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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / KHC / forecast
ADM (64) BG (32) GIS (53) SJM (58) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$24.34 +1.84% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.37

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $28.86B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KHC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, The Kraft Heinz Company (NYSE: KHC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $24.34 (+1.84% 1D, market cap $28.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, KHC ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KHC compare to ADM and BG in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), KHC carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of -6.6%. By comparison, ADM (Archer-Daniels-Midland Company) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 34.1x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $37.07B) and BG (Bunge Limited) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E 22.6x, ROIC 3.3%, cap $18.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BG leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while GIS leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KHC?
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Per KHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001637459), The Kraft Heinz Company generated $24.94B in revenue (-3.5% YoY), -$5.85B in net income, and $3.66B in free cash flow against $81.79B in total assets and $18.00B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.37 (+0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 14.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (14)SEC (5)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$29 Bull$24 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE KHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KHC SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 47% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$22.70+3.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$23.50+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$23.86+2% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$24.34-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KHC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KHC currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.95) and Max Pain ($25.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.49.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your KHC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $24.34: 410.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $18.56
$7,625
$-2,375 (-23.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $23.79
$9,774
$-226 (-2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $29.49
$12,116
+$2,116 (+21.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2574%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$2158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KHC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of KHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
KHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.56%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $23.90H $24.34L $23.90C $24.34VOL 14.06M
RES: $24.96SUP: $20.47SMA50: $23.95SMA200: $23.88
$28.53$26.70$24.86$23.03$21.19RES $24.96SUP $20.47$24.342026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KHC Butterfly Map → + Track KHC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KHC)

Consumer Staples Rank #65 of 146 ⚔️ ADM vs KHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (KHC vs. ADM, BG, GIS, SJM)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) ranks #65 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #20 by equity capitalization ($28.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BG leads on earnings valuation at 22.6x trailing P/E, while GIS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.8% ROIC and 33.6% gross margin. ADM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with KHC at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KHC ACTIVE
The Kraft Heinz Company
D+ 53/100 — 33.3% -6.6% +1.84% $28.86B Benchmark Subject
ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
C 64/100 34.1x 20.2% 3.2% +0.93% $37.07B /adm-vs-khc →
BG
Bunge Limited
E 32/100 22.6x 20.1% 3.3% +0.65% $18.57B /bg-vs-khc →
GIS
General Mills Inc.
D+ 53/100 — 33.6% 3.8% +2.91% $18.33B /gis-vs-khc →
SJM
The J.M. Smucker Company
D+ 58/100 — 33.5% 2.8% +2.88% $13.88B /sjm-vs-khc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0001637459

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) reported GAAP revenue of $24.94B (-3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.85B , and +94.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.85B, operating cash flow of $4.46B, and free cash flow of $3.66B (+15.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, KHC closed FY2025 with $81.79B in total assets against $18.00B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.48, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $24.94B -$5.85B $4.46B $3.66B $81.79B $18.00B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $25.85B $2.74B $4.18B $3.16B $88.29B $17.53B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $12.80B $2.85B $3.98B $3.98B $15.59B $3.65B

3. KHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The Kraft Heinz Company (NYSE: KHC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $24.34 (+1.84% 1D, market cap $28.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, KHC ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KHC compare to ADM and BG in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), KHC carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of -6.6%. By comparison, ADM (Archer-Daniels-Midland Company) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 34.1x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $37.07B) and BG (Bunge Limited) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E 22.6x, ROIC 3.3%, cap $18.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BG leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while GIS leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KHC?

Per KHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001637459), The Kraft Heinz Company generated $24.94B in revenue (-3.5% YoY), -$5.85B in net income, and $3.66B in free cash flow against $81.79B in total assets and $18.00B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KHC last traded at $24.34 (+1.84% on volume of 14,063,260 shares), positioning the stock +1.63% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.95) and +1.93% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.88). Across its 52-week range of $21.03 to $28.09, KHC sits at the 46.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($23.24 to $25.44).

Direct Sub-Reports: KHC RQD Cockpit KHC 12M Forecast KHC Earnings & Move KHC Dividends & DRIP KHC Insiders & 13F KHC Whale Options KHC Profit Sankey KHC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

KHC — The Kraft Heinz Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:31Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, KHC scores 48 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC -6.6%; FCF yield 12.92%); Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 13/20 (Beta 0.9; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20 (Altman Z 0.48; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.4).

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the free cash flow yield of 12.92% and the 6.7% dividend yield, both per the market data section. The cost of that case is visible in the weakest pillars: negative ROIC and an Altman Z-Score of 0.48 indicate that the cash generation sits alongside weak returns on capital and balance-sheet stress. The forward P/E of 27 (per market data) sits against trailing EPS of -4.93, a valuation tradeoff that depends on earnings recovering. The Macro Regime Fit pillar (13/20, Beta 0.9) suggests the stock's market sensitivity is moderate, but it does not offset the fundamental and forensic weaknesses in the rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items cover KHC: a Yahoo Finance piece headlined that the stock "Looks Cheap" (tagged RISK WATCH, RED light); a Seeking Alpha piece on a 2027 long thesis (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW); a TradingView report that shares snapped a seven-session losing streak; a GuruFocus report on a 0.7% rise after a seven-day slide; a Yahoo Finance piece questioning buying the stock below $22; and a FinancialContent stock quote page. Only the first item carries a RED light and RISK WATCH label; the remainder are YELLOW MARKET WIRE items. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signal links recorded. — for 2nd-order bottlenecks. The sector classification (Consumer Staples / Packaged Foods) is the only contextual link provided.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: —

Holders (13F, Form 4, Congressional trades): —

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific product lines, customer concentration, and revenue mechanics? The source data provides no business description beyond sector and industry.
  • What drove the move from FY 2024 net income of $2.74B to FY 2025 net loss of -$5.85B, and is the operating loss recurring?
  • What is the basis for the reported forward P/E of 27 given negative trailing EPS of -4.93?
  • What is the FY 2023 revenue of —, and does it reflect a reporting change or missing data?
  • What are the dividend sustainability conditions given negative net and operating margins alongside a 6.7% dividend yield?

KHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $24.34?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KHC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KHC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $30.91 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow yield of 12.92% and a 6.7% dividend yield provide cash-return support despite losses.

Free cash flow yield of 12.92% and a 6.7% dividend yield provide cash-return support despite losses.. When you look under the hood at KHC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 33.3% gross margins and -6.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (14/20) has been quietly accumulating below $28.09. My 12M target is $30.91.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — KHC's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.96 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $24.34

Altman Z-Score of 0.48, negative ROIC of -6.6%, and FY 2025 net loss of $-5846.0M signal balance-sheet and earnings stress.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on KHC: Altman Z-Score of 0.48, negative ROIC of -6.6%, and FY 2025 net loss of $-5846.0M signal balance-sheet and earnings stress.. At 27.0x forward P/E, even a small guidance miss in Packaged Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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