Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$177.89 +0.03% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $177.56

Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $41.90B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LYV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: LYV) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $177.89 (+0.03% 1D, market cap $41.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LYV ranks #351 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LYV compare to TKO and WMG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LYV carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 84.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.5%. By comparison, TKO (TKO Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 61.9x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $33.84B) and WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 43.7x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $15.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WMG leads on earnings multiple (43.7x) while LYV leads on capital efficiency (29.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYV?
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Per LYV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001335258), Live Nation Entertainment Inc. generated $25.20B in revenue (+8.8% YoY), $496.0M in net income, and $333.6M in free cash flow against $22.91B in total assets and $5.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $177.57 (-0.18%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 1.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D
Cash (15)Whales (16)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$211 Bull$179 Base$139 Bear
📬 FREE LYV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LYV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LYV SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.3% FCF Margin ($333.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (62.2) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$171.32+2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$174.79-1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$171.97+3.4% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$177.89+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LYV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, LYV faces multiple-compression risk if 84.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($173.01) or 200D SMA ($166.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($178.69) toward Bear Floor ($139.38).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LYV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LYV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
62.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.50>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE82% OF RANGE
L: $125$177.89H: $189
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on LYV

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

29.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 0.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 3.50 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (55)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LYV
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 85x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LYV Tape Review)

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LYV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.89%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $172.5H $177.9L $172.5C $177.9VOL 2.10M
RES: $191.7SUP: $161.5SMA50: $173.0SMA200: $167.0
$191.9$181.1$170.3$159.5$148.7RES $191.7SUP $161.5$177.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LYV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LYV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LYV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LYV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LYV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #351 of 1011 ⚔️ TKO vs LYV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LYV vs. TKO, WMG, DKNG, LLYVK)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) ranks #351 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #51 by equity capitalization ($41.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WMG leads on earnings valuation at 43.7x trailing P/E, while LYV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.5% ROIC and — gross margin. LYV currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LYV ACTIVE
Live Nation Entertainment Inc.
C- 59/100 84.5x — 29.5% +0.03% $41.90B Benchmark Subject
TKO
TKO Group Holdings Inc.
D+ 54/100 61.9x — 9.9% +1.07% $33.84B /tko-vs-lyv →
WMG
Warner Music Group Corp.
D+ 55/100 43.7x 45.8% 14.3% +0.49% $15.94B /wmg-vs-lyv →
DKNG
DraftKings Inc.
D- 41/100 — 41.3% -1.1% +0.92% $10.29B /dkng-vs-lyv →
LLYVK
Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group
D- 40/100 — 19.2% -5.4% +0.94% $9.51B /llyvk-vs-lyv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001335258

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) reported GAAP revenue of $25.20B (+8.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.16B , and +10.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $496.0M, operating cash flow of $1.40B, and free cash flow of $333.6M (-69.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LYV closed FY2025 with $22.91B in total assets against $5.36B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.50, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $25.20B $496.0M $1.40B $333.6M $22.91B $5.36B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $23.16B $896.3M $1.73B $1.08B $19.64B $4.60B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $22.73B $556.9M $1.36B $340.3M $27.27B $6.38B

3. LYV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LYV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: LYV) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $177.89 (+0.03% 1D, market cap $41.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LYV ranks #351 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LYV compare to TKO and WMG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LYV carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 84.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.5%. By comparison, TKO (TKO Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 61.9x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $33.84B) and WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 43.7x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $15.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WMG leads on earnings multiple (43.7x) while LYV leads on capital efficiency (29.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYV?

Per LYV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001335258), Live Nation Entertainment Inc. generated $25.20B in revenue (+8.8% YoY), $496.0M in net income, and $333.6M in free cash flow against $22.91B in total assets and $5.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LYV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LYV last traded at $177.89 (+0.03% on volume of 1,955,420 shares), positioning the stock +2.82% above its 50-day simple moving average ($173.01) and +6.53% above its 200-day simple moving average ($166.98). Across its 52-week range of $125.34 to $189.25, LYV sits at the 82.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($169.35 to $186.43).

LYV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LYV stock right now?

Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (30% return on capital), mixed timing at 85x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is LYV's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LYV's 12-month base price target is $178.69 (range $139.38 to $210.85), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LYV — Live Nation Entertainment Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LYV scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15 of 20 (ROIC 29.5%; FCF yield 0.8%), Whale 13F Flow at 16 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8 of 20 (Beta 1.15; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11 of 20 (Altman Z 3.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 8.5).

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock at a price of 177.83, the strongest pillar is institutional flow, while insider conviction and macro regime fit are the weakest. The return on invested capital figure of 29.5% is high relative to a free cash flow yield of only 0.8%, which indicates that the reported profitability is not translating into proportionate cash returns at the current valuation. The P/E ratio of 84.5 on a trailing basis and 78.6 forward frames a valuation that leaves limited margin for error if earnings growth disappoints. The Beta of 1.15 signals above-market sensitivity to broader moves. Upside drivers are the cash-generation quality implied by the ROIC and the institutional accumulation signal; the principal valuation tradeoff is the premium multiple against a thin FCF yield.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
177.83$41.9B84.578.618.32.10%1.15$125.34 - $189.2529.5%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$25201.4M$1251.2M$496.0MN/A$333.6M$7094.2M$5361.5M
FY 2024$23155.6M$824.5M$896.3MN/A$1078.5M$6095.4M$4595.5M
FY 2023$22726.3M$1084.9M$556.9MN/A$340.3MN/A$6381.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $22726.3M in FY 2023 to $25201.4M in FY 2025, while net income fluctuated between the periods. Per the market data, operating margin is 5%, net margin is 2%, and gross margin is 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 3.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 9, per the Roarable RQD rating; the Debt/Equity figure is listed as 8.5. Cash of $7094.2M against debt of $5361.5M in FY 2025 is reported in the financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items are tagged to LYV. A Yahoo Finance item previews the next earnings report (marked YELLOW, Market Wire). A Trefis item asks whether investors could have held the stock through its declines (marked RED, Risk Watch). A Seeking Alpha item discusses buying the dip ahead of Q3 2026 results (YELLOW). A Benzinga item covers 20-year returns (YELLOW). A Yahoo Finance item reports that Live Nation priced a senior notes offering (YELLOW), which is a debt-financing event. A Simply Wall St item states the stock trades near fair value following a 121% run (YELLOW). The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue segments, given that the source data gives only a sector and industry classification?
  • What is the reported EPS for each period, since the financials list EPS as N/A for all three years?
  • What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is listed as N/A?
  • What are the terms and purpose of the senior notes offering reported in the news section?
  • What analyst consensus, price targets, and institutional or insider ownership exist for the stock?

LYV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LYV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LYV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $177.89?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LYV 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LYV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $192.06 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LYV (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $177.83?

Welcome to the LYV (Live Nation Entertainment Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to capital efficiency (29.5% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (84.5x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $142.26 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $177.83

Pump the brakes on LYV — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LYV, but look at what you are paying: 84.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Live Nation Entertainment Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $218.73 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $177.83

LYV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LYV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $177.83 (52-wk range $125.34 - $189.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%