LB Pharmaceuticals Inc (LBRX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$39.04 -1.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.85

LB Pharmaceuticals Inc (LBRX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.28B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LBRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, LB Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: LBRX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $39.04 (-1.66% 1D, market cap $1.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, LBRX ranks #483 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LBRX compare to KARD and OPK in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), LBRX carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.4%. By comparison, KARD (Kardigan Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.32B) and OPK (OPKO Health Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.2%, cap $1.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LBRX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LBRX leads on capital efficiency (-8.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LBRX?
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Per LBRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001691082), LB Pharmaceuticals Inc generated $131.4M in revenue (+833.2% YoY), -$25.2M in net income, and -$35.3M in free cash flow against $312.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.85 (-0.49%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
$53 Bull$36 Base$28 Bear
📬 FREE LBRX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LBRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LBRX SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$34.79+17.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$41.00-3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$39.64-1.5% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$39.04-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LBRX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LBRX currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($41.06) and Max Pain ($40.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $52.67.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LBRX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LBRX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LBRX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LBRX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LBRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.65%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $40.15H $40.15L $39.04C $39.04VOL 429.5K
RES: $40.44SUP: $34.50SMA50: $41.06SMA200: $32.77
$52.20$43.76$35.32$26.88$18.44RES $40.44SUP $34.50$39.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LBRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LBRX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LBRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LBRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LBRX)

Health Care Rank #483 of 1016 ⚔️ KARD vs LBRX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (LBRX vs. KARD, OPK, DMRA, NKTR)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LB Pharmaceuticals Inc (LBRX) ranks #483 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #326 by equity capitalization ($1.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LBRX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LBRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.4% ROIC and — gross margin. KARD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with LBRX at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LBRX ACTIVE
LB Pharmaceuticals Inc
D- 39/100 — — -8.4% -1.66% $1.28B Benchmark Subject
KARD
Kardigan Inc.
D 46/100 — — — +0.57% $1.32B /kard-vs-lbrx →
OPK
OPKO Health Inc.
D- 40/100 — 33.9% -10.2% +3.61% $1.24B /opk-vs-lbrx →
DMRA
Damora Therapeutics Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -35.0% +0.51% $1.33B /dmra-vs-lbrx →
NKTR
Nektar Therapeutics
E 20/100 — 96.0% -35.0% -4.94% $1.33B /nktr-vs-lbrx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001691082

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LB Pharmaceuticals Inc (LBRX) reported GAAP revenue of $131.4M (+833.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.1M ) , GAAP net income of -$25.2M, operating cash flow of -$35.2M, and free cash flow of -$35.3M (+34.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LBRX closed FY2025 with $312.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $131.4M -$25.2M -$35.2M -$35.3M $312.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $14.1M -$63.1M -$53.1M -$53.8M $33.5M —

3. LBRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LBRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, LB Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: LBRX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $39.04 (-1.66% 1D, market cap $1.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, LBRX ranks #483 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LBRX compare to KARD and OPK in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), LBRX carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.4%. By comparison, KARD (Kardigan Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.32B) and OPK (OPKO Health Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.2%, cap $1.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LBRX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LBRX leads on capital efficiency (-8.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LBRX?

Per LBRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001691082), LB Pharmaceuticals Inc generated $131.4M in revenue (+833.2% YoY), -$25.2M in net income, and -$35.3M in free cash flow against $312.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LBRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LBRX last traded at $39.04 (-1.66% on volume of 466,456 shares), positioning the stock -4.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.06) and +19.13% above its 200-day simple moving average ($32.77). Across its 52-week range of $14.32 to $50.16, LBRX sits at the 69.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($34.16 to $43.92).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LBRX — LB Pharmaceuticals Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:47Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

LBRX carries a score of 41 out of 100 and a letter grade of D-, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 5 of 20, reflecting an ROIC of -8.4% and an FCF yield of -2.72%, which signals that the business is not currently generating returns on capital or positive free cash flow. The whale/13F flow pillar scores 13 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, the strongest pillar, suggesting some institutional interest that partially offsets weak fundamentals. Insider conviction scores 3 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, indicating little insider signal of confidence. The macro regime fit pillar scores 10 of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 of 20, citing an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the implication is that upside drivers are not evident in the reported cash-generation data, valuation cannot be anchored to earnings because the company reports net losses, and the balance sheet provides some cushion but weak forensic signals warrant caution.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

LB Pharmaceuticals Inc (LBRX) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. The market capitalization is $1.3B. — regarding specific products, customers, or revenue model. Per the financials, reported revenue is — for both FY 2025 and FY 2024, indicating no reported revenue in the periods provided.

Both reported periods show zero revenue and zero operating income alongside net losses of -$25.2M (FY 2025) and -$63.1M (FY 2024). Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is -8.4%.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Institutional whale/13F flow scores 13 of 20, the strongest RQD pillar, and reported cash rose from $23.0M to $250.2M between FY 2024 and FY 2025. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC -8.4%, FCF yield -2.72%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $14.32 – $50.16 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: With zero reported revenue, net losses of -$25.2M in FY 2025 and -$63.1M in FY 2024, ROIC of -8.4%, and an FCF yield of -2.72%, the fundamental cash engine scores only 5 of 20. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (Health Care), LBRX carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: What is the total debt figure, since the debt field is N/A despite a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5?
  • Key Question #2: What were the specifics of the analyst downgrade and the Guggenheim study-data reiteration?
  • Key Question #3: What are the current consensus rating and price targets, given the analyst data section is empty?

LBRX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LB Pharmaceuticals Inc (LBRX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LBRX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LBRX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $39.04?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LBRX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LBRX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $50.42 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional whale/13F flow scores 13 of 20, the strongest RQD pillar, and reported cash rose from $23.0M to $250.2M between FY 2024 a

Institutional whale/13F flow scores 13 of 20, the strongest RQD pillar, and reported cash rose from $23.0M to $250.2M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.. When you look under the hood at LBRX, Fundamental Cash Engine is 5/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -8.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (11/20) has been quietly accumulating below $50.16. My 12M target is $50.42.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 39/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $39.70 and keeping dry powder in case we test $36.92.

BE BearTrap_Alert Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $32.95 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $39.70

With zero reported revenue, net losses of -$25.2M in FY 2025 and -$63.1M in FY 2024, ROIC of -8.4%, and an FCF yield of -2.72%, the fun

Fading this rally in LBRX at $39.70. With zero reported revenue, net losses of -$25.2M in FY 2025 and -$63.1M in FY 2024, ROIC of -8.4%, and an FCF yield of -2.72%, the fundamental cash engine scores only 5 of 20.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $39.70 (52-wk range $14.32–$50.16), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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