Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$20.68 -6.55% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.40

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $702.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LINC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (NASDAQ: LINC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $20.68 (-6.55% 1D, market cap $702.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, LINC ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LINC compare to APEI and PXED in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), LINC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.1x, gross margin of 60.4%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, APEI (American Public Education Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $810.8M) and PXED (Phoenix Education Partners Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $896.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APEI leads on earnings multiple (25.7x) while APEI leads on capital efficiency (17.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LINC?
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Per LINC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001286613), Lincoln Educational Services Corporation generated $518.2M in revenue (+17.8% YoY), $20.0M in net income, and -$27.3M in free cash flow against $493.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.40 (-1.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (5)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$59 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE LINC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LINC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LINC SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.94 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 60.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$23.63-5.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$22.37-5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$21.26-2.7% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$20.68-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LINC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LINC currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.46) and Max Pain ($21.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $59.16.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LINC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LINC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LINC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $20.68: 483.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $15.19
$7,345
$-2,655 (-26.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $19.47
$9,415
$-585 (-5.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $59.16
$28,607
+$18,607 (+186.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$5669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LINC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LINC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LINC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.63%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $21.72H $22.13L $20.68C $20.68VOL 522.7K
RES: $62.63SUP: $12.97SMA50: $23.46SMA200: $35.88
$58.86$48.41$37.96$27.52$17.07RES $62.63SUP $12.97$20.682026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LINC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LINC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LINC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LINC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LINC)

Real Estate Rank #30 of 51 ⚔️ APEI vs LINC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (LINC vs. APEI, PXED, GOTU, AFYA)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) ranks #30 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #20 by equity capitalization ($702.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APEI leads on earnings valuation at 25.7x trailing P/E, while APEI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.6% ROIC and 54.2% gross margin. APEI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with LINC at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LINC ACTIVE
Lincoln Educational Services Corporation
D 45/100 35.1x 60.4% 14.0% -6.55% $702.0M Benchmark Subject
APEI
American Public Education Inc.
C+ 66/100 25.7x 54.2% 17.6% -8.42% $810.8M /apei-vs-linc →
PXED
Phoenix Education Partners Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -3.78% $896.5M /pxed-vs-linc →
GOTU
Gaotu Techedu Inc.
D 50/100 — 67.4% -35.0% -0.44% $541.3M /gotu-vs-linc →
AFYA
Afya Limited (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — +2.75% $953.2M /afya-vs-linc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001286613

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) reported GAAP revenue of $518.2M (+17.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $440.1M , and +37.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.0M, operating cash flow of $59.3M, and free cash flow of -$27.3M (+0.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LINC closed FY2025 with $493.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.94, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $518.2M $20.0M $59.3M -$27.3M $493.2M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $440.1M $9.9M $29.3M -$27.6M $436.6M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $378.1M $26.0M $25.6M $25.6M — —

3. LINC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LINC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (NASDAQ: LINC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $20.68 (-6.55% 1D, market cap $702.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, LINC ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LINC compare to APEI and PXED in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), LINC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.1x, gross margin of 60.4%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, APEI (American Public Education Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $810.8M) and PXED (Phoenix Education Partners Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $896.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APEI leads on earnings multiple (25.7x) while APEI leads on capital efficiency (17.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LINC?

Per LINC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001286613), Lincoln Educational Services Corporation generated $518.2M in revenue (+17.8% YoY), $20.0M in net income, and -$27.3M in free cash flow against $493.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LINC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LINC last traded at $20.68 (-6.55% on volume of 701,648 shares), positioning the stock -11.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.46) and -42.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.88). Across its 52-week range of $17.29 to $56.34, LINC sits at the 8.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($18.88 to $22.48).

LINC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LINC's 12-month stock price target?

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $19.47 (-5.9% from $20.68), with a bull-case target of $59.16 and a bear-case floor of $15.19.

Is LINC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates LINC D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 45/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LINC — Lincoln Educational Services Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LINC scores 45 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC 14%; FCF yield -3.89%), Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.94; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are institutional flow and insider conviction, both scoring 5–9 of 20, which suggests limited visible sponsorship from large holders. The cash engine pillar is also weak, with a negative FCF yield signaling that reported earnings are not currently converting into free cash flow. The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which indicates a financially sound structure relative to the rest of the scorecard. Upside drivers are limited to the high ROIC and the balance sheet strength; the valuation tradeoff is that the trailing P/E of 35.1 and forward P/E of 29.5 sit well above the EV/EBITDA of 6.5, a divergence an investor should reconcile before drawing conclusions. This analysis is educational and not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$22.13$702.0M35.129.56.50.630%1.0$17.29 - $56.3414%

Business

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Real Estate sector and Other Consumer Services industry, per the profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $518.2M and FY 2024 revenue of $440.1M. Not available in source data for the specific products, customer segments, or revenue model details.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$518.2M$30.3M$20.0MN/A$-27.3M$28.5M$0.0M
FY 2024$440.1M$15.2M$9.9MN/A$-27.6M$59.3M$0.0M
FY 2023$378.1M$33.4M$26.0MN/A$25.6MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 60.4%, operating margin 5.8%, and net margin 3.9%, with ROIC at 14%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.94 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Reported debt is $0.0M in both FY 2025 and FY 2024, while cash declined from $59.3M to $28.5M over that period alongside negative free cash flow in both years.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings scheduling (MARKET WIRE, Yahoo Finance): Headline indicates a Third Quarter earnings release and conference call have been scheduled.
  • Securities class action notices (RISK WATCH, multiple outlets): Several items from Morningstar, FinancialContent, and WBOC TV reference a securities class action lawsuit and an upcoming deadline for investors with losses to act. These are flagged RED in the source data.
  • Estimates coverage (MARKET WIRE, TradingView): Item references estimates coverage for LINC.
  • Institutional holding change (MARKET WIRE, MarketBeat): Headline reports North Star Investment Management Corp. increased its holdings in LINC.
  • Proprietary signals: Not available in source data (Butterfly graph reports no proprietary signals).

Open Questions

  • What is the nature and scope of the securities class action referenced in the news wire, and what is the potential financial exposure?
  • Why does the company show negative free cash flow in FY 2025 and FY 2024 despite positive net income and operating income, and what drives the gap?
  • What is the reason for the divergence between the trailing P/E of 35.1 and EV/EBITDA of 6.5?
  • What were the actual reported EPS figures for FY 2025, FY 2024, and FY 2023, given the source lists them as N/A?
  • What are the cash and debt balances for FY 2023, which the source lists as N/A?

LINC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LINC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LINC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.68?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LINC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LINC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.47 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LINC (D • RQD 45/100) a Buy at $22.13?

Welcome to the LINC (Lincoln Educational Services Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 45/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Other Consumer Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.0% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (35.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.15 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $22.13

Pump the brakes on LINC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LINC, but look at what you are paying: 35.1x trailing P/E with 60.4% gross margins. Unless Lincoln Educational Services Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $27.88 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $22.13

LINC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LINC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $22.13 (52-wk range $17.29 - $56.34), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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