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$11.88+24.2% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$14.75+2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (61) β†’ C+ (69)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MAX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, MAX faces multiple-compression risk if 32.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.30) or 200D SMA ($10.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.48) toward Bear Floor ($12.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MAXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMAX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MAX)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MAX.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MAX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MAX
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MAX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +65.92%β–² ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $11.72H $14.75L $11.72C $14.75VOL 2.96M
SUP: $9.34SMA50: $11.30SMA200: $10.65
$15.36$13.34$11.32$9.30$7.28SUP $9.34$14.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MAX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ MAX Butterfly Map β†’ + Track MAX β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +28.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MAX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MAX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MAX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MAX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #174 of 1011 βš”οΈ PHR vs MAX Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MAX vs. PHR, QNST, CASS, PRTH)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A) (MAX) ranks #174 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #532 by equity capitalization ($836.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRTH leads on earnings valuation at 11.6x trailing P/E, while MAX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.7% ROIC and 15.0% gross margin. QNST currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with MAX at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MAX ACTIVE
MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A)
C+ 69/100 32.6x 15.0% 19.7% +4.39% $836.4M Benchmark Subject
PHR
Phreesia Inc.
D+ 56/100 β€” β€” -2.0% -0.72% $777.7M /phr-vs-max β†’
QNST
QuinStreet Inc.
B- 70/100 β€” 10.1% 2.6% +1.52% $980.8M /qnst-vs-max β†’
CASS
Cass Information Systems Inc
C 64/100 19.6x β€” 14.5% -1.81% $687.8M /cass-vs-max β†’
PRTH
Priority Technology Holdings Inc.
C 65/100 11.6x β€” 12.9% -0.13% $647.2M /prth-vs-max β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001818383

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A) (MAX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.11B (+28.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $864.7M , and +186.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.6M, operating cash flow of $65.6M, and free cash flow of $65.3M (+43.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MAX closed FY2025 with $383.8M in total assets against $131.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.64, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.11B $25.6M $65.6M $65.3M $383.8M $131.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $864.7M $16.6M $45.9M $45.6M $262.4M $153.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $388.1M -$40.4M $20.2M $20.2M β€” β€”

3. MAX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MAX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: MAX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $14.75 (+4.39% 1D, market cap $836.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MAX ranks #174 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MAX compare to PHR and QNST in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), MAX carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.6x, gross margin of 15.0%, and ROIC of 19.7%. By comparison, PHR (Phreesia Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.0%, cap $777.7M) and QNST (QuinStreet Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.6%, cap $980.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRTH leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while MAX leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAX?

Per MAX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001818383), MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A) generated $1.11B in revenue (+28.8% YoY), $25.6M in net income, and $65.3M in free cash flow against $383.8M in total assets and $131.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (15% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MAX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MAX last traded at $14.75 (+4.39% on volume of 2,016,484 shares), positioning the stock +30.53% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.30) and +38.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.65). Across its 52-week range of $7.09 to $14.87, MAX sits at the 98.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($12.91 to $16.59).

MAX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is MAX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MAX.

Direct Sub-Reports: MAX RQD Cockpit MAX 12M Forecast MAX Earnings & Move MAX Dividends & DRIP MAX Insiders & 13F MAX Whale Options MAX Profit Sankey MAX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 69/100 (C+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MAX β€” MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:30Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MAX scores 69 out of 100 (grade C+, verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout"). The five pillars break down as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar cites ROIC of 19.7% and FCF yield of 7.8%. Per the market data, net margin is 2.3% and operating margin is 2%, so the strong return-on-capital figure sits alongside thin profitability. Investors weighing this pillar are looking at efficient capital use against a narrow margin base.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The holder-level detail needed to verify the specific flows is not included in the source data (see Analyst View section).
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Per the recent news wire, a Form 4-related report covers CEO Steven Yi selling $263,320 in company stock. The RQD rating characterizes this pillar as relatively supportive.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the weakest pillar. Per the market data, beta is 1.0, which the rating links to sector sensitivity. Investors should expect the stock to move in step with the broader market rather than against it.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.64, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 8.5. These metrics indicate a mixed balance-sheet posture: the Piotroski reading is favorable, while the leverage figure warrants attention.

