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Why MAN Stock surged +2.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$47.59 +2.79% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.74

ManpowerGroup (MAN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.15B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, ManpowerGroup (NYSE: MAN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $47.59 (+2.79% 1D, market cap $2.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MAN ranks #763 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MAN compare to NSP and AMN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), MAN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.7%, and ROIC of 5.3%. By comparison, NSP (Insperity Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.9%, cap $1.85B) and AMN (AMN Healthcare Services Inc) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICFI leads on earnings multiple (18.7x) while ICFI leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAN?
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Per MAN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000871763), ManpowerGroup generated $17.96B in revenue (+0.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$104.1M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $1.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.74 (+0.31%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (8)SEC (9)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target
$67 Bull$43 Base$34 Bear
📬 FREE MAN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MAN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MAN SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 58% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$51.64-16.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$42.98+6.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$45.76+4% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$47.59-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MAN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MAN currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($53.80) and Max Pain ($49.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $67.07.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MAN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MAN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why MAN Stock surged +2.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

ManpowerGroup (MAN) surged +2.79% to $47.59, trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($25.15 – $63.88). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($25.15 – $63.88) with RSI-14 at 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.3% around $47.59 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 16.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live MAN Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MAN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MAN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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MAN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +60.02%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $45.49H $47.59L $45.49C $47.59VOL 544.6K
RES: $76.42SUP: $41.57SMA50: $53.80SMA200: $40.02
$66.59$55.37$44.15$32.93$21.71RES $76.42SUP $41.57$47.592026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MAN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
12.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MAN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MAN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MAN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MAN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #763 of 1009 ⚔️ NSP vs MAN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MAN vs. NSP, AMN, ASTH, ICFI)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ManpowerGroup (MAN) ranks #763 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #405 by equity capitalization ($2.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ICFI leads on earnings valuation at 18.7x trailing P/E, while ICFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 37.2% gross margin. ICFI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with MAN at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MAN ACTIVE
ManpowerGroup
D- 37/100 — 16.7% 5.3% +2.79% $2.15B Benchmark Subject
NSP
Insperity Inc.
E 31/100 — 13.2% -8.9% +9.24% $1.85B /nsp-vs-man →
AMN
AMN Healthcare Services Inc
D+ 56/100 — 28.3% -7.2% -2.84% $1.82B /amn-vs-man →
ASTH
Astrana Health Inc.
D+ 57/100 75.7x — 4.6% +0.96% $1.81B /asth-vs-man →
ICFI
ICF International Inc.
B 74/100 18.7x 37.2% 8.1% +3.18% $1.71B /icfi-vs-man →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000871763 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ManpowerGroup (MAN) reported GAAP revenue of $17.96B (+0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.85B , and -5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$104.1M, and free cash flow of -$104.1M (-133.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MAN closed FY2025 with $9.16B in total assets against $1.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.96B $0 -$104.1M -$104.1M $9.16B $1.05B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $17.85B $0 $309.2M $309.2M $8.20B $929.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $18.91B $0 $348.2M $348.2M — —

3. MAN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ManpowerGroup (NYSE: MAN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $47.59 (+2.79% 1D, market cap $2.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MAN ranks #763 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MAN compare to NSP and AMN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), MAN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.7%, and ROIC of 5.3%. By comparison, NSP (Insperity Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.9%, cap $1.85B) and AMN (AMN Healthcare Services Inc) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICFI leads on earnings multiple (18.7x) while ICFI leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAN?

Per MAN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000871763), ManpowerGroup generated $17.96B in revenue (+0.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$104.1M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $1.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MAN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MAN last traded at $47.59 (+2.79% on volume of 735,261 shares), positioning the stock -11.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($53.80) and +18.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($40.02). Across its 52-week range of $25.15 to $63.88, MAN sits at the 57.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($43.16 to $52.02).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MAN — ManpowerGroup: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ManpowerGroup (MAN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $47.59 (+2.79% 1D, market capitalization $2.15B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.3%, gross margin of 16.7%, operating margin of 0.8%, and free cash flow yield of -4.92%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.51x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

ManpowerGroup is classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Professional Services industry, and is listed on the NYSE. The profile in the source describes it as a NYSE-listed issuer in Professional Services with a market capitalization of $2.1B. The source does not provide a description of its customers, service lines, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), ManpowerGroup (MAN) reported $17.96B in annual revenue (up from $17.85B in FY2024, +0.6% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($18.91B revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, MAN scaled operating cash flow to -$104.1M and free cash flow to -$104.1M, backed by $9.16B in total assets against $1.05B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -4.92% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $25.15 – $63.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 15.3x EV/EBITDA against 0.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies are recorded and no sector correlations are provided. — A prospective investor should note that the headlines point to a revenue miss and a CEO transition, and that the reported FCF turned negative in FY 2025, but the source does not quantify how these issues propagate to suppliers, customers, or peer companies.

  • Key Question #1: Can MAN sustain or expand its 0.8% operating margin and 5.3% ROIC against Professional Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $17.96B and free cash flow of -$104.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.05B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MAN's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MAN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ManpowerGroup (MAN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MAN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MAN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $47.59?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MAN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MAN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $57.41 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Dividend yield of 3.15% and EV/EBITDA of 15.3 with the stock trading well inside a 52-week range of $25.15 to $63.88.

Here is why I am bullish on MAN here at $46.30: Dividend yield of 3.15% and EV/EBITDA of 15.3 with the stock trading well inside a 52-week range of $25.15 to $63.88.. Compare MAN's 0.8% operating margin and 5.3% ROIC against the rest of Professional Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $43.98 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $46.30 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $35.19 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $46.30

FCF turned to -$104.1M in FY 2025 with a -4.92% FCF yield, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a 0.8% operating margin.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short MAN above $46.30. FCF turned to -$104.1M in FY 2025 with a -4.92% FCF yield, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a 0.8% operating margin.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20) and FCF yield (-4.92%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $63.88.

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