J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$221.08 -0.44% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $220.48

J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $20.70B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JBHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (NASDAQ: JBHT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $221.08 (-0.44% 1D, market cap $20.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, JBHT ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JBHT compare to ZTO and ODFL in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), JBHT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.8%. By comparison, ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $15.31B) and ODFL (Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 34.9x, ROIC 25.5%, cap $35.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ODFL leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBHT?
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Per JBHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000728535), J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $598.3M in net income, and $947.6M in free cash flow against $7.93B in total assets and $766.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $220.48 (-0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 23.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+
Cash (17)Whales (7)SEC (18)Macro (9)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$315 Bull$229 Base$179 Bear
📬 FREE JBHT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBHT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JBHT SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.27 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.7% FCF Margin ($947.6M FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$229.04-1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$226.40+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$231.95-4.7% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$221.08+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JBHT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, JBHT faces multiple-compression risk if 34.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($240.08) or 200D SMA ($246.31) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($229.04) toward Bear Floor ($178.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBHT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JBHT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±5.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (JBHT)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for JBHT.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating JBHT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on JBHT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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JBHT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.24%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $223.3H $223.3L $221.1C $221.1VOL 1.02M
RES: $318.9SUP: $217.2SMA50: $240.1SMA200: $246.3
$307.9$274.3$240.7$207.2$173.6RES $318.9SUP $217.2$221.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBHT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBHT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBHT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBHT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBHT)

Industrials Rank #80 of 485 ⚔️ ZTO vs JBHT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (JBHT vs. ZTO, ODFL, KNX, TFII)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) ranks #80 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #60 by equity capitalization ($20.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZTO leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while ODFL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ODFL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with JBHT at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JBHT ACTIVE
J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.
C+ 66/100 34.6x — 15.8% -0.44% $20.70B Benchmark Subject
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American
C 65/100 11.8x 25.0% 12.5% +1.36% $15.31B /zto-vs-jbht →
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.
C+ 67/100 34.9x — 25.5% +0.12% $35.74B /odfl-vs-jbht →
KNX
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 150.9x — 1.9% -0.62% $9.95B /knx-vs-jbht →
TFII
TFI International Inc.
D+ 55/100 32.8x — 9.9% -17.08% $9.25B /tfii-vs-jbht →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000728535

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $598.3M, operating cash flow of $1.68B, and free cash flow of $947.6M (+53.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBHT closed FY2025 with $7.93B in total assets against $766.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.27, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $598.3M $1.68B $947.6M $7.93B $766.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $570.9M $1.48B $617.8M $8.31B $977.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $728.3M $1.74B $1.74B $11.39B $2.66B

3. JBHT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (NASDAQ: JBHT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $221.08 (-0.44% 1D, market cap $20.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, JBHT ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JBHT compare to ZTO and ODFL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), JBHT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.8%. By comparison, ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $15.31B) and ODFL (Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 34.9x, ROIC 25.5%, cap $35.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ODFL leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBHT?

Per JBHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000728535), J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $598.3M in net income, and $947.6M in free cash flow against $7.93B in total assets and $766.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JBHT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBHT last traded at $221.08 (-0.44% on volume of 1,297,357 shares), positioning the stock -7.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($240.08) and -10.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($246.31). Across its 52-week range of $157.82 to $299.76, JBHT sits at the 44.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($208.70 to $233.46).

JBHT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is JBHT's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for JBHT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

JBHT — J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, JBHT scores 66 out of 100, a C+ grade with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 15.8% and an FCF yield of 4.58%. Investor implication: the business is generating returns above the figure most investors would require, but the cash yield is modest at this price, so the stock's appeal depends partly on continued cash conversion.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning, and it is the weakest component. Investor implication: institutional sponsorship signals are not a current tailwind.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Investor implication: insider and congressional activity is a moderate positive, though the underlying trade detail is not provided in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.02 and sector sensitivity. Investor implication: the stock tracks the market closely, so it offers little defensive cushion or asymmetric upside relative to broad market moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 5.27, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. Investor implication: this is the strongest pillar, indicating low financial distress risk and high accounting quality.

Valuation tradeoff: per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 34.6 and a forward P/E of 32.2, which is a premium multiple relative to the cash-yield and return metrics above. The combination of a strong balance sheet and strong returns against a rich multiple explains the "Hold" verdict rather than a stronger rating. The "Watch for Breakout" label implies the rating could improve if institutional flow and macro fit strengthen.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$222.06$20.7B34.632.214.46.420.83%1.02$157.82 - $299.7615.8%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$865.1M$598.3MN/A$947.6M$17.3M$766.9M
FY 2024$0.0M$831.2M$570.9MN/A$617.8M$47.0M$977.7M
FY 2023$0.0M$993.2M$728.3MN/A$1744.6MN/A$2664.1M

Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $570.9M in FY 2024 to $598.3M in FY 2025, and debt fell from $2664.1M in FY 2023 to $766.9M in FY 2025. Per the market data, operating margin is 14.9% and net margin is 10.3%, with gross margin listed as 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 15.8%, the Altman Z-Score is 5.27, and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. The forensic balance sheet posture is strong on these measures; revenue figures are reported as $0.0M in the source and cannot be used for a revenue trend analysis.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six headlines covering JBHT were captured within the prior roughly 15 hours. Two are flagged RED or YELLOW as follows:

  • Risk Watch (RED): A Yahoo Finance headline describes a missed EPS result despite strong Q3 revenue, per the news wire's "RISK WATCH" label.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): Five additional headlines from Yahoo Finance, Trefis, Seeking Alpha, and StockInvest.us carry the "MARKET WIRE" label. Their themes include the stock trading below fair value amid lingering caution, rising costs weighing on Q3 results with shares described as fairly valued, and an unresolved open question in the investment thesis.
  • Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

These headlines are summarized from the news feed metadata; full article text is not provided.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's revenue figures? The source reports $0.0M for every period, so the top line cannot be verified.
  • What drove the EPS miss referenced in the RISK WATCH headline, and how large was the shortfall?
  • Which institutions hold JBHT and what changed in 13F positioning? The holders section is empty.
  • What specific insider and congressional trades make up the cluster flow scored in the insider pillar?
  • What is the company's customer base and service mix, given the profile provides only sector classification?

JBHT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JBHT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JBHT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $221.08?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JBHT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JBHT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $239.82 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is JBHT (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $222.06?

Welcome to the JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Trucking Freight/Courier Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.8% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (34.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $166.55 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $222.06

Pump the brakes on JBHT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on JBHT, but look at what you are paying: 34.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $284.24 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $222.06

JBHT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on JBHT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Trucking Freight/Courier Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $222.06 (52-wk range $157.82 - $299.76), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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