Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why KEY Stock slipped -1.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
KeyCorp (KEY) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is KEY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $21.12 (-1.72% 1D, market cap $22.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, KEY ranks #258 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does KEY compare to RF and FCNCA in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), KEY carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, RF (Regions Financial Corporation) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 11.4x, ROIC 0.1%, cap $24.34B) and FCNCA (First Citizens BancShares Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $26.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RF leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while KEY leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KEY?
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Per KEY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000091576), KeyCorp generated $1.75B in revenue (+6.5% YoY), $1.83B in net income, and $2.13B in free cash flow against $184.38B in total assets and $73.80B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54) create a -12 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KEY Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, KEY faces multiple-compression risk if 12.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.91) or 200D SMA ($21.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.69) toward Bear Floor ($16.92).
Why KEY Stock slipped -1.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
KeyCorp (KEY) slipped -1.72% to $21.12, trading at 59% of its 52-week range ($16.91 – $24.07). Solid steady margins (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 59% of its 52-week range ($16.91 – $24.07) with RSI-14 at 54 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4% around $21.12 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $2.1B annual free cash flow.
StockInvest.us report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
JP Morgan analyst Vivek Juneja maintains KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY) with a Neutral and raises the price target from $23 to $23.5.
$250,000 investment in Tree Street Youth and MaineHealth will help connect Maine residents to educational opportunities, career pathways and critical health resourcesNORTHAMPTON, MA / ACCESS Newswire / October 30, 2026 /
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (KEY Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
KEY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KEY today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KEY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KEY)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (KEY vs. RF, FCNCA, CFG, BBDO)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, KeyCorp (KEY) ranks #258 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #111 by equity capitalization ($22.54B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RF leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while KEY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.6% ROIC and — gross margin. FCNCA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with KEY at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KEY
ACTIVE
KeyCorp | C | 64/100 | 12.5x | — | 2.6% | -1.72% | $22.54B | Benchmark Subject |
| RF Regions Financial Corporation | C- | 61/100 | 11.4x | — | 0.1% | -1.07% | $24.34B | /rf-vs-key → |
| FCNCA First Citizens BancShares Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 12.2x | — | 2.6% | -1.25% | $26.57B | /fcnca-vs-key → |
| CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 15.1x | — | 2.1% | -2.96% | $26.75B | /cfg-vs-key → |
| BBDO Banco Bradesco Sa (each representing one Common Share) | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -2.81% | $27.10B | /bbdo-vs-key → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000091576In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), KeyCorp (KEY) reported GAAP revenue of $1.75B (+6.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.64B , and +21.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.83B, operating cash flow of $2.21B, and free cash flow of $2.13B (+260.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, KEY closed FY2025 with $184.38B in total assets against $73.80B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.75B | $1.83B | $2.21B | $2.13B | $184.38B | $73.80B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.64B | -$161.0M | $664.0M | $590.1M | $187.17B | $76.05B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.44B | $967.0M | $2.90B | $2.84B | $12.61B | $2.95B |
3. KEY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs KEY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $21.12 (-1.72% 1D, market cap $22.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, KEY ranks #258 in composite RQD confidence.
How does KEY compare to RF and FCNCA in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), KEY carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, RF (Regions Financial Corporation) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 11.4x, ROIC 0.1%, cap $24.34B) and FCNCA (First Citizens BancShares Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $26.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RF leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while KEY leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KEY?
Per KEY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000091576), KeyCorp generated $1.75B in revenue (+6.5% YoY), $1.83B in net income, and $2.13B in free cash flow against $184.38B in total assets and $73.80B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is KEY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
KEY last traded at $21.12 (-1.72% on volume of 18,718,242 shares), positioning the stock +1.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.91) and -2.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($21.56). Across its 52-week range of $16.91 to $24.07, KEY sits at the 58.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($20.28 to $21.96).
KEY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is KEY stock moving today?
Why KEY Stock slipped -1.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
KEY — KeyCorp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, KEY scores 65 out of 100 with a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 2.6% and an FCF yield of 9.29%. The ROIC figure is low in absolute terms, while the FCF yield is comparatively strong, so cash generation relative to market price is a relative bright spot.
- Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. The rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is a moderate score, indicating mixed-to-constructive institutional interest without a decisive signal.
- Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the highest pillar score, suggesting insider-side activity is the strongest supporting element.
- Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the rating, beta is 1.07 with sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar, implying the stock's sensitivity to broader market and sector moves is a material consideration.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These metrics point to a relatively sound balance sheet.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating frames KEY as balanced rather than clearly attractive or unattractive. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the data: trailing P/E of 12.5 and forward P/E of 11.6 appear modest, while EV/EBITDA of 30.3 appears elevated, so the conclusion depends heavily on which valuation lens is weighted. Upside drivers in the rating are the insider conviction and balance sheet pillars; the main drag is macro/sector fit. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.
Snapshot
Business
KeyCorp is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Major Banks industry, per the profile section. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $22.9B. The source data does not describe its specific products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Not available in source data for further business detail.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1749.0M | $2158.2M | $1829.0M | N/A | $2129.3M | N/A | $73800.0M |
| FY 2024 | $1643.0M | $-190.0M | $-161.0M | N/A | $590.1M | N/A | $76046.4M |
| FY 2023 | $1435.0M | $1141.1M | $967.0M | N/A | $2838.4M | N/A | $2951.4M |
Per the SEC financials, net income moved from $967.0M in FY 2023 to $-161.0M in FY 2024 before recovering to $1829.0M in FY 2025, and operating income followed a similar path. Per the market data, net margin is 68% and operating margin is 75%, while ROIC is 2.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, both pointing to a reasonably sound balance sheet. The reported debt figures vary widely across periods ($2951.4M, $76046.4M, $73800.0M), which the source data does not reconcile.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news section, the wire includes six items covering KEY:
- Green / Catalyst: A Seeking Alpha report referencing a rating upgrade tied to NII growth.
- Red / Risk Watch: A TradingView report on a 12-month price target cut to $24.11, implying 20% upside.
- Yellow / Market Wire: Yahoo! Finance Canada, StockInvest.us, Yahoo Finance (fair-value commentary), and The Motley Fool (long-term takeaways) items.
The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no proprietary signal overlay is available beyond the news wire.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE," with no butterfly links. Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is therefore not available in source data. Sector-level sensitivity is noted only through the Roarable RQD rating's macro regime pillar (beta 1.07), which suggests exposure to sector-wide moves. A prospective investor should watch sector-wide rate and credit conditions, though the source data does not quantify these linkages.
Open Questions
- What explains the swing from a FY 2024 net loss of $-161.0M to a FY 2025 net income of $1829.0M, and is it recurring?
- Why do reported debt figures differ so widely across the three periods ($2951.4M vs. $76046.4M vs. $73800.0M)?
- Why is ROIC at 2.6% while FCF yield is 9.29%, and which measure better reflects capital efficiency?
- What supports the 12-month price target discussed in the news wire, and what are the underlying assumptions?
- Which specific insider or institutional transactions drive the RQD pillar scores, since the holders section is empty?
KEY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for KeyCorp (KEY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering KeyCorp (KEY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
KEY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.12?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KEY (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $21.49?
Welcome to the KEY (KeyCorp) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on KEY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KEY, but look at what you are paying: 12.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless KeyCorp expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
KEY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KEY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $21.49 (52-wk range $16.91 - $24.07), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.