What is LPTH's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for LPTH.

Stock Ratings / Technology / LPTH / options

ARRY (31) CSIQ (22) AOSL (29) KOPN (28) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.63 -5.80% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.54

LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $567.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LPTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LPTH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $7.63 (-5.80% 1D, market cap $567.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, LPTH ranks #622 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LPTH compare to ARRY and CSIQ in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LPTH carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.2%, and ROIC of -32.1%. By comparison, ARRY (Array Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.0%, cap $522.1M) and CSIQ (Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $628.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LPTH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LPTH?

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Per LPTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000889971), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) generated $37.2M in revenue (+17.3% YoY), -$14.9M in net income, and -$9.6M in free cash flow against $148.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.54 (-1.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LPTH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LPTH SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (39% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.89 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 27.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$8.91-15.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$7.54+11% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$8.37-8.8% Next Q

Current

Grade E$7.63-10% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LPTH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LPTH currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.54) and Max Pain ($8.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LPTH• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LPTH Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LPTH)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LPTH.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LPTH)

✓Walkthrough of LPTH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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LPTH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.12%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $8.31H $8.31L $7.63C $7.63VOL 3.67M

RES: $8.92SUP: $6.32SMA50: $9.54SMA200: $11.89

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LPTH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LPTH Butterfly Map → + Track LPTH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LPTH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LPTH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LPTH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LPTH)

Technology Rank #622 of 715 ⚔️ ARRY vs LPTH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LPTH vs. ARRY, CSIQ, AOSL, KOPN)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) ranks #622 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #407 by equity capitalization ($567.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LPTH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.4% ROIC and 18.3% gross margin. ARRY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 31/100 (E) compared with LPTH at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LPTH ACTIVE LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A)	E	28/100	—	27.2%	-32.1%	-5.80%	$567.7M	Benchmark Subject
ARRY Array Technologies Inc.	E	31/100	—	23.2%	-11.0%	+12.09%	$522.1M	/arry-vs-lpth →
CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)	E	22/100	—	18.3%	2.4%	+1.62%	$628.0M	/csiq-vs-lpth →
AOSL Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited	E	29/100	—	23.1%	-3.6%	-7.53%	$696.4M	/aosl-vs-lpth →
KOPN Kopin Corporation	E	28/100	—	—	-20.8%	-9.23%	$704.5M	/kopn-vs-lpth →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000889971 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) reported GAAP revenue of $37.2M (+17.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $31.7M , and +13.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.9M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$9.6M (-477.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LPTH closed FY2025 with $148.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.89, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$37.2M	-$14.9M	-$8.3M	-$9.6M	$148.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$31.7M	-$8.0M	$521.0K	-$1.7M	$45.8M	$222.8K
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$32.9M	-$4.0M	-$2.8M	-$2.8M	—	—

3. LPTH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LPTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does LPTH compare to ARRY and CSIQ in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LPTH?

Where is LPTH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LPTH last traded at $7.63 (-5.80% on volume of 2,807,671 shares), positioning the stock -20.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.54) and -35.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.89). Across its 52-week range of $5.83 to $18.94, LPTH sits at the 13.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.68 to $8.58).

Direct Sub-Reports: LPTH RQD Cockpit LPTH 12M Forecast LPTH Earnings & Move LPTH Dividends & DRIP LPTH Insiders & 13F LPTH Whale Options LPTH Profit Sankey LPTH News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LPTH — LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 28/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $7.63 (-5.80% 1D, market capitalization $567.7M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -32.1%, gross margin of 27.2%, operating margin of -31.8%, and free cash flow yield of -1.65%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.89, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Semiconductors industry. Per the recent news wire, a defense supplier placed over $19 million in orders with LightPath since July, twice its prior fiscal-year total. Per the recent news wire, the company appointed Scott Payette as Vice President and General Manager of G5 Infrared. — for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) reported $37.2M in annual revenue (up from $31.7M in FY2024, +17.3% YoY) and -$14.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($32.9M revenue, -$4.0M net income) through FY2025, LPTH scaled operating cash flow to -$8.3M and free cash flow to -$9.6M, backed by $148.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 28/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.65% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.83 – $18.94 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -31.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— no upstream or downstream dependencies, butterfly links, or proprietary signals are recorded, so sector correlations and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from this source. Investors should watch whether the defense order flow referenced in the news wire converts into reported revenue in future filings.

Key Question #1: Can LPTH sustain or expand its -31.8% operating margin and -32.1% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $37.2M and free cash flow of -$9.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is LPTH's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LPTH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LPTH Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

LightPath Technologies Appoints Photonics and Infrared Veteran Scott Payette as Vice President and General Manager of G5 Infrared

Yahoo Finance report covering LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago

Lightpath Technologies Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy LPTH?

StockInvest.us report covering LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

LightPath Technologies (NasdaqCM:LPTH) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Kalkine • 1d ago

LightPath Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: LPTH) Share Price, LPTH Stock News, LPTH Share Price & Updates

Kalkine report covering LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A defense supplier placed over $19 million in orders with LightPath since July, twice its prior fiscal-year total.

Stock Titan report covering LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

LightPath Technologies (LPTH) Short Interest & Short Float | Updated Oct 2026 $LPTH

MarketBeat report covering LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago

LIGHTPATH TECHNOLOGIES INC ($LPTH) CEO 2026 Pay Revealed

Quiver Quantitative report covering LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

375,000 stock units for LightPath Technologies (LPTH) CEO vest equally over three years.

Stock Titan report covering LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LPTH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.63?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LPTH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.64 (+19.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet scores 11 of 20 with Altman Z at 7.89, and the news wire cites over $19 million in defense orders since July.

Don't sleep on LPTH's setup in Technology. The balance sheet scores 11 of 20 with Altman Z at 7.89, and the news wire cites over $19 million in defense orders since July.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (28/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $8.10 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.48 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $8.10

ROIC is -32.1%, FCF yield is -1.65%, and net losses widened from -$4.0M to -$14.9M across the reported periods.

I respect the product at LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $8.10 is a different story. ROIC is -32.1%, FCF yield is -1.65%, and net losses widened from -$4.0M to -$14.9M across the reported periods.. FCF yield is -1.65% and RQD sits at 28/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?