Why KMTS Stock dropped -3.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$29.69 -3.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.47

Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (KMTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.82B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KMTS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KMTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: KMTS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $29.69 (-3.01% 1D, market cap $1.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KMTS ranks #292 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KMTS compare to ATEC and XRAY in the Health Care sector?
▼

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), KMTS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ATEC (Alphatec Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $1.76B) and XRAY (DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.0%, cap $1.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INSP leads on earnings multiple (14.2x) while LMAT leads on capital efficiency (14.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMTS?
▼

Per KMTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0001877184), Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. generated $95.1M in revenue (+59.0% YoY), -$131.6M in net income, and -$116.6M in free cash flow against $379.3M in total assets and $42.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.47 (-0.73%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (16)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$34 Bull$29 Base$22 Bear
📬 FREE KMTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KMTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KMTS SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 9.65 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$26.91+9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$29.37+0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$29.42+0.9% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$29.69-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KMTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KMTS currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($26.76) and Max Pain ($31.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.77.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KMTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KMTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why KMTS Stock dropped -3.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (KMTS) dropped -3.01% to $29.69, trading at 90% of its 52-week range ($17.34 – $31.06). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 90% of its 52-week range ($17.34 – $31.06) with RSI-14 at 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.4% around $29.69 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 51.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live KMTS Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KMTS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of KMTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
KMTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +44.48%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $29.87H $30.61L $29.69C $29.69VOL 470.7K
RES: $30.22SUP: $23.32SMA50: $26.76SMA200: $23.85
$31.98$28.16$24.34$20.52$16.69RES $30.22SUP $23.32$29.692026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KMTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +59.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KMTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KMTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KMTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KMTS)

Health Care Rank #292 of 1016 ⚔️ ATEC vs KMTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (KMTS vs. ATEC, XRAY, LMAT, INSP)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (KMTS) ranks #292 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #278 by equity capitalization ($1.82B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INSP leads on earnings valuation at 14.2x trailing P/E, while LMAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.7% ROIC and 71.5% gross margin. LMAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with KMTS at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KMTS ACTIVE
Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd.
D 50/100 — 51.4% -35.0% -3.01% $1.82B Benchmark Subject
ATEC
Alphatec Holdings Inc.
D 46/100 — 69.6% -18.4% -38.08% $1.76B /atec-vs-kmts →
XRAY
DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.
E 32/100 — 50.0% -11.0% -0.83% $1.92B /xray-vs-kmts →
LMAT
LeMaitre Vascular Inc.
C+ 69/100 33.8x 71.5% 14.7% -5.08% $1.95B /lmat-vs-kmts →
INSP
Inspire Medical Systems Inc.
C+ 66/100 14.2x 85.4% 6.0% -4.33% $2.06B /insp-vs-kmts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0001877184

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (KMTS) reported GAAP revenue of $95.1M (+59.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $59.8M , and +242.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$131.6M, operating cash flow of -$81.7M, and free cash flow of -$116.6M (-16.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, KMTS closed FY2025 with $379.3M in total assets against $42.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.65, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-04-30 $95.1M -$131.6M -$81.7M -$116.6M $379.3M $42.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-04-30 $59.8M -$113.8M -$77.6M -$100.5M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-30 $27.8M -$94.1M -$72.2M -$72.2M — —

3. KMTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KMTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: KMTS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $29.69 (-3.01% 1D, market cap $1.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KMTS ranks #292 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KMTS compare to ATEC and XRAY in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), KMTS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ATEC (Alphatec Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $1.76B) and XRAY (DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.0%, cap $1.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INSP leads on earnings multiple (14.2x) while LMAT leads on capital efficiency (14.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMTS?

Per KMTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0001877184), Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. generated $95.1M in revenue (+59.0% YoY), -$131.6M in net income, and -$116.6M in free cash flow against $379.3M in total assets and $42.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KMTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KMTS last traded at $29.69 (-3.01% on volume of 324,940 shares), positioning the stock +10.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($26.76) and +24.49% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.85). Across its 52-week range of $17.34 to $31.06, KMTS sits at the 90.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($26.01 to $33.37).

KMTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is KMTS stock moving today?

Why KMTS Stock dropped -3.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

KMTS — Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, KMTS scores 50 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -6.4%), Whale 13F Flow 16/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 9/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 14/20 (Altman Z 9.65; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.15).

The weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction, which together point to the central tradeoff: the company is consuming cash rather than generating it, and insider-flow signals are unsupportive. The strongest pillar is institutional positioning, which indicates that large holders have been net accumulating or positioning through options, even though insider activity is weak. The balance sheet scores moderately well on the forensic measures, with a high Altman Z and low Debt/Equity, which suggests near-term solvency is not the primary concern. The main upside driver a prospective investor would weigh is the possibility that revenue growth converts into cash generation; the main valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a $1.82B market cap while reported operating and net margins are deeply negative and FCF yield is negative. Investors evaluating the stock today would need to judge whether the institutional flow signal outweighs the weak fundamental and insider readings.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$95.1M$-134.7M$-131.6MN/A$-116.6M$291.3M$42.3M
FY 2024$59.8M$-106.4M$-113.8MN/A$-100.5M$54.4MN/A
FY 2023$27.8M$-85.1M$-94.1MN/A$-72.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $27.8M in FY 2023 to $95.1M in FY 2025, while operating and net losses widened over the same span. The source data reports a gross margin of 51.4%, an operating margin of -60%, and a net margin of -60%, with ROIC at -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 9.65 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5 out of 9, per the Roarable RQD rating. Balance sheet posture shows cash of $291.3M against debt of $42.3M and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.15 in the forensic pillar data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, the most prominent item is a report that an insider sold shares worth $443,389 according to a recent SEC filing, which appears across several outlets. Other items include a report of three Kestra presentations scheduled for November and December with live webcasts and replays, a Simply Wall St valuation-focus piece questioning whether the stock is fully valued, and a MarketBeat report noting a 9.8% share price climb. All news items are tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Risk watch items include the insider sale disclosure and the valuation debate. No proprietary signals are present in the Butterfly graph.

Open Questions

  • What drove the step-up in FY 2025 revenue to $95.1M, and is it recurring?
  • What is the path from negative FCF of $-116.6M to positive cash generation, and on what timeline?
  • Does the $291.3M cash balance fund operations through the period of sustained losses?
  • What are the identities and holdings of the institutional holders behind the accumulation signal?
  • What is the context and scale of the insider sale and any Congressional trades?

KMTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (KMTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KMTS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KMTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.69?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KMTS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KMTS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $33.06 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KMTS (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $30.61?

Welcome to the KMTS (Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Medical/Dental Instruments. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $23.88 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $30.61

Pump the brakes on KMTS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KMTS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 51.4% gross margins. Unless Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $35.20 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $30.61

KMTS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KMTS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Dental Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $30.61 (52-wk range $17.34 - $31.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%