Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (LSBK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.8% Move

$18.75 +0.81% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.74

Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (LSBK) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $146.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LSBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: LSBK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $18.75 (+0.81% 1D, market cap $146.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LSBK ranks #181 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LSBK compare to MGYR and FGBI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), LSBK carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, MGYR (Magyar Bancorp Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $144.0M) and FGBI (First Guaranty Bancshares Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $158.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGYR leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while MGYR leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSBK?
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Per LSBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002059653), Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. generated $305.5M in revenue (+6.1% YoY), $7.3M in net income, and $8.0M in free cash flow against $727.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.74 (-0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$23 Bull$20 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE LSBK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LSBK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LSBK SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 89% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$17.36+3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$18.03+4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$18.75+0% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$18.75+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LSBK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, LSBK faces multiple-compression risk if 20.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.08) or 200D SMA ($16.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.51) toward Bear Floor ($15.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LSBK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LSBK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.8% Swing Band

±$0.90 Expected Swing
$17.85 (-4.8%)Spot $18.75$19.65 (+4.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LSBK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 67/100

Trailing EPS: $0.93 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (67/100)Model Risk Weight (33/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$305.5M$7.3M$8.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$287.9M$4.9M$2.5M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$26.4M$4.8M$4.3M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LSBK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LSBK
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LSBK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.00%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $19.04H $19.04L $18.69C $18.75VOL 15.7K
RES: $19.87SUP: $17.13SMA50: $18.08SMA200: $16.56
$19.69$18.22$16.75$15.28$13.81RES $19.87SUP $17.13$18.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LSBK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LSBK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LSBK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LSBK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LSBK)

Financials Rank #181 of 1096 ⚔️ MGYR vs LSBK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LSBK vs. MGYR, FGBI, RVSB, BVFL)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (LSBK) ranks #181 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #928 by equity capitalization ($146.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGYR leads on earnings valuation at 13.4x trailing P/E, while MGYR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MGYR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with LSBK at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LSBK ACTIVE
Lake Shore Bancorp Inc.
C+ 67/100 20.6x — 5.1% +0.81% $146.8M Benchmark Subject
MGYR
Magyar Bancorp Inc.
B 73/100 13.4x — 8.0% +1.17% $144.0M /mgyr-vs-lsbk →
FGBI
First Guaranty Bancshares Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -16.1% +7.09% $158.6M /fgbi-vs-lsbk →
RVSB
Riverview Bancorp Inc
D+ 58/100 — — -2.6% +1.17% $121.2M /rvsb-vs-lsbk →
BVFL
BV Financial Inc.
C+ 67/100 14.0x — 7.3% +0.78% $185.5M /bvfl-vs-lsbk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002059653

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (LSBK) reported GAAP revenue of $305.5M (+6.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $287.9M , and +1056.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.3M, operating cash flow of $8.0M, and free cash flow of $8.0M (+218.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LSBK closed FY2025 with $727.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $305.5M $7.3M $8.0M $8.0M $727.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $287.9M $4.9M $2.5M $2.5M $685.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $26.4M $4.8M — — — —

3. LSBK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LSBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: LSBK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $18.75 (+0.81% 1D, market cap $146.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LSBK ranks #181 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LSBK compare to MGYR and FGBI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), LSBK carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, MGYR (Magyar Bancorp Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $144.0M) and FGBI (First Guaranty Bancshares Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $158.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGYR leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while MGYR leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSBK?

Per LSBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002059653), Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. generated $305.5M in revenue (+6.1% YoY), $7.3M in net income, and $8.0M in free cash flow against $727.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LSBK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LSBK last traded at $18.75 (+0.81% on volume of 14,767 shares), positioning the stock +3.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.08) and +13.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.56). Across its 52-week range of $13.83 to $19.34, LSBK sits at the 89.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($17.85 to $19.65).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LSBK — Lake Shore Bancorp Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:42:39Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

LSBK scores 68 out of 100, a C+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 5.1%; FCF yield 5.35%); Whale 13F Flow at 14/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 14/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 14/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the rating describes a mid-range profile rather than a strong one. The cash-generation pillar is moderate: the 5.1% ROIC and 5.35% FCF yield are positive but not exceptional on the figures provided. The balance-sheet pillar is also moderate, with a Piotroski F of 5 out of 9 and an Altman Z of 2.5. The insider and institutional pillars score mid-range, and the macro pillar reflects a beta of 1.0, meaning the stock is rated as moving in line with the market rather than amplifying it. Upside drivers cited in the source data are limited to the rating's "Watch for Breakout" label and the positive recent-news signals; valuation tradeoffs are visible in the trailing P/E of 20.6 against a forward P/E of 19.2. This is an educational reading of the rating, not a recommendation.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Savings Institutions industry..1B.

Net income rose from $4.8M (FY 2023) to $4.9M (FY 2024) to $7.3M (FY 2025), and cash rose from $33.1M to $64.3M over FY 2024–FY 2025. Revenue, operating income, and debt are reported as — or N/A and cannot be assessed. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, which the source does not explain. ROIC is 5.1%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5, placing the balance sheet in the mid-range on the rating's forensic pillar.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Net income rose from $4.8M in FY 2023 to $7.3M in FY 2025 while cash grew to $64.3M, and the stock trades at a forward P/E of 19.2. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 5.1%, FCF yield 5.35%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $13.83 – $19.34 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The RQD rating is a mid-range C+ at 68, with no revenue or operating income reported, no analyst coverage, and no holder data to corroborate the insider and institutional pillars. Investors must weigh 20.6x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the beta of 1.0, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: What is the EPS for FY 2023 through FY 2025, and how does it reconcile with EPS (TTM) of 0.93?
  • Key Question #2: What is the debt balance, and how does the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 compare with the reported cash balances?
  • Key Question #3: What drove the Q3 results referenced in the news items, and what do the Simply Wall St and Yahoo Finance reports say beyond their headlines?

LSBK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lake Shore Bancorp Inc. (LSBK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LSBK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LSBK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $18.75?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LSBK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LSBK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.68 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Net income rose from $4.8M in FY 2023 to $7.3M in FY 2025 while cash grew to $64.3M, and the stock trades at a forward P/E of 19.2.

Picked up a starter position in LSBK in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $18.69. Net income rose from $4.8M in FY 2023 to $7.3M in FY 2025 while cash grew to $64.3M, and the stock trades at a forward P/E of 19.2.. Trading inside a $13.83–$19.34 52-week range with 5.35% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Savings Institutions multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on 20.6x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Savings Institutions. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.89 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $18.69

The RQD rating is a mid-range C+ at 68, with no revenue or operating income reported, no analyst coverage, and no holder data to corrob

Fading this rally in LSBK at $18.69. The RQD rating is a mid-range C+ at 68, with no revenue or operating income reported, no analyst coverage, and no holder data to corroborate the insider and institutional pillars.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $18.69 (52-wk range $13.83–$19.34), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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