Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$74.25 -2.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $74.15

Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (45% profit margin, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $4.14B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KTB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Kontoor Brands Inc. (NYSE: KTB) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $74.25 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $4.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KTB ranks #42 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KTB compare to PVH and VFC in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Garments and Clothing), KTB carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.2x, gross margin of 45.2%, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, PVH (PVH Corp.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.9%, cap $4.07B) and VFC (V.F. Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 28.3x, ROIC 11.5%, cap $7.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KTB leads on earnings multiple (18.2x) while RL leads on capital efficiency (44.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KTB?
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Per KTB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001760965), Kontoor Brands Inc. generated $3.15B in revenue (+20.9% YoY), $227.5M in net income, and $434.8M in free cash flow against $2.58B in total assets and $1.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $74.15 (-0.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 13.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$93 Bull$79 Base$61 Bear
📬 FREE KTB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KTB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KTB SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.8% FCF Margin ($434.8M FCF) & 45.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.9) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$66.06+10.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$73.00+3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$75.64-1.8% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$74.25+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KTB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, KTB faces multiple-compression risk if 18.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 42.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($70.48) or 200D SMA ($72.64) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($78.59) toward Bear Floor ($60.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KTB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KTB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your KTB Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $74.25: 134.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $60.88
$8,199
$-1,801 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $78.59
$10,585
+$585 (+5.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $93.41
$12,580
+$2,580 (+25.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$8274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$8869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$7058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (KTB Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KTB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.13%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $74.37H $75.83L $74.25C $74.25VOL 629.8K
RES: $77.19SUP: $58.80SMA50: $70.48SMA200: $72.64
$90.87$82.96$75.05$67.14$59.24RES $77.19SUP $58.80$74.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KTB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KTB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KTB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KTB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KTB)

Industrials Rank #42 of 485 ⚔️ PVH vs KTB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KTB vs. PVH, VFC, RL, OXM)

Industry: Garments and Clothing (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) ranks #42 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #164 by equity capitalization ($4.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KTB leads on earnings valuation at 18.2x trailing P/E, while RL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 44.5% ROIC and 69.9% gross margin. RL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with KTB at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KTB ACTIVE
Kontoor Brands Inc.
B- 71/100 18.2x 45.2% 16.4% -2.08% $4.14B Benchmark Subject
PVH
PVH Corp.
C 65/100 — 57.5% 2.9% +2.17% $4.07B /pvh-vs-ktb →
VFC
V.F. Corporation
D+ 58/100 28.3x 54.8% 11.5% -0.16% $7.22B /vfc-vs-ktb →
RL
Ralph Lauren Corporation
B+ 76/100 25.4x 69.9% 44.5% -1.91% $23.86B /rl-vs-ktb →
OXM
Oxford Industries Inc.
D 47/100 — 60.7% -4.0% -1.50% $428.8M /oxm-vs-ktb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001760965

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) reported GAAP revenue of $3.15B (+20.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.61B , and +20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $227.5M, operating cash flow of $455.8M, and free cash flow of $434.8M (+24.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, KTB closed FY2025 with $2.58B in total assets against $1.13B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.26, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-03 $3.15B $227.5M $455.8M $434.8M $2.58B $1.13B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $2.61B $245.8M $368.2M $349.4M $1.65B $740.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $2.61B $231.0M $356.5M $356.5M — —

3. KTB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KTB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Kontoor Brands Inc. (NYSE: KTB) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $74.25 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $4.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KTB ranks #42 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KTB compare to PVH and VFC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Garments and Clothing), KTB carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.2x, gross margin of 45.2%, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, PVH (PVH Corp.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.9%, cap $4.07B) and VFC (V.F. Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 28.3x, ROIC 11.5%, cap $7.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KTB leads on earnings multiple (18.2x) while RL leads on capital efficiency (44.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KTB?

Per KTB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001760965), Kontoor Brands Inc. generated $3.15B in revenue (+20.9% YoY), $227.5M in net income, and $434.8M in free cash flow against $2.58B in total assets and $1.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KTB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KTB last traded at $74.25 (-2.08% on volume of 798,218 shares), positioning the stock +5.35% above its 50-day simple moving average ($70.48) and +2.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($72.64). Across its 52-week range of $56.19 to $88.96, KTB sits at the 55.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($68.83 to $79.67).

