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Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (LIEN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$9.11 -0.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.09

Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (LIEN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $208.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LIEN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LIEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (NASDAQ: LIEN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $9.11 (-0.11% 1D, market cap $208.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, LIEN ranks #989 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LIEN compare to BKKT and HKD in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), LIEN carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, BKKT (Bakkt Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $209.1M) and HKD (AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $209.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PNNT leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while LIEN leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LIEN?
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Per LIEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843162), Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. generated $143.6M in revenue (+10.5% YoY), $33.3M in net income, and -$20.5M in free cash flow against $342.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.09 (-0.21%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$12 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE LIEN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LIEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LIEN SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 8% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$9.12-0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$9.10+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$9.10+0.1% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$9.11-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LIEN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LIEN currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.69) and Max Pain ($9.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.83.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LIEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LIEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

LIEN Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (LIEN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on LIEN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LIEN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LIEN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LIEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.36%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $9.15H $9.15L $9.11C $9.11VOL 20.0K
RES: $10.71SUP: $8.98SMA50: $9.69SMA200: $9.77
$10.73$10.24$9.75$9.26$8.77RES $10.71SUP $8.98$9.112026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LIEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-9.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LIEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LIEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LIEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LIEN)

Financials Rank #989 of 1097 ⚔️ BKKT vs LIEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LIEN vs. BKKT, HKD, BGIN, PNNT)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (LIEN) ranks #989 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #879 by equity capitalization ($208.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PNNT leads on earnings valuation at 6.0x trailing P/E, while LIEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and — gross margin. HKD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with LIEN at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LIEN ACTIVE
Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc.
E 34/100 6.3x — 11.0% -0.11% $208.1M Benchmark Subject
BKKT
Bakkt Inc. (Class A)
E 23/100 — — -35.0% -5.17% $209.1M /bkkt-vs-lien →
HKD
AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A)
D+ 53/100 — — — -1.81% $209.4M /hkd-vs-lien →
BGIN
Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A)
E 25/100 — — -35.0% +1.14% $199.1M /bgin-vs-lien →
PNNT
PennantPark Investment Corporation
D 47/100 6.0x — 7.2% +2.65% $197.2M /pnnt-vs-lien →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001843162 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (LIEN) reported GAAP revenue of $143.6M (+10.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $130.0M , and +283.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $33.3M, operating cash flow of -$20.5M, and free cash flow of -$20.5M (-306.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, LIEN closed FY2025 with $342.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $143.6M $33.3M -$20.5M -$20.5M $342.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $130.0M $9.6M -$5.0M -$5.0M $309.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $37.5M $7.3M $5.7M $5.7M — —

3. LIEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LIEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (NASDAQ: LIEN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $9.11 (-0.11% 1D, market cap $208.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, LIEN ranks #989 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LIEN compare to BKKT and HKD in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), LIEN carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, BKKT (Bakkt Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $209.1M) and HKD (AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $209.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PNNT leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while LIEN leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LIEN?

Per LIEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843162), Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. generated $143.6M in revenue (+10.5% YoY), $33.3M in net income, and -$20.5M in free cash flow against $342.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LIEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LIEN last traded at $9.11 (-0.11% on volume of 75,812 shares), positioning the stock -5.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.69) and -6.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.77). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $11.27, LIEN sits at the 8.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($8.72 to $9.50).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LIEN — Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (LIEN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $9.11 (-0.11% 1D, market capitalization $208.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -9.81%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and Finance: Consumer Services industry, with a market capitalization of $0.2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (LIEN) reported $143.6M in annual revenue (up from $130.0M in FY2024, +10.5% YoY) and $33.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($37.5M revenue, $7.3M net income) through FY2025, LIEN scaled operating cash flow to -$20.5M and free cash flow to -$20.5M, backed by $342.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -9.81% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.92 – $11.27 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 6.3x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source therefore does not identify upstream or downstream dependencies. Sector is Financials and industry is Finance: Consumer Services, but no sector-correlation or second-order bottleneck data is provided. The one 2nd-order consideration the source supports is that the Q3 2026 results release is a near-term event whose content, once published, may test the cash-flow and balance-sheet concerns raised by the RQD pillars.

  • Key Question #1: Can LIEN sustain or expand its — operating margin and 11.0% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $143.6M and free cash flow of -$20.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LIEN's 5.9x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LIEN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (LIEN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LIEN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LIEN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.11?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LIEN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LIEN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.76 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low P/E of 6.3 alongside an 11.15% dividend yield and 11% ROIC offers a visible income and valuation case.

Here is why I am bullish on LIEN here at $9.12: Low P/E of 6.3 alongside an 11.15% dividend yield and 11% ROIC offers a visible income and valuation case.. Compare LIEN's 0.0% operating margin and 11.0% ROIC against the rest of Finance: Consumer Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $8.66 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $9.12 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.20 (-21.1%)
Spot @ $9.12

Negative FCF yield of -9.81% and a Piotroski F-Score of 2 out of 9 undercut the reported earnings and dividend support.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short LIEN above $9.12. Negative FCF yield of -9.81% and a Piotroski F-Score of 2 out of 9 undercut the reported earnings and dividend support.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20) and FCF yield (-9.81%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $11.27.

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