Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc. (LCTX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.01 +1.00% NYSE โ€ข Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.01

Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc. (LCTX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 20/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E โ€ข RED ALERT Cap $252.9M
๐Ÿ“ค Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: ๐• Post Reddit StockTwits โฌ‡ Live SVG Card
โšก INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW โ€ข $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LCTX Below โ€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
๐Ÿค– Mara Quenwick โ€ข AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LCTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
โ–ผ

As of 2026-11-03, Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc. (NYSE: LCTX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 20/100 at a spot price of $1.01 (+1.00% 1D, market cap $252.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, LCTX ranks #980 in composite RQD confidence.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Ellis Vennor โ€ข AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LCTX compare to CABA and FATE in the Health Care sector?
โ–ผ

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), LCTX carries a Roarable E (20/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of โ€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CABA (Cabaletta Bio Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $256.0M) and FATE (Fate Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $249.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IPSC leads on capital efficiency (-14.1% ROIC).

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Gideon Ashmere โ€ข AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LCTX?
โ–ผ

Per LCTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000876343), Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc. generated $14.6M in revenue (+53.2% YoY), -$63.5M in net income, and -$19.4M in free cash flow against $112.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists โ€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.01 (-0.01%)๐Ÿงฌ Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)โš™๏ธ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) โ€ข 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (20/100 ยท E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY โ€ข 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record โ†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT โ€ข E
025507510020
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0โ€“100 RQD rubric) โ€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E ยท Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (6)SEC (3)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0โ€“20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.8% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
๐Ÿ“ฌ FREE LCTX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LCTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ยฑ12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (20/100 Composite)
๐Ÿ” WHY LCTX SCORES 20/100 (E) โ€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
โ–ฒ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (ยฑ12.5% realized swing band)

โ–ฒ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

โ–ผ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

๐Ÿ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 โ†’ Q2 โ†’ Q3 โ†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
15
Grade E$0.91+6.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
16
Grade E$0.97+6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
18
Grade E$1.03-1.9% Next Q
Current
20
Grade E$1.01-11.8% Hist 90D ฮฑ
Trajectory: E (15) โ†’ E (20)Full Audit โ†’
โš”๏ธ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

โš”๏ธ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LCTX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk โ†’

While LCTX currently carries a cautious 20/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.01) and Max Pain ($1.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.19.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

๐ŸŽฒ LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LCTXโ€ข $2.4M Crowd Pool โ€ข Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: โ€œLCTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMAโ€
SEC FORM 4 ร— 13F HEDGE FUNDS ร— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

LCTX Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales โ†’
โ–ฒ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)โ–ผ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (LCTX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on LCTX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP โ€ข SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LCTX)

  • โœ“Walkthrough of LCTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • โœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • โœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LCTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.87%โšก TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $1.03H $1.03L $1.00C $1.01VOL 1.17M
RES: $1.05SUP: $0.75SMA50: $1.01SMA200: $1.32
$1.68$1.46$1.25$1.03$0.81RES $1.05SUP $0.75$1.012026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LCTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +53.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LCTX today. View full Setup Ledger โ†’

๐Ÿฆ‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph โ†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LCTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
๐ŸŽฌ No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LCTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk โ†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT โ€ข SEC EDGAR XBRL ร— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

๐Ÿ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LCTX)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (LCTX vs. CABA, FATE, LXEO, IPSC)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc. (LCTX) ranks #980 by composite RQD confidence (20/100, grade E) and #539 by equity capitalization ($252.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LCTX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IPSC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -14.1% ROIC and โ€” gross margin. FATE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 35/100 (D-) compared with LCTX at 20/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LCTX ACTIVE
Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc.
E 20/100 โ€” โ€” -35.0% +1.00% $252.9M Benchmark Subject
CABA
Cabaletta Bio Inc.
E 33/100 โ€” โ€” -35.0% -5.30% $256.0M /caba-vs-lctx โ†’
FATE
Fate Therapeutics Inc.
D- 35/100 โ€” โ€” -35.0% -3.36% $249.2M /fate-vs-lctx โ†’
LXEO
Lexeo Therapeutics Inc.
E 33/100 โ€” โ€” -35.0% -2.55% $257.6M /lxeo-vs-lctx โ†’
IPSC
Century Therapeutics Inc.
E 18/100 โ€” โ€” -14.1% +0.68% $266.2M /ipsc-vs-lctx โ†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023โ€“FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K โ€ข FILED 2025-12-31 โ€ข CIK 0000876343

