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Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$149.03 -5.84% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $147.82

Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $95.87B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JCI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (NYSE: JCI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $149.03 (-5.84% 1D, market cap $95.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, JCI ranks #28 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JCI compare to ITW and NOC in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), JCI carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.1x, gross margin of 36.4%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, ITW (Illinois Tool Works Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 24.3x, ROIC 23.4%, cap $79.97B) and NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $79.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOC leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while ITW leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCI?

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Per JCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000833444), Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share generated $23.60B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $3.29B in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $37.98B in total assets and $8.89B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $147.82 (-0.81%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 11.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JCI SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.13 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.6) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$156.47-5.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A-$147.94+5.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$155.88-4.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B$149.03+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (81) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JCI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, JCI faces multiple-compression risk if 29.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 33.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($148.00) or 200D SMA ($141.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($159.09) toward Bear Floor ($122.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JCI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JCI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

57.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.13>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE78% OF RANGE

L: $108$149.03H: $160

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (36% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on JCI

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

15.6% ROIC with 36.4% gross margin and 2.81% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 4.13 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (70)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like JCI

✓Strong cash generator (36% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (JCI Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

JCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.21%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $157.4H $158.3L $149.0C $149.0VOL 3.35M

RES: $162.0SUP: $135.5SMA50: $148.0SMA200: $141.6

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JCI Butterfly Map → + Track JCI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

22.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JCI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JCI)

Industrials Rank #28 of 485 ⚔️ ITW vs JCI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (JCI vs. ITW, NOC, CMI, AME)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) ranks #28 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #13 by equity capitalization ($95.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NOC leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while ITW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.4% ROIC and 52.9% gross margin. ITW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with JCI at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JCI ACTIVE Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share	B	73/100	29.1x	36.4%	15.6%	-5.84%	$95.87B	Benchmark Subject
ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc.	B+	76/100	24.3x	52.9%	23.4%	-1.01%	$79.97B	/itw-vs-jci →
NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation	C+	68/100	19.1x	—	13.0%	-0.86%	$79.89B	/noc-vs-jci →
CMI Cummins Inc.	C	64/100	22.7x	25.3%	17.5%	-3.46%	$71.31B	/cmi-vs-jci →
AME AMETEK Inc.	B+	76/100	39.0x	36.0%	13.4%	-4.23%	$57.72B	/ame-vs-jci →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000833444

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) reported GAAP revenue of $23.60B (+2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.95B , and +5.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.29B, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, JCI closed FY2025 with $37.98B in total assets against $8.89B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$23.60B	$3.29B	—	—	$37.98B	$8.89B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$22.95B	$1.71B	—	—	$42.10B	$9.85B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$22.33B	$1.85B	—	—	$52.73B	$12.34B

3. JCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JCI compare to ITW and NOC in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCI?

Where is JCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JCI last traded at $149.03 (-5.84% on volume of 4,645,068 shares), positioning the stock +0.70% above its 50-day simple moving average ($148.00) and +5.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($141.55). Across its 52-week range of $108.41 to $160.41, JCI sits at the 78.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($140.09 to $157.97).

JCI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell JCI stock right now?

Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is JCI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

JCI's 12-month base price target is $159.09 (range $122.2 to $187.73), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: JCI RQD Cockpit JCI 12M Forecast JCI Earnings & Move JCI Dividends & DRIP JCI Insiders & 13F JCI Whale Options JCI Profit Sankey JCI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

JCI — Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, JCI scores 73 out of 100, grading B, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 15.6% and an FCF yield of 2.81%. ROIC indicates the business earns a healthy return on invested capital, while a 2.81% FCF yield is modest relative to the price, suggesting the stock is priced on expectations of continued earnings growth rather than current cash generation.
Whale 13F Flow: 18 / 20. The strongest pillar, described per the RQD rating as reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Detailed 13F holder data is not available in source data, so the pillar score cannot be traced to specific holders here.
Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Underlying transaction records are not available in source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, with Beta of 0.98 and sector sensitivity as inputs. A beta near 1.0 means the stock has historically moved roughly in line with the broader market, offering neither a defensive cushion nor elevated volatility; this pillar scores lowest, indicating less favorable alignment with the current macro regime per the rating.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, supported by Altman Z 4.13, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.58. These readings point to a financially sound balance sheet with low leverage relative to equity.

For a prospective investor, the rating suggests a favorable quality-and-balance-sheet profile with strong institutional signal, offset by a thin cash yield and a macro-fit score that does not add a tailwind. The valuation (P/E TTM 29.1, Forward P/E 27.1) is elevated, so the upside case depends on earnings growth delivering against that multiple. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$158.27	$95.87B	29.1	27.1	20.9	5.43	1.02%	0.98	$108.41 - $160.41	15.6%

Business

Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically Industrial Machinery/Components, per the company profile. Not available in source data: product descriptions, customer segments, and revenue model specifics. The profile identifies the business by sector and industry classification only.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-09-30)	$23596.0M	$3883.4M	$3291.0M	N/A	N/A	$552.0M	$8888.0M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-09-30)	$22952.0M	$2011.9M	$1705.0M	N/A	N/A	$1237.0M	$9850.9M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-09-30)	$22331.0M	$2181.8M	$1849.0M	N/A	N/A	N/A	$12338.6M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $22331.0M in FY 2023 to $23596.0M in FY 2025, and net income increased from $1849.0M to $3291.0M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 36.4%, operating margin 17%, and net margin 13.9%. ROIC is 15.6%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.13 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.58. Reported debt declined from $12338.6M (FY 2023) to $8888.0M (FY 2025), while cash moved from $1237.0M (FY 2024) to $552.0M (FY 2025).

Open Questions

What are the company's specific product lines and end markets, given that the source identifies only sector and industry?
What are reported EPS and free cash flow for the financial periods, which are listed as N/A in the SEC financials?
What drove the decline in FY 2024 operating income relative to FY 2025, and what is the cash position trajectory?
Which institutional holders and insider transactions underlie the 18/20 whale and 13/20 insider pillar scores?
What supply-chain dependencies or catalysts could affect the business, given that no links or news are provided?

JCI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JCI Debate Forum (3) ↓

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Johnson Controls Strengthens Executive Leadership Team with Two Key Appointments

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5 revealing analyst questions from Johnson Controls’s Q3 earnings call

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JCI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $149.03?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JCI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $186.76 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is JCI (B • RQD 73/100) a Buy at $158.27?

Welcome to the JCI (Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 73/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $128.20 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $158.27

Pump the brakes on JCI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on JCI, but look at what you are paying: 29.1x trailing P/E with 36.4% gross margins. Unless Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $193.09 (+22.0%)

Spot @ $158.27

JCI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on JCI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $158.27 (52-wk range $108.41 - $160.41), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.