KTB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is KTB's 12-month stock price target?

Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $78.59 (+5.8% from $74.25), with a bull-case target of $93.41 and a bear-case floor of $60.88.

Is KTB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates KTB B- (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 71/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

KTB — Kontoor Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, KTB scores 71 out of 100, a letter grade of B-, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 17 of 20, supported by ROIC of 16.4% and an FCF yield of 10.49%, which suggests the business is generating meaningful returns on invested capital and cash relative to its market value. The insider conviction pillar scores 18 of 20, the highest of the five, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow; this is the strongest signal in the rating and points to insider-side buying conviction. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 13 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, with an Altman Z-Score of 3.26, a Piotroski F-Score of 7 of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.01; the Z-Score and F-Score are constructive, while leverage is elevated. The macro regime fit pillar scores 10 of 20, reflecting a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity, meaning the stock moves in line with the broader market and is exposed to sector-level cycles. For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are the cash generation, insider and institutional accumulation, and a forward P/E of 15.3 relative to a trailing P/E of 18.2. The valuation tradeoff is that the EV/EBITDA of 14.7 and the 2.01 Debt/Equity ratio require attention to balance-sheet risk, and the macro pillar indicates limited insulation from market or sector downturns. This analysis is educational and is not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
75.83$4.14B18.215.314.74.162.8%1.0$56.19 - $88.9616.4%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3152.5M$336.8M$227.5MN/A$434.8M$77.2M$1134.6M
FY 2024$2607.6M$342.3M$245.8MN/A$349.4M$334.1M$740.3M
FY 2023$2607.5M$319.3M$231.0MN/A$356.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $2607.6M in FY 2024 to $3152.5M in FY 2025, while net income declined from $245.8M to $227.5M and operating income declined from $342.3M to $336.8M. Per the Market Data section, the operating margin is 10.7%, the net margin is 7.2%, and ROIC is 16.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7 of 9. Debt rose from $740.3M to $1134.6M while cash fell from $334.1M to $77.2M, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 2.01 per the Roarable RQD rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the Recent News and Catalysts section, the feed includes six items tagged to KTB. Headlines reference the stock "rocketing higher" and "trading up" (Yahoo Finance and Yahoo Finance-sourced reports, the former tagged YELLOW as MARKET WIRE). A TradingView stock-price piece and a CNBC piece on non-AI stock ideas are also included, both tagged YELLOW. A Seeking Alpha item references Wrangler taking over from Lee at Kontoor, with the Jefferies name attached, tagged YELLOW. The most significant catalyst is a GuruFocus item reporting that Kontoor Brands raises its quarterly dividend by 2% to $0.54, tagged GREEN as CATALYST. Risk watch items are Not available in source data beyond the headlines themselves. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, proprietary signals are Not available in source data, as the graph reports supply_chain as NONE with no butterfly links.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix behind the reported revenue growth from $2607.6M to $3152.5M?
  • What drove the decline in net income and operating income in FY 2025 despite revenue growth, and is it tied to the Debt increase from $740.3M to $1134.6M?
  • What is the EPS for each reported fiscal year, since the financials show EPS as N/A for all periods?
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and price target, and who are the institutional and insider holders behind the stated accumulation?
  • What are the terms of the Wrangler and Lee brand transition referenced in the news wire, and how do they affect future revenue?

KTB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KTB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KTB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $74.25?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KTB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KTB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $89.48 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KTB (B- • RQD 71/100) a Buy at $75.83?

Welcome to the KTB (Kontoor Brands Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Garments and Clothing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $56.87 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $75.83

Pump the brakes on KTB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KTB, but look at what you are paying: 18.2x trailing P/E with 45.2% gross margins. Unless Kontoor Brands Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $93.27 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $75.83

KTB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KTB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Garments and Clothing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $75.83 (52-wk range $56.19 - $88.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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