Yahoo Finance report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why KRMN Stock dropped -4.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is KRMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Karman Holdings Inc. (NYSE: KRMN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $39.95 (-4.17% 1D, market cap $5.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KRMN ranks #276 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does KRMN compare to GVA and ROAD in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), KRMN carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.3%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, GVA (Granite Construction Incorporated) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.33B) and ROAD (Construction Partners Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 51.7x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $5.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GVA leads on earnings multiple (27.6x) while GVA leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRMN?
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Per KRMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002040127), Karman Holdings Inc. generated $471.5M in revenue (+36.6% YoY), $17.4M in net income, and -$42.5M in free cash flow against $1.10B in total assets and $324.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 5.47 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65) create a -15 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KRMN Turnaround Squeeze
While KRMN currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($36.64) and Max Pain ($41.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $124.30.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why KRMN Stock dropped -4.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) dropped -4.17% to $39.95, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($29.34 – $118.38). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($29.34 – $118.38) with RSI-14 at 65 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $39.95 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 40.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Keybanc analyst Michael Leshock maintains Karman Holdings (NYSE:KRMN) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $100 to $65.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KRMN)
- ✓Walkthrough of KRMN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
KRMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +36.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KRMN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KRMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KRMN)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KRMN vs. GVA, ROAD, LOAR, MWH)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) ranks #276 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #138 by equity capitalization ($5.53B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GVA leads on earnings valuation at 27.6x trailing P/E, while GVA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and 16.1% gross margin. GVA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with KRMN at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRMN
ACTIVE
Karman Holdings Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | 40.3% | 8.8% | -4.17% | $5.53B | Benchmark Subject |
| GVA Granite Construction Incorporated | C+ | 67/100 | 27.6x | 16.1% | 13.8% | +1.59% | $5.33B | /gva-vs-krmn → |
| ROAD Construction Partners Inc. | D | 50/100 | 51.7x | 15.6% | 6.9% | -2.08% | $5.26B | /road-vs-krmn → |
| LOAR Loar Holdings Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | 52.7% | 4.7% | -4.17% | $6.07B | /loar-vs-krmn → |
| MWH SOLV Energy Inc. (Class A) | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -4.12% | $4.91B | /mwh-vs-krmn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002040127In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) reported GAAP revenue of $471.5M (+36.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $345.3M , and +68.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.4M, operating cash flow of -$22.1M, and free cash flow of -$42.5M (-472.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, KRMN closed FY2025 with $1.10B in total assets against $324.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.47, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $471.5M | $17.4M | -$22.1M | -$42.5M | $1.10B | $324.6M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $345.3M | $12.7M | $26.6M | $11.4M | $774.0M | $260.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $280.7M | $4.4M | $20.3M | $7.7M | $3.04B | $711.1M |
3. KRMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs KRMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Karman Holdings Inc. (NYSE: KRMN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $39.95 (-4.17% 1D, market cap $5.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KRMN ranks #276 in composite RQD confidence.
How does KRMN compare to GVA and ROAD in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), KRMN carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.3%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, GVA (Granite Construction Incorporated) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.33B) and ROAD (Construction Partners Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 51.7x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $5.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GVA leads on earnings multiple (27.6x) while GVA leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRMN?
Per KRMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002040127), Karman Holdings Inc. generated $471.5M in revenue (+36.6% YoY), $17.4M in net income, and -$42.5M in free cash flow against $1.10B in total assets and $324.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is KRMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
KRMN last traded at $39.95 (-4.17% on volume of 2,292,963 shares), positioning the stock +9.03% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.64) and -36.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($63.14). Across its 52-week range of $29.34 to $118.38, KRMN sits at the 11.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($34.96 to $44.94).
KRMN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is KRMN stock moving today?
Why KRMN Stock dropped -4.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
KRMN — Karman Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, KRMN scores 46 out of 100, grade D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20 (ROIC 8.8%; FCF yield -0.77%); Whale 13F Flow 11/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 6/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 5/20 (Beta 0.96; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 16/20 (Altman Z 5.47; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.79). The weakest pillars are Macro Regime Fit and Fundamental Cash Engine, which together suggest the stock's cash generation and sector positioning are not currently supporting its price. The strongest pillar is Forensic Balance Sheet, indicating that solvency-related metrics are comparatively sound. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on balance-sheet resilience and the institutional-flow signal, while the valuation tradeoff is significant: per the market data, EV/EBITDA is 64.2 and free cash flow yield is negative, meaning the current price is not backed by present cash generation. Negative insider-conviction and macro-fit scores point to a limited set of confirming signals behind the price move.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $471.5M | $72.9M | $17.4M | N/A | $-42.5M | $34.0M | $324.6M |
| FY 2024 | $345.3M | $63.6M | $12.7M | N/A | $11.4M | $11.5M | $260.1M |
| FY 2023 | $280.7M | $48.5M | $4.4M | N/A | $7.7M | N/A | $711.1M |
Per the market data, gross margin is 40.3%, operating margin 15.5%, and net margin 3.7%, with ROIC at 8.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.47 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.79. Reported revenue rose from $280.7M (FY 2023) to $471.5M (FY 2025), while FY 2025 free cash flow turned to $-42.5M from $11.4M in FY 2024. Debt is shown at $324.6M for FY 2025 after $711.1M in FY 2023.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, six items are tagged to KRMN, all flagged YELLOW and classed as MARKET WIRE: a Yahoo Finance report on fair value edging lower as analysts trim multiples; a Seeking Alpha report on a rally of 11% after a three-session slide; a Yahoo Finance valuation question; a Simply Wall St stock forecast and analyst prediction piece; a Globe and Mail report on a Macquarie rating; and a MarketBeat report on a consensus price target of $88.09. The headlines point to a valuation debate centered on multiple compression versus analyst target levels. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply chain is mapped and no proprietary signals are recorded.
Open Questions
- What are KRMN's specific products, customers, and revenue model? The source data gives only sector and industry labels.
- What drove the reported revenue growth from $280.7M to $471.5M, and what explains the FY 2025 free cash flow decline to $-42.5M?
- What is the trailing and forward earnings base? EPS and P/E are not available in source data.
- Which institutional holders and insiders are involved in the 13F and Form 4 flow referenced in the RQD pillars? The holders section is empty.
- What is the FY 2023 cash balance and what drove debt from $711.1M to $324.6M across the period?
KRMN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
KRMN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $39.95?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KRMN (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $41.69?
Welcome to the KRMN (Karman Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on KRMN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KRMN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 40.3% gross margins. Unless Karman Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
KRMN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KRMN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $41.69 (52-wk range $29.34 - $118.38), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.