Practical implications for a prospective investor today: The price of $14.13 sits near the upper end of the $7.09–$14.87 52-week range, and the stock has risen 20.56% on the session. Per the market data, trailing P/E is 32.6 and EV/EBITDA is 41.1, which are elevated valuation multiples relative to the reported operating margin of 2%. The RQD rating's "Watch for Breakout" framing reflects that upside depends on whether the recent momentum and earnings narrative (per the news wire) translate into sustained margin expansion. The valuation tradeoff is that the current price already embeds substantial optimism relative to the reported profitability.

Snapshot

MetricValue
Price14.13
Market Cap$836.4M
P/E (TTM)32.6
Forward P/E27.4
EV/EBITDA41.1
EPS (TTM)0.43
Dividend Yield0%
Beta1.0
52-Wk Range$7.09 - $14.87
ROIC %19.7%

Business

Per the profile, MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Business Services industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 15%. Not available in source data: the products or services sold, the customer base, and the specific revenue model. The source data does not describe how the company generates revenue beyond its sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1113.6M$22.1M$25.6MN/A$65.3M$46.9M$131.6M
FY 2024$864.7M$42.7M$16.6MN/A$45.6M$43.3M$153.6M
FY 2023$388.1M$-39.9M$-40.4MN/A$20.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $388.1M in FY 2023 to $1113.6M in FY 2025, and net income moved from a loss of $-40.4M to $25.6M over the same span. Operating income declined from $42.7M in FY 2024 to $22.1M in FY 2025 even as revenue grew. Per the market data, net margin is 2.3% and operating margin is 2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 19.7%, Altman Z is 2.64, and Piotroski F is 7/9. Debt fell from $153.6M in FY 2024 to $131.6M in FY 2025, while cash rose from $43.3M to $46.9M over the same period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, the stock has drawn a cluster of headlines within the last 15 hours:

  • Earnings and momentum (GREEN / CATALYST): Headlines describe the stock jumping on Q3 earnings, raising a "durability debate," and beating expectations in "strong Q3 2026."
  • Analyst action (GREEN / CATALYST): A TradingView report describes a 12-month price target raised to $15.88, implying 35% upside.
  • Insider activity (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): An Investing.com report covers CEO Steven Yi selling $263,320 in company stock.
  • Sector thesis (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): A Seeking Alpha report frames the stock as "a cheap bet on the insurance advertising recovery."
  • Ongoing interest (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo Finance report frames the stock as a "new buy."

Risk watch items: The durability debate referenced in the news wire, the CEO sale, and the elevated multiples (EV/EBITDA 41.1, P/E 32.6) relative to 2% operating margin.

Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links in the source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE" and the butterfly links list is empty. Not available in source data: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation links. The news wire references "insurance advertising" as a sector thesis, which suggests an exposure to insurance-related advertising demand, but the source data does not establish the specific dependency chain or second-order bottlenecks.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Not available in source data for analyst consensus rating. Per the news wire, a TradingView report describes a 12-month price target of $15.88 (implying 35% upside), but the analyst data section is empty and no consensus rating is provided. Not available in source data for 13F institutional holdings, SEC Form 4 insider detail beyond the news-wire mention, or Congressional trades. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the whale/13F flow pillar scores 17/20, but the underlying holder records are not included.

Open Questions

  • What specific products or services generate MAX's revenue, and who are the customers? The source data does not describe the business model.
  • What drove the FY 2025 decline in operating income ($42.7M to $22.1M) while revenue grew, and is the margin trend expected to reverse?
  • Which holders account for the institutional accumulation and options positioning cited in the RQD rating, and what are their position sizes?
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and how many analysts contribute to it, given the analyst data section is empty?
  • How is the Debt/Equity figure of 8.5 derived, and how does it reconcile with the reported debt and cash figures?

MAX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A) (MAX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MAX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MAX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $14.75?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MAX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MAX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $15.26 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MAX (C+ β€’ RQD 69/100) a Buy at $14.13?

Welcome to the MAX (MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 69/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Business Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.60 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $14.13

Pump the brakes on MAX β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MAX, but look at what you are paying: 32.6x trailing P/E with 15.0% gross margins. Unless MediaAlpha Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.67 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $14.13

MAX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MAX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $14.13 (52-wk range $7.09 - $14.87), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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