How profitable is Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), JACK converted $1.5B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $74.1M in free cash flow (5.1% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / JACK / financials

PLAY (28) RICK (54) RRGB (57) PTLO (42) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$13.02 -0.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.99

Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $249.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Jack In The Box Inc. (NASDAQ: JACK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $13.02 (-0.11% 1D, market cap $249.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JACK ranks #754 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JACK compare to PLAY and RICK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), JACK carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PLAY (Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $272.7M) and RICK (RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 20.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $216.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PTLO leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while RRGB leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JACK?

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Per JACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28, CIK 0000807882), Jack In The Box Inc. generated $1.47B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), -$80.7M in net income, and $74.1M in free cash flow against $2.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.99 (-0.21%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JACK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JACK SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.1% FCF Margin ($74.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$12.37-2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$12.08-6.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$11.27+15.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$13.02-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JACK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JACK currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.43) and Max Pain ($13.67) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.05.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JACK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JACK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How JACK Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$74.1M (5.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.69B

FY24

Rev $1.57B

FY25

Rev $1.47B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.47B	52%	-1.2%	-$80.7M	$74.1M	-45%
FY 2024	$1.57B	52%	5.3%	-$36.7M	-$22.4M	95%
FY 2023	$1.69B	52%	16.5%	$130.8M	$215.0M	-35%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JACK)

✓Walkthrough of JACK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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JACK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.05%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $13.03H $13.03L $13.02C $13.02VOL 496.3K

RES: $13.34SUP: $10.52SMA50: $13.43SMA200: $14.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JACK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JACK Butterfly Map → + Track JACK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JACK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JACK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JACK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JACK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #754 of 1009 ⚔️ PLAY vs JACK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JACK vs. PLAY, RICK, RRGB, PTLO)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) ranks #754 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #664 by equity capitalization ($249.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PTLO leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while RRGB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. RRGB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with JACK at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JACK ACTIVE Jack In The Box Inc.	D-	38/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.11%	$249.6M	Benchmark Subject
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc.	E	28/100	—	85.7%	4.3%	-3.69%	$272.7M	/play-vs-jack →
RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.	D+	54/100	20.0x	—	5.6%	-0.04%	$216.5M	/rick-vs-jack →
RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	5.7%	-2.36%	$172.2M	/rrgb-vs-jack →
PTLO Portillo's Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	17.9x	—	4.9%	-1.81%	$369.8M	/ptlo-vs-jack →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-28 • CIK 0000807882 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28), Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (-6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B , and -13.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$80.7M, operating cash flow of $162.4M, and free cash flow of $74.1M (+431.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, JACK closed FY2025 with $2.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-28	$1.47B	-$80.7M	$162.4M	$74.1M	$2.02B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-29	$1.57B	-$36.7M	$68.8M	-$22.4M	$2.77B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-10-01	$1.69B	$130.8M	$215.0M	$215.0M	—	—

3. JACK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JACK compare to PLAY and RICK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JACK?

Where is JACK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JACK last traded at $13.02 (-0.11% on volume of 496,250 shares), positioning the stock -3.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.43) and -10.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.49). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $23.86, JACK sits at the 27.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.2% ($11.43 to $14.61).

Direct Sub-Reports: JACK RQD Cockpit JACK 12M Forecast JACK Earnings & Move JACK Dividends & DRIP JACK Insiders & 13F JACK Whale Options JACK Profit Sankey JACK News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JACK — Jack In The Box Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-09-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $13.02 (-0.11% 1D, market capitalization $249.6M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -1.2%, and free cash flow yield of —.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Restaurants industry. Its market capitalization is listed at $0.2B in the profile section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-28), Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) reported $1.47B in annual revenue (up from $1.57B in FY2024, -6.7% YoY) and -$80.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.69B revenue, $130.8M net income) through FY2025, JACK scaled operating cash flow to $162.4M and free cash flow to $74.1M, backed by $2.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 38/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.92 – $23.86 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -1.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain is NONE, and the butterfly_links and proprietary_signals arrays are empty. The only sector-correlation evidence is the TradingView headline noting JACK trading down alongside Wingstop, CAVA, Wendy's, and Shake Shack, which suggests common exposure to restaurant-sector sentiment, though the source does not quantify that correlation. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided data. A prospective investor should watch whether peer-group weakness persists around the referenced upcoming earnings.

Key Question #1: Can JACK sustain or expand its -1.2% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.47B and free cash flow of $74.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is JACK's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

JACK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JACK Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 21h ago

Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 1d ago

Jack In The Box Brings Back Iconic Burger For 75th Anniversary, But It Was Just Another Hot Mess For Its Stock As Earnings Loom

Stocktwits report covering Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

3 Reasons to Sell JACK and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

Yahoo Finance report covering Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

Jack in the box exec chairman King sells $85,418 in shares

Investing.com report covering Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Jack in the Box: The 3.5x P/E Ratio Comes With An Unpleasant Surprise (NASDAQ:JACK)

Seeking Alpha report covering Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Wingstop, CAVA, Wendy's, Shake Shack, and Jack in the Box stocks trade down, what you need to know

TradingView report covering Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Jack In The Box Inc. (NASDAQ:JACK) Stock Has Consensus Target Price of $16.83 According to Analysts

MarketBeat report covering Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Jack In The Box: Sell Into The Quarterly Results (NASDAQ:JACK)

Seeking Alpha report covering Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JACK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $13.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JACK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.80 (+29.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The stock is up 9.4% on the day and carries a 6.65% dividend yield, with a beta of 1.0 and a price well off its $23.86 52-week high.

The street is overcomplicating Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK). The stock is up 9.4% on the day and carries a 6.65% dividend yield, with a beta of 1.0 and a price well off its $23.86 52-week high.. With an RQD score of 38/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $14.06.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 38/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $13.02 and keeping dry powder in case we test $12.11.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.94 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $13.02

Negative ROIC of -35%, a 0% FCF yield, and a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 leave the cash engine and balance sheet scoring weakly in the RQD

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short JACK above $13.02. Negative ROIC of -35%, a 0% FCF yield, and a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 leave the cash engine and balance sheet scoring weakly in the RQD framework.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $23.86.