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Why LUCK Stock advanced +1.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$4.12 +1.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.13

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $550.8M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LUCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (NYSE: LUCK) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (+1.98% 1D, market cap $550.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LUCK ranks #980 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LUCK compare to RSVR and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LUCK carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, RSVR (Reservoir Media Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 80.8x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $627.7M) and FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $765.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RSVR leads on earnings multiple (80.8x) while LUCK leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LUCK?
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Per LUCK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0001840572), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) generated $1.25B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$35.8M in net income, and -$9.8M in free cash flow against $3.27B in total assets and $1.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.13 (+0.17%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510021
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (4)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.7% Base Target
$10 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE LUCK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LUCK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LUCK SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+5/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$5.16-1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$5.09-14.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
24
Grade E$4.37-5.7% Next Q
Current
21
Grade E$4.12-11.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → E (21)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LUCK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LUCK currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.27) and Max Pain ($4.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.07.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LUCK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LUCK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why LUCK Stock advanced +1.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) advanced +1.98% to $4.12, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($3.76 – $9.59). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($3.76 – $9.59) with RSI-14 at 30.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $4.12 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live LUCK Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LUCK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LUCK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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LUCK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.38%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $4.05H $4.12L $4.04C $4.12VOL 69.8K
RES: $5.28SUP: $3.50SMA50: $5.27SMA200: $7.21
$9.90$8.24$6.57$4.91$3.24RES $5.28SUP $3.50$4.122026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LUCK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
3.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LUCK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LUCK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LUCK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LUCK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #980 of 1011 ⚔️ RSVR vs LUCK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LUCK vs. RSVR, FUN, CDRO, FBYD)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) ranks #980 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #576 by equity capitalization ($550.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RSVR leads on earnings valuation at 80.8x trailing P/E, while LUCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. RSVR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with LUCK at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LUCK ACTIVE
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)
E 21/100 — — 7.7% +1.98% $550.8M Benchmark Subject
RSVR
Reservoir Media Inc.
D 51/100 80.8x 64.7% 3.8% +1.68% $627.7M /rsvr-vs-luck →
FUN
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
E 33/100 — 91.3% -19.3% +3.34% $765.3M /fun-vs-luck →
CDRO
Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.
D 48/100 — — — -1.50% $393.3M /cdro-vs-luck →
FBYD
Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 — — -22.8% 0.00% $837.9M /fbyd-vs-luck →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-28 • CIK 0001840572

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.25B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$35.8M, operating cash flow of $103.9M, and free cash flow of -$9.8M (-127.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LUCK closed FY2025 with $3.27B in total assets against $1.76B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.44, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-06-28 $1.25B -$35.8M $103.9M -$9.8M $3.27B $1.76B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-06-29 $1.20B -$10.0M $177.2M $36.2M $3.24B —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-07-02 $1.06B $82.0M $217.8M $217.8M — —

3. LUCK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LUCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (NYSE: LUCK) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (+1.98% 1D, market cap $550.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LUCK ranks #980 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LUCK compare to RSVR and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LUCK carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, RSVR (Reservoir Media Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 80.8x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $627.7M) and FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $765.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RSVR leads on earnings multiple (80.8x) while LUCK leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LUCK?

Per LUCK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0001840572), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) generated $1.25B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$35.8M in net income, and -$9.8M in free cash flow against $3.27B in total assets and $1.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LUCK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LUCK last traded at $4.12 (+1.98% on volume of 44,585 shares), positioning the stock -21.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.27) and -42.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.21). Across its 52-week range of $3.76 to $9.59, LUCK sits at the 6.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.60 to $4.64).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 21/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LUCK — Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-06-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 21/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.12 (+1.98% 1D, market capitalization $550.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 11.0%, and free cash flow yield of -1.77%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.44, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) is a NYSE-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. The company's market capitalization is $552.1M per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-06-28), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) reported $1.25B in annual revenue (up from $1.20B in FY2024, +3.7% YoY) and -$35.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.06B revenue, $82.0M net income) through FY2025, LUCK scaled operating cash flow to $103.9M and free cash flow to -$9.8M, backed by $3.27B in total assets against $1.76B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 21/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.77% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.76 – $9.59 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 9.9x EV/EBITDA against 11.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Investors should not infer dependency relationships from this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can LUCK sustain or expand its 11.0% operating margin and 7.7% ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.25B and free cash flow of -$9.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.76B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LUCK's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LUCK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LUCK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LUCK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.12?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LUCK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LUCK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.85 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $1.06B in FY 2023 to $1.25B in FY 2025 and the stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 9.9 with a 6.25% dividend yield.

Long LUCK at $4.04 targeting $4.85. Revenue grew from $1.06B in FY 2023 to $1.25B in FY 2025 and the stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 9.9 with a 6.25% dividend yield.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $3.76 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.31 (-18.1%)
Spot @ $4.04

Net income swung from $82.0M in FY 2023 to -$35.8M in FY 2025 alongside an Altman Z-Score of 0.44 and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LUCK: Net income swung from $82.0M in FY 2023 to -$35.8M in FY 2025 alongside an Altman Z-Score of 0.44 and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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