Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc (LOAN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$3.42 -0.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.41

Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc (LOAN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $38.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LOAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc (NASDAQ: LOAN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $3.42 (-0.87% 1D, market cap $38.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LOAN ranks #536 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LOAN compare to SACH and FSP in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), LOAN carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.3%. By comparison, SACH (Sachem Capital Corp.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 6.2x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $39.3M) and FSP (Franklin Street Properties Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $41.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SACH leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while CLPR leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LOAN?
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Per LOAN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001080340), Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc generated $8.7M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), $5.1M in net income, and $4.9M in free cash flow against $62.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.41 (-0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 56.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.5% Base Target
$5 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE LOAN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LOAN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LOAN SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$3.34+2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$3.42+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$3.46-1.2% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$3.42-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LOAN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, LOAN faces multiple-compression risk if 7.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.75) or 200D SMA ($4.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($3.37) toward Bear Floor ($2.63).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LOAN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LOAN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LOAN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $3.42: 2924.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.63
$7,690
$-2,310 (-23.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $3.37
$9,854
$-146 (-1.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $5.39
$15,760
+$5,760 (+57.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LOAN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LOAN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LOAN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.02%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $3.45H $3.45L $3.42C $3.42VOL 16.5K
RES: $3.97SUP: $3.15SMA50: $3.75SMA200: $4.20
$4.98$4.53$4.07$3.62$3.17RES $3.97SUP $3.15$3.422026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LOAN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LOAN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LOAN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LOAN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LOAN)

Financials Rank #536 of 1096 ⚔️ SACH vs LOAN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LOAN vs. SACH, FSP, BHM, CLPR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc (LOAN) ranks #536 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #1024 by equity capitalization ($38.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SACH leads on earnings valuation at 6.2x trailing P/E, while CLPR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CLPR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with LOAN at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LOAN ACTIVE
Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc
D+ 55/100 7.7x — 9.3% -0.87% $38.8M Benchmark Subject
SACH
Sachem Capital Corp.
D+ 53/100 6.2x — 3.6% -0.15% $39.3M /sach-vs-loan →
FSP
Franklin Street Properties Corp.
D 51/100 — — — +4.18% $41.7M /fsp-vs-loan →
BHM
Bluerock Homes Trust Inc. (Class A)
D 47/100 — — — -0.78% $31.4M /bhm-vs-loan →
CLPR
Clipper Realty Inc.
D+ 58/100 — — 85.0% +1.89% $52.2M /clpr-vs-loan →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001080340

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc (LOAN) reported GAAP revenue of $8.7M (-10.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.7M , and -11.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.1M, operating cash flow of $4.9M, and free cash flow of $4.9M (+0.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, LOAN closed FY2025 with $62.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $8.7M $5.1M $4.9M $4.9M $62.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.7M $5.6M $4.9M $4.9M $67.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $9.8M $5.5M $5.4M $5.4M — —

3. LOAN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LOAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc (NASDAQ: LOAN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $3.42 (-0.87% 1D, market cap $38.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LOAN ranks #536 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LOAN compare to SACH and FSP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), LOAN carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.3%. By comparison, SACH (Sachem Capital Corp.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 6.2x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $39.3M) and FSP (Franklin Street Properties Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $41.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SACH leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while CLPR leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LOAN?

Per LOAN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001080340), Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc generated $8.7M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), $5.1M in net income, and $4.9M in free cash flow against $62.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LOAN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LOAN last traded at $3.42 (-0.87% on volume of 16,471 shares), positioning the stock -8.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.75) and -18.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.20). Across its 52-week range of $3.31 to $5.13, LOAN sits at the 6.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($3.22 to $3.62).

LOAN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LOAN's 12-month stock price target?

Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc (LOAN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $3.37 (-1.5% from $3.42), with a bull-case target of $5.39 and a bear-case floor of $2.63.

Is LOAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates LOAN D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 55/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LOAN — Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LOAN scores 55 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are scored as follows: fundamental cash engine 12/20 (ROIC 9.3%; FCF yield 12.59%), whale/13F flow 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), insider conviction 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), macro regime fit 11/20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and forensic balance sheet 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 4/9; debt/equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the composite profile is mixed. The strongest pillar is insider conviction, which the rating treats as a relative positive, while institutional flow is the weakest pillar at 3/20, indicating limited supporting positioning from large holders in the data provided. The cash-generation pillar reflects a high free-cash-flow yield (12.59%) alongside a modest ROIC (9.3%), which can signal either valuation upside or a market pricing in risks not captured in the source data. The forensic balance sheet score is moderate, with an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 4/9 suggesting middling financial health. The beta of 1.0 implies market-level volatility, so macro sensitivity is neutral rather than a distinct tailwind or headwind. Upside drivers would require institutional interest to materialize and sustained cash flow; the valuation (P/E TTM 7.7, forward P/E 7.2) is low on paper, but the verdict label signals the rating model's view that fundamentals do not yet justify a constructive stance.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
3.45$39.1M7.77.27.70.450%1.0$3.31 - $5.139.3%

Business

Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc (LOAN) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, per the profile section. Not available in source data for detailed product lines, customer base, or revenue mechanics beyond the financial figures reported below.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$8.7M$5.1M$5.1MN/A$4.9MN/AN/A
FY 2024$9.7M$5.6M$5.6MN/A$4.9MN/AN/A
FY 2023$9.8M$5.4M$5.5MN/A$5.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $9.8M (FY 2023) to $9.7M (FY 2024) to $8.7M (FY 2025), while net income moved from $5.5M to $5.6M to $5.1M. Per the market data, reported operating margin is 58.8% and net margin is 59%, with ROIC at 9.3%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/equity is 0.5 per the same source; cash and debt balances in the financials are not reported.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the catalysts include a Yahoo Finance report on third-quarter 2026 results (flagged YELLOW), a GuruFocus dividend analysis (YELLOW), an Investing.com report of CEO Ran Assaf purchasing $34,692 in shares (YELLOW), a MarketScreener update on an equity buyback plan announced November 20, 2025 (GREEN, flagged as a catalyst), a GlobeNewswire announcement of an increase (YELLOW, headline truncated in source), and a Form 4 filing by Assaf dated October 22 (YELLOW). The insider purchase and buyback update are the most directly relevant items; the remaining headlines carry limited specific content in the source summaries. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported cash and debt balances, which are N/A in the FY financials?
  • What are the reported EPS figures for FY 2023–FY 2025, given that EPS is N/A in the financial periods despite EPS (TTM) of 0.45?
  • What drove the decline in revenue from $9.8M to $8.7M over the three reported periods?
  • What is the scope and progress of the equity buyback announced November 20, 2025?
  • What is the business mix and revenue composition behind the Financials / REIT classification?

LOAN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc (LOAN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LOAN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LOAN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.42?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LOAN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LOAN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $3.73 (+8.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LOAN (D+ • RQD 55/100) a Buy at $3.45?

Welcome to the LOAN (Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Real Estate Investment Trusts. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.62 (-24.1%)
Spot @ $3.45

Pump the brakes on LOAN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LOAN, but look at what you are paying: 7.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.21 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $3.45

LOAN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LOAN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate Investment Trusts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.45 (52-wk range $3.31 - $5.13), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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