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Stock Ratings / Materials / KGC / earnings
GFI (54) RGLD (61) PAAS (54) AU (54) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.4% Move

$20.13 -6.81% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.84

Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $25.46B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KGC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Kinross Gold Corporation (NYSE: KGC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $20.13 (-6.81% 1D, market cap $25.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, KGC ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KGC compare to GFI and RGLD in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), KGC carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, GFI (Gold Fields Limited) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $31.43B) and RGLD (Royal Gold Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 43.0x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $20.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KGC leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while KGC leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KGC?
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For Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #77 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.84 (-1.42%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 14.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Cash (11)Whales (6)SEC (16)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$41 Bull$20 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE KGC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KGC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KGC SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$23.44+0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$23.64-2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$23.00-12.5% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$20.13-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KGC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KGC currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($26.00) and Max Pain ($21.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.07.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KGC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KGC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.4% Swing Band

±$1.49 Expected Swing
$18.64 (-7.4%)Spot $20.13$21.62 (+7.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

KGC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $0.66 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.4%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KGC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of KGC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KGC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.32%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $22.98H $22.98L $20.13C $20.13VOL 14.23M
RES: $33.94SUP: $19.63SMA50: $26.00SMA200: $28.69
$34.44$30.45$26.45$22.46$18.46RES $33.94SUP $19.63$20.132026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KGC Butterfly Map → + Track KGC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KGC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KGC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KGC)

Materials Rank #77 of 270 ⚔️ GFI vs KGC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (KGC vs. GFI, RGLD, PAAS, AU)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) ranks #77 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #23 by equity capitalization ($25.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KGC leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while KGC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. RGLD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with KGC at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KGC ACTIVE
Kinross Gold Corporation
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.81% $25.46B Benchmark Subject
GFI
Gold Fields Limited
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.26% $31.43B /gfi-vs-kgc →
RGLD
Royal Gold Inc.
C- 61/100 43.0x 69.3% 6.4% -3.40% $20.07B /rgld-vs-kgc →
PAAS
Pan American Silver Corp.
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.80% $16.90B /paas-vs-kgc →
AU
AngloGold Ashanti PLC
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.22% $43.03B /au-vs-kgc →

2. KGC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $25.46B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. KGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Kinross Gold Corporation (NYSE: KGC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $20.13 (-6.81% 1D, market cap $25.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, KGC ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KGC compare to GFI and RGLD in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), KGC carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, GFI (Gold Fields Limited) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $31.43B) and RGLD (Royal Gold Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 43.0x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $20.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KGC leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while KGC leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KGC?

For Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #77 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KGC last traded at $20.13 (-6.81% on volume of 12,967,153 shares), positioning the stock -22.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($26.00) and -29.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($28.69). Across its 52-week range of $19.70 to $39.11, KGC sits at the 2.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($18.64 to $21.62).

KGC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is KGC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is KGC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.4% event move for KGC, spanning a range between $18.64 and $21.62.

Direct Sub-Reports: KGC RQD Cockpit KGC 12M Forecast KGC Earnings & Move KGC Dividends & DRIP KGC Insiders & 13F KGC Whale Options KGC Profit Sankey KGC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

KGC — Kinross Gold Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, KGC scores 53 out of 100, grading D+ under the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. A modest return on capital and a thin free-cash-flow yield at the current price limit the cash-generation case.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the weakest pillar, indicating limited institutional accumulation support in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate; the underlying trade-level detail is not provided in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.01 and sector sensitivity. The stock's market-level volatility is close to the market's, and the rating assigns limited macro-fit credit.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, citing an Altman Z of 3.74, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39. Balance-sheet quality is a relative strength.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating's composition matters more than the headline grade. The balance sheet is the main support; cash returns, institutional flow, and macro fit are the weak points. The stock's P/E (TTM) of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21 are elevated relative to the modest FCF yield of 2.21%, meaning the price embeds expectations that the current cash-generation figures do not yet fully justify. An upside case would require stronger cash conversion or a shift in institutional positioning; a downside case is supported by the weak flow and fundamental pillars. This is an analytical framing, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

MetricValue
Price21.6
Market Cap$25.46B
P/E (TTM)32.8
Forward P/E30.5
EV/EBITDA21
EPS (TTM)0.66
Dividend Yield0%
Beta1.01
52-Wk Range$19.7 - $39.11
ROIC %9.9%

Business

Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, Precious Metals industry, per the company profile. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $25.5B. Not available in source data: the specific products sold, customer base, and revenue-generation model.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference KGC, all rated YELLOW with a MARKET WIRE impact label, from CNN, Yahoo! Finance Canada, StockInvest.us, TradingView, Seeking Alpha, and Yahoo Finance. The headlines are largely generic price-and-forecast pages. One item notes an upcoming Q3 earnings report, which is a scheduled catalyst. A Seeking Alpha item references a "recent pullback," consistent with the −6% change in the market data. The feed does not contain substantive fundamental news, so the headline content offers limited specific catalyst detail.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or bottleneck links are recorded. Not available in source data: any supply-chain relationships, input dependencies, or customer concentration. An investor should treat this section as unresolved rather than as evidence of an absence of ripple effects.

Open Questions

  • What are the period-level revenue, operating income, net income, and free-cash-flow figures that would show whether the 2.21% FCF yield is trending up or down?
  • What institutional and insider positioning sits behind the 6/20 whale-flow and 12/20 insider-conviction pillar scores?
  • What are the company's specific gold and other precious-metal production and cost drivers that determine margin durability?
  • What does the Q3 earnings report, referenced in the news feed, show relative to current expectations?
  • What analyst consensus and price targets exist to compare against the 21.6 price and elevated 32.8 P/E?

KGC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KGC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KGC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.13?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KGC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KGC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $23.33 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KGC (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $21.60?

Welcome to the KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.85 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $21.60

Pump the brakes on KGC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KGC, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Kinross Gold Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $27.00 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $21.60

KGC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KGC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $21.60 (52-wk range $19.70 - $39.11), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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