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc. (LCTX) reported GAAP revenue of $14.6M (+53.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.5M , and +62.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$63.5M, operating cash flow of -$18.9M, and free cash flow of -$19.4M (+17.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LCTX closed FY2025 with $112.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $14.6M -$63.5M -$18.9M -$19.4M $112.6M โ€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.5M -$18.6M -$23.1M -$23.7M $113.2M โ€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.9M -$21.5M -$28.6M -$28.6M โ€” โ€”

3. LCTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

โœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LCTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc. (NYSE: LCTX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 20/100 at a spot price of $1.01 (+1.00% 1D, market cap $252.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, LCTX ranks #980 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LCTX compare to CABA and FATE in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), LCTX carries a Roarable E (20/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of โ€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CABA (Cabaletta Bio Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $256.0M) and FATE (Fate Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $249.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IPSC leads on capital efficiency (-14.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LCTX?

Per LCTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000876343), Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc. generated $14.6M in revenue (+53.2% YoY), -$63.5M in net income, and -$19.4M in free cash flow against $112.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LCTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LCTX last traded at $1.01 (+1.00% on volume of 1,722,936 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.01) and -23.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.32). Across its 52-week range of $0.88 to $2.09, LCTX sits at the 10.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ยฑ12.5% ($1.00 to $1.14).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF โ€ข RQD 20/100 (E) โœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LCTX โ€” Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:46Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

LCTX receives an RQD Score of 22, letter grade E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell โ€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are scored as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -7.46%), Whale 13F Flow 8/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 4/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 2/20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the forensic balance sheet and insider conviction, which the rating treats as the primary risk signals. The strongest relative pillar, institutional flow at 8/20, still sits well below a neutral midpoint. Upside drivers are limited in the source data to the rating's institutional positioning component; the valuation tradeoff is that a $1.03 share price is paired with negative ROIC and negative free-cash-flow yield, leaving little cash-generation support for the equity. The rating's overall message is that the forensic and cash-engine pillars dominate the picture.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The SEC financials show reported revenue of $14. Market capitalization is listed as $0.3B in the profile and $260.5M in market data.

Operating and net losses appear in every reported period, and the FY 2025 net loss of -$63.5M is the largest of the three. Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -60%, net margin is -60%, and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 0.2, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash declined from $45.8M in FY 2024 to $40.8M in FY 2025 against negative free cash flow in each period.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • ๐Ÿ‚ Primary Bull Case: Institutional whale-flow pillar scores 8/20, the highest of the five RQD pillars. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield -7.46%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $0.88 โ€“ $2.09 52-week range.
  • ๐Ÿป Primary Bear Case: Negative ROIC of -35% and a FY 2025 net loss of -$63.5M against $40.8M of cash point to a forensic balance-sheet score of 2/20. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context provided is the Health Care classification and the Biological Products industry label.

  • Key Question #1: What specific products or revenue streams generate the reported $14.6M in FY 2025 revenue, and who are the customers?
  • Key Question #2: What was disclosed in the ReSonance Program hearing-loss update that triggered the RED risk-watch classification?
  • Key Question #3: What is the debt position behind the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, given that debt appears as N/A in the reported financials?

LCTX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc. (LCTX) โ€ข Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

๐Ÿ’ฌ Jump to LCTX Debate Forum (3) โ†“
๐Ÿ”ฅ THE ROAR PIT โ€ข LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LCTX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board โ€” What's Your Call at $1.01?

๐Ÿ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LCTX ๐Ÿป 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LCTX:
๐Ÿ’ก Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing FCF Compounder Hunter ๐Ÿ‚ BULLISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $1.22 (+22.0%)
๐Ÿ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional whale-flow pillar scores 8/20, the highest of the five RQD pillars.

Picked up a starter position in LCTX in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $1.00. Institutional whale-flow pillar scores 8/20, the highest of the five RQD pillars.. Trading inside a $0.88โ€“$2.09 52-week range with -7.46% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 ๐Ÿ‚ BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch Balance Sheet Analyst ๐Ÿป BEARISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $0.86 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $1.00

Negative ROIC of -35% and a FY 2025 net loss of -$63.5M against $40.8M of cash point to a forensic balance-sheet score of 2/20.

Negative ROIC of -35% and a FY 2025 net loss of -$63.5M against $40.8M of cash point to a forensic balance-sheet score of 2/20.. Look at the math on LCTX: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $0.88 before getting long.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%