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Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$19.90 +3.22% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.98

Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $601.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MATW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: MATW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $19.90 (+3.22% 1D, market cap $601.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, MATW ranks #111 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MATW compare to DPC and BWEN in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Metal Fabrications), MATW carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.9%, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, DPC (DPC Holdings PLC) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $4.09B) and BWEN (Broadwind Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 14.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $68.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BWEN leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while DPC leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MATW?
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Per MATW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000063296), Matthews International Corporation (Class A) generated $1.50B in revenue (-16.6% YoY), -$24.5M in net income, and -$59.4M in free cash flow against $1.55B in total assets and $529.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.98 (+0.39%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$32 Bull$17 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE MATW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MATW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MATW SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.15 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
22
Grade E$18.80+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
25
Grade E$19.42-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$19.06+4.4% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$19.90-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (22) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MATW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MATW currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.71) and Max Pain ($20.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.48.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MATW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MATW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
47.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.15>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE12% OF RANGE
L: $18$19.90H: $31
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on MATW

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

5.7% ROIC with 33.9% gross margin and -9.83% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 2.15 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (25)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MATW
  • ✓Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MATW)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MATW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MATW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.37%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $19.34H $19.90L $19.28C $19.90VOL 411.9K
RES: $28.71SUP: $16.73SMA50: $19.71SMA200: $24.66
$30.26$27.05$23.84$20.63$17.42RES $28.71SUP $16.73$19.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MATW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
4.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MATW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MATW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MATW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MATW)

Communication Services Rank #111 of 132 ⚔️ DPC vs MATW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (MATW vs. DPC, BWEN, HUHU, ELMT)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) ranks #111 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #74 by equity capitalization ($601.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BWEN leads on earnings valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E, while DPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ELMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with MATW at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MATW ACTIVE
Matthews International Corporation (Class A)
E 30/100 — 33.9% 5.7% +3.22% $601.8M Benchmark Subject
DPC
DPC Holdings PLC
D 49/100 32.8x — 38.5% +5.73% $4.09B /dpc-vs-matw →
BWEN
Broadwind Inc.
D 46/100 14.3x — 9.7% -3.44% $68.8M /bwen-vs-matw →
HUHU
HUHUTECH International Group Inc.
D- 43/100 — 33.1% -35.0% -9.01% $10.8M /huhu-vs-matw →
ELMT
The Elmet Group Co.
C- 60/100 — — — -4.57% $706.4M /elmt-vs-matw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000063296 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.50B (-16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and -20.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$24.5M, operating cash flow of -$23.6M, and free cash flow of -$59.4M (-274.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MATW closed FY2025 with $1.55B in total assets against $529.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.15, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.50B -$24.5M -$23.6M -$59.4M $1.55B $529.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.80B -$59.7M $79.3M $34.1M $1.79B $802.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.88B $39.3M $79.5M $79.5M — —

3. MATW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MATW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: MATW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $19.90 (+3.22% 1D, market cap $601.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, MATW ranks #111 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MATW compare to DPC and BWEN in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Metal Fabrications), MATW carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.9%, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, DPC (DPC Holdings PLC) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $4.09B) and BWEN (Broadwind Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 14.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $68.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BWEN leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while DPC leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MATW?

Per MATW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000063296), Matthews International Corporation (Class A) generated $1.50B in revenue (-16.6% YoY), -$24.5M in net income, and -$59.4M in free cash flow against $1.55B in total assets and $529.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MATW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MATW last traded at $19.90 (+3.22% on volume of 378,623 shares), positioning the stock +0.96% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.71) and -19.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.66). Across its 52-week range of $18.42 to $30.93, MATW sits at the 11.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($18.91 to $20.89).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MATW — Matthews International Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 30/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $19.90 (+3.22% 1D, market capitalization $601.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.7%, gross margin of 33.9%, operating margin of 5.0%, and free cash flow yield of -9.83%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.15, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.98x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Matthews International Corporation (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Communication Services sector and the Metal Fabrications industry. Reported revenue of $1.50B for FY 2025 is shown in the SEC financials section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) reported $1.50B in annual revenue (up from $1.80B in FY2024, -16.6% YoY) and -$24.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.88B revenue, $39.3M net income) through FY2025, MATW scaled operating cash flow to -$23.6M and free cash flow to -$59.4M, backed by $1.55B in total assets against $529.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 30/100): Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -9.83% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $18.42 – $30.93 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 10.4x EV/EBITDA against 5.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Metal Fabrications (Communication Services), MATW carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 33.9%.

  • Key Question #1: Can MATW sustain or expand its 5.0% operating margin and 5.7% ROIC against Metal Fabrications peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.50B and free cash flow of -$59.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $529.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MATW's equity valuation to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MATW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MATW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MATW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.90?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MATW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MATW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.45 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Trading near the low end of its 52-week range with a 5.43% dividend yield and EV/EBITDA of 10.4, the stock offers a valuation entry poi

Long MATW at $19.28 targeting $25.45. Trading near the low end of its 52-week range with a 5.43% dividend yield and EV/EBITDA of 10.4, the stock offers a valuation entry point if cash generation stabilizes.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $18.42 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — MATW's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.62 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $19.28

A -9.83% FCF yield, net margin of -1.6%, and an RQD score of 30 (E, Strong Sell) indicate weak cash generation and forensic risk not of

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short MATW above $19.28. A -9.83% FCF yield, net margin of -1.6%, and an RQD score of 30 (E, Strong Sell) indicate weak cash generation and forensic risk not offset by the balance sheet.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20) and FCF yield (-9.83%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $30.93